Office briefing
San Miguel Dueñas — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · San Miguel Dueñas / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-13
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Miguel Dueñas / Sacatepéquez
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-4ef0ea9797520a5cbcf5062f
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS37.0%
- VALOR UNIONISTA36.7%
- CABAL16.0%
- UNE5.9%
- VIVA3.8%
- PPN0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · EDUARDO MORALES MEDIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,503 | 37% | 5 | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,490 | 36.7% | 2 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 648 | 16% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 239 | 5.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 153 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 24 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNIONISTA38.2%
- UNE21.5%
- CREO19.7%
- LA PLANTA17.6%
- VAMOS3.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIONISTA · JOSE OTILIO BARRIENTOS CABRERA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,626 | 38.2% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 914 | 21.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 838 | 19.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| LA PLANTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 747 | 17.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 129 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- TODOS65.0%
- LIDER35.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TODOS · Pedro Horacio Quiñónez Hernández | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 3,273 | 65% | 6 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Jorge Rodrigo Ramirez Hernández | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,759 | 35% | 1 | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI58.890–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.32043381809218374, oldest_gap=30.087440381558025, previous_gap=16.73718852844382
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility73.52percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.891052501848657,37.047079122504314,0,0,3.771259551392655,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.29060882425438],[21.48566055477198,3.0324400564174896,0,0,0,0,0,19.699106723084157,0,38.2228490832158,0,17.559943582510577],[0,0,65.04372019077901,0,0,34.95627980922099,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility100percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.891052501848657,37.047079122504314,0,0,3.771259551392655,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.29060882425438],[21.48566055477198,3.0324400564174896,0,0,0,0,0,19.699106723084157,0,38.2228490832158,0,17.559943582510577],[0,0,65.04372019077901,0,0,34.95627980922099,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility86.76percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.891052501848657,37.047079122504314,0,0,3.771259551392655,0,0,0,0,0,0,53.29060882425438],[21.48566055477198,3.0324400564174896,0,0,0,0,0,19.699106723084157,0,38.2228490832158,0,17.559943582510577],[0,0,65.04372019077901,0,0,34.95627980922099,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Horacio Quiñónez Hernández | Alcalde | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Ana Yolanda Vásquez Girón de Barrientos | Síndico I | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Juventino Matias Medio | Síndico II | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Diego Domingo Melgar Cabrera | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Alejandro Fernández Cabrera | Concejal 1 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Daniel Oswaldo Pérez Ramírez | Concejal 2 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Edgar Amilcar García Ortiz | Concejal 3 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Tomas Estuardo Vega Tobar | Concejal 4 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Juan Alberto García Jerez | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Bias Periandro Cabrera Martínez | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| JOSE OTILIO BARRIENTOS CABRERA | ALCALDE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| JOSE TITO HERNANDEZ OBREGON | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| JOSE GENARO MORALES MATIAS | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| HILDA YANETH MEJIA MOYA DE LA CRUZ | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JUAN ALBERTO GARCIA JEREZ | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| MARGARITO MELGAR JEREZ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| WILLIAMS ESTUARDO PEREIRA MENDIZABAL | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JUAN CARLOS MEDIO YAPAN | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| JACOBO ANTOLIN YAPAN MATIAS | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| JUAN MIGUEL HERNANDEZ QUIÑONEZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| EDUARDO MORALES MEDIO | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| EDGAR DANILO OBREGON ZAMORA | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| FELIPE AMILCAR OTZIN LOPEZ | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| DOUGLAS ARGELIO VELIZ ARIAS | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| RICARDO SAGCHE CHAJON | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| HUGO FRANCISCO MUÑOZ HERNANDEZ | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| WILLIAMS ESTUARDO PEREIRA MENDIZABAL | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| YURI ONELI PALENCIA CABRERA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| HUGO FERNANDO MEDIO GOMEZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSE GENARO MORALES MATIAS | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Miguel Dueñas — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-13. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.