Office briefing
San Antonio Aguas Calientes — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · San Antonio Aguas Calientes / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-15
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Antonio Aguas Calientes / Sacatepéquez
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-4b10feebb79f315f6984832c
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VOS34.0%
- CABAL20.2%
- VALOR UNIONISTA17.9%
- VAMOS10.2%
- AZUL9.2%
- PPN5.9%
- WINAQ2.0%
- UNE0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOS · ALDO NORMANDO LOPEZ MICAN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,911 | 34% | 5 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,133 | 20.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,007 | 17.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 572 | 10.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 518 | 9.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 334 | 5.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| WINAQ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 114 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 31 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- PC33.8%
- TODOS22.9%
- UNIONISTA20.2%
- SEMILLA6.8%
- VAMOS5.2%
- FUERZA4.0%
- WINAQ3.2%
- UNE2.8%
- LIBRE1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PC · ELWIN HERNÁNDEZ ZAMORA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,804 | 33.8% | 5 | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,222 | 22.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNIONISTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,080 | 20.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 362 | 6.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 278 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 216 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| WINAQ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 170 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 147 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LIBRE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 59 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER37.0%
- CREO- Unionista32.4%
- MNR15.9%
- TODOS5.3%
- WINAQ4.3%
- UNE3.9%
- EG1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Mynor Ariel López Hernández | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,937 | 37% | 5 | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Elwin Hernández Zamora | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,701 | 32.4% | 2 | Recorded |
| MNR · Sergio Enrique Pérez Marín | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 834 | 15.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Eddy Ahiezer Guarán Pérez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 276 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| WINAQ · Ofelia Mercedes López Santos de Santos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 224 | 4.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE · Julio Abdiel Hernández García | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 205 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| EG · Maynor Armando Hernández López | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 65 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI39.860–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.843416370106759, oldest_gap=4.502098435711559, previous_gap=10.902959910078682
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.11percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0.5516014234875445,10.177935943060499,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,89.27046263345196],[2.7538403896590484,5.207943049831398,22.892469089546648,0,0,0,0,0,0,20.23229674035219,6.781566129636568,42.13188460097415],[3.910721098817245,0,5.265165967188096,0,0,36.95154521175124,0,0,0,0,0,53.87256772224342]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility49.85percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0.5516014234875445,10.177935943060499,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,89.27046263345196],[2.7538403896590484,5.207943049831398,22.892469089546648,0,0,0,0,0,0,20.23229674035219,6.781566129636568,42.13188460097415],[3.910721098817245,0,5.265165967188096,0,0,36.95154521175124,0,0,0,0,0,53.87256772224342]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility50.98percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0.5516014234875445,10.177935943060499,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,89.27046263345196],[2.7538403896590484,5.207943049831398,22.892469089546648,0,0,0,0,0,0,20.23229674035219,6.781566129636568,42.13188460097415],[3.910721098817245,0,5.265165967188096,0,0,36.95154521175124,0,0,0,0,0,53.87256772224342]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mynor Ariel López Hernández | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Victor Hernández Godínez | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Arturo López López | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Sergio Adolfo Gómez Hernández | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Oscar Ofelio López Pérez | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Alba Yolanda López López de López | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Raúl Damián Santos Apén | Concejal 3 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Macario López y López | Concejal 4 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Jose Florentino Porón Gómez | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Wily Fernando López y López | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| ELWIN HERNÁNDEZ ZAMORA | ALCALDE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| CARLOS AUGUSTO HERNÁNDEZ MARÍN | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| ROSALIO LOPEZ PÉREZ | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| FELIPE LÓPEZ GODÍNEZ | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| FROEBEL ELEAZAR GUARÁN SANTOS | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| ROSA MARÍA LÓPEZ LÓPEZ DE VIDES | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| GILBERTO CORCINY SINAY HERNÁNDEZ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| DANIEL RAUL HERNANDEZ LOPEZ | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| WILY FERNANDO LÓPEZ Y LÓPEZ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| LAURA CAROLINA LÓPEZ LÓPEZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| ALDO NORMANDO LOPEZ MICAN | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VOS | unknown |
| MARCELINO SALAZAR LOPEZ | SINDICO I | 2023 | VOS | unknown |
| SALOMON PEREZ MARIN | SINDICO II | 2023 | VOS | unknown |
| NIRMA CONSUELO LOPEZ LOPEZ DE LOPEZ | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VOS | unknown |
| FRANKLIN DAVID LOPEZ LOPEZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VOS | unknown |
| WILLY FERNANDO LOPEZ Y LOPEZ | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| EMANUEL ANTONIO GODINEZ LOPEZ | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| MAURO HERNANDEZ MICHE | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VOS | unknown |
| GERSON EMMANUEL LOPEZ APEN | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VOS | unknown |
| SERGIO ARMANDO YOOL DIAZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Antonio Aguas Calientes — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-15. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.