Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Alotenango — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Alotenango / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-14

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Alotenango / Sacatepéquez
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-4cdd1828476ce9d83831f5a8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ELEFANTE22.8%
  • VAMOS18.2%
  • CABAL17.1%
  • UNE11.6%
  • PPN11.2%
  • CREO7.2%
  • MI FAMILIA2.7%
  • VIVA2.6%
  • AZUL2.1%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA2.0%
  • MLP1.5%
  • UR1.0%
Results for event-04ae871a3a6bb577ca47875c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ELEFANTE · SERGIO GONZALO SUL CIVILguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,88922.8%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,50418.2%1Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,41317.1%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202396211.6%1Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202393011.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236007.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232262.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232152.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231732.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231672%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231211.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023811%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNIDOS28.9%
  • TODOS25.9%
  • PC15.2%
  • CREO11.6%
  • FUERZA9.3%
  • UNIONISTA3.1%
  • VAMOS3.0%
  • UNE3.0%
Results for event-0532ce4764765df359503658
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS · SERGIO GONZALO SUL CIVILguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,29328.9%5Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,05325.9%1Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,20215.2%1Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/201992111.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197399.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192483.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192393%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192383%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER30.1%
  • TODOS21.5%
  • PP20.0%
  • UNE11.1%
  • CREO- Unionista4.9%
  • PAN3.8%
  • VIVA2.8%
  • PRI2.1%
  • UCN1.9%
  • FUERZA1.8%
Results for event-287e5cec582ef66373a49628
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Jose Luis Marroquín Pamalguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,43030.1%5Recorded
TODOS · Jacinto Rancho Sicajolguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,73521.5%1Recorded
PP · José Serapio Civil Charalguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,61920%1Recorded
UNE · Isaias Cojolon Chuyguatemala/S6241581360d0/201590011.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Jesús Cojolón Melgarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153994.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAN · Gabriel Pamal Shocguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153103.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA · Hilario Shoc Ojotguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152242.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · Mercedes Luis Sulguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151702.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · José Mardoqueo Shoc Shocguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151511.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA · José Ramón Civil Sicajolguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151421.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

77.210–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.649196956889263, oldest_gap=8.60148514851485, previous_gap=3.0253371990419744

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[11.616954474097332,18.162057722497284,0,0,2.596304794106992,0,0,7.245501750996256,0,0,0,60.37918125830215],[3.0001260557166267,3.0127316273793014,25.879238623471576,0,0,0,0,11.609731501323585,0,3.126181772343376,0,53.37199041976554],[11.138613861386139,0,21.472772277227723,1.868811881188119,2.772277227722772,30.074257425742573,20.037128712871286,0,0,0,0,12.636138613861386]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

62.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[11.616954474097332,18.162057722497284,0,0,2.596304794106992,0,0,7.245501750996256,0,0,0,60.37918125830215],[3.0001260557166267,3.0127316273793014,25.879238623471576,0,0,0,0,11.609731501323585,0,3.126181772343376,0,53.37199041976554],[11.138613861386139,0,21.472772277227723,1.868811881188119,2.772277227722772,30.074257425742573,20.037128712871286,0,0,0,0,12.636138613861386]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[11.616954474097332,18.162057722497284,0,0,2.596304794106992,0,0,7.245501750996256,0,0,0,60.37918125830215],[3.0001260557166267,3.0127316273793014,25.879238623471576,0,0,0,0,11.609731501323585,0,3.126181772343376,0,53.37199041976554],[11.138613861386139,0,21.472772277227723,1.868811881188119,2.772277227722772,30.074257425742573,20.037128712871286,0,0,0,0,12.636138613861386]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Jose Luis Marroquín PamalAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Edgar David Cojolón ShocSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Victor Antonio Sul ChuySíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Jorge Mario Sáenz XocSíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Marco Antonio Morán SantizoConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Esteban Choy RodríguezConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Jose Marcos Cojolón DondiegoConcejal 32015TODOSunknown
Pedro Canrey SalománConcejal 42015PPunknown
Daniel Ojot MarroquínConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Alejandro Cojolón ChuyConcejal suplente 22015TODOSunknown
SERGIO GONZALO SUL CIVILALCALDE2019UNIDOSunknown
RIGOBERTO BUCU MAZATESÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNIDOSunknown
IGNACIO SUL CIVILSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNIDOSunknown
SARAHI CIRIACO AGUILAR DE MARROQUINSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNIDOSunknown
CESAR HIDARIO CANREY MARROQUINCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNIDOSunknown
RENE ANTONIO PAMAL COJOLONCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNIDOSunknown
MANUEL ANTONIO OJOT PÉREZCONCEJAL TERCERO2019TODOSunknown
DANIEL OJOT MARROQUÍNCONCEJAL CUARTO2019P.C.unknown
RIGOBERTO CHUY YACHPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNIDOSunknown
JUAN VIRGILIO CIVIL SHOCSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019TODOSunknown
SERGIO GONZALO SUL CIVILALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023ELEFANTEunknown
CECILIO OJOT COCSINDICO I2023ELEFANTEunknown
JOSE LEON PAMAL RODRIGUEZSINDICO II2023ELEFANTEunknown
GABRIEL CHOY VALLECONCEJAL I2023ELEFANTEunknown
CESAR HIDARIO CANREY MARROQUINCONCEJAL II2023ELEFANTEunknown
ALEX WILFREDO CIVIL GARAVITOCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
NARCISO COJOLON PAMALCONCEJAL IV2023CABALunknown
LUCAS CIVIL MELGARCONCEJAL V2023UNEunknown
LUIS PEDRO HERNANDEZ RANCHOSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023ELEFANTEunknown
KEVIN OTONIEL RAMIREZ PAMALCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023ELEFANTEunknown
JORGE LUIS MELGARCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Alotenango — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-14. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.