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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Apolonia — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Santa Apolonia / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-05

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Apolonia / Chimaltenango
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-96282503ec4fe8d073ed5fcc
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNIONISTA35.8%
  • VAMOS31.1%
  • PODEMOS25.3%
  • TODOS2.3%
  • CAMBIO2.3%
  • UNE2.1%
  • VALOR1.2%
Results for event-84b3892e0e3a79d4dda5903b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIONISTA · SELVIN CARLOS PINZON DE LA CRUZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233,15835.8%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,74531.1%2Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,23025.3%1Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232072.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232012.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231812.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231041.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE40.3%
  • PC35.7%
  • PODEMOS11.1%
  • LIBRE5.4%
  • VAMOS4.0%
  • FCN NACION2.2%
  • UCN1.4%
Results for event-40ab3485b70428107d3188a0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · FRANCISCO TEPAZ AJUguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,87540.3%5Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,54735.7%2Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/201979511.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193845.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192844%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191552.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191011.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER62.2%
  • COCINA33.6%
  • CREO- Unionista2.8%
  • FCN NACION1.4%
Results for event-090380b9f7b76917dc845eaa
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Francisco Tepaz Ajuguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,42662.2%6Recorded
COCINA · Marco Tulio Nuñez Rodasguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,39233.6%1Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Julian Guigui Xonguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152002.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · Porfidio Chonay Bucguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015971.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.780–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.679356446861547, oldest_gap=28.587491215741395, previous_gap=4.5931942304999325

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.050759120779515,31.101291638341266,2.345343303874915,0,0,0,0,0,0,35.78064808520281,0,28.721957851801495],[40.26046772160762,3.9770340288475006,0,1.414367735611259,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,54.348130513933626],[0,0,0,0,0,62.20660576247365,0,0,0,0,0,37.79339423752635]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

62.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.050759120779515,31.101291638341266,2.345343303874915,0,0,0,0,0,0,35.78064808520281,0,28.721957851801495],[40.26046772160762,3.9770340288475006,0,1.414367735611259,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,54.348130513933626],[0,0,0,0,0,62.20660576247365,0,0,0,0,0,37.79339423752635]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.050759120779515,31.101291638341266,2.345343303874915,0,0,0,0,0,0,35.78064808520281,0,28.721957851801495],[40.26046772160762,3.9770340288475006,0,1.414367735611259,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,54.348130513933626],[0,0,0,0,0,62.20660576247365,0,0,0,0,0,37.79339423752635]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Francisco Tepaz AjuAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Jose Gilberto Pinzón ÁlvarezSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Martin Mux JuracanSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Victor Isaias Mercar MartínSíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Juan Martín ChonayConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Leon Genaro Lares LópezConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Demetrio Xon PachecoConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Victor Hugo Ramirez GirónConcejal 42015COCINAunknown
Jose Oliverio Tepaz BucConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Jose Maria Ajozal TamatConcejal suplente 22015COCINAunknown
FRANCISCO TEPAZ AJUALCALDE2019UNEunknown
MARIO BALDOMERO BUC SAQUILSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
RUFINO MARTÍN COROYSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
EDILSO FROILÁN TUBAC XÓNSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
JUAN MARTÍN CHONAYCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
JUÁN PANTZAY SEMETCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
RAFAEL MERCAR CHONAYCONCEJAL TERCERO2019PCunknown
DAVID RUIZ RUIZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019PCunknown
FELIPE GARCÍA MARTÍNPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019BIENunknown
KEVIN WILFRED CHOLÓN CHONAYSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
SELVIN CARLOS PINZON DE LA CRUZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023UNIONISTAunknown
GABRIEL AJOZAL CHONAYSINDICO I2023UNIONISTAunknown
LUIS ROBERTO BUC BUCSINDICO II2023UNIONISTAunknown
PABLO TEPAZ CHONAYCONCEJAL I2023UNIONISTAunknown
ESGAR ARNOLDO OVALLE ALEMANCONCEJAL II2023UNIONISTAunknown
JOAQUIN LARES LOPEZCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
JORGE ROLANDO CHONAY BUCCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
SAMUEL CUY CHONAYCONCEJAL V2023PODEMOSunknown
ERICK ADONIAS MARTIN COJTISINDICO SUPLENTE I2023UNIONISTAunknown
JOSE LUIS SAQUIL LOPEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023UNIONISTAunknown
EUGENIO TEPAZ CHOLONCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Apolonia — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-05. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.