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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Ciudad Vieja — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Ciudad Vieja / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-12

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Ciudad Vieja / Sacatepéquez
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-3398f0fb08f35af71e24b65d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LBRE CIUDAD VIEJA48.8%
  • CABAL16.0%
  • VAMOS13.1%
  • UNE10.1%
  • PPN6.5%
  • AZUL1.8%
  • VIVA1.6%
  • WINAQ1.0%
  • MI FAMILIA0.7%
  • CREO0.4%
Results for event-a76e33bbfb556ee1f887cd9d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LBRE CIUDAD VIEJA · CLEMENTE FEDERICO ARTURO BETHANCOURT SANCHEZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,67848.8%6Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,86316%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,52413.1%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,17410.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237536.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232121.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231841.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231121%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023840.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023440.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIBRE29.9%
  • PC24.8%
  • VAMOS23.0%
  • UNE8.1%
  • UNIONISTA5.4%
  • CREO4.4%
  • TODOS2.7%
  • FUERZA1.7%
Results for event-e60733250320023af4e2614f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBRE · CLEMENTE FEDERICO ARTURO BETHANCOURT SANCHEZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,97829.9%5Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,46924.8%2Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,28923%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198108.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195405.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194434.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192722.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191671.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP34.7%
  • LIDER27.4%
  • CREO- Unionista9.6%
  • TODOS9.2%
  • PAN7.1%
  • UNE5.9%
  • FCN NACION4.8%
  • UCN1.4%
Results for event-eb5228b9461f4182c2303593
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · José Juventino Paredes Galindoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,61434.7%6Recorded
LIDER · Oscar Antonio Cruz Quiñonezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,85227.4%2Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Hugo Orlando Palacios Andrinoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159969.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Cesar Augusto López Lópezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159629.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAN · Edgar Orlando Marroquín Olayoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20157387.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNE · José Ricardo Castellanos Reyesguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156115.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · Julio Cesar López Zeladaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155024.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Marcelo Pérez Gómezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151491.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=32.80873753009976, oldest_gap=7.310053722179585, previous_gap=5.10634028892456

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[10.096319229446165,13.106295149638802,0,0,1.5823873409012728,0,0,0.3783969728242174,0,0,0,74.83660130718954],[8.126003210272874,22.963483146067414,2.7287319422150884,0,0,0,0,4.44422150882825,0,5.417335473515249,0,56.32022471910113],[5.861473522640061,0,9.228702993092863,1.4293937068303915,0,27.35993860322333,34.669992325402916,0,0,0,0,21.450498848810437]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

69.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[10.096319229446165,13.106295149638802,0,0,1.5823873409012728,0,0,0.3783969728242174,0,0,0,74.83660130718954],[8.126003210272874,22.963483146067414,2.7287319422150884,0,0,0,0,4.44422150882825,0,5.417335473515249,0,56.32022471910113],[5.861473522640061,0,9.228702993092863,1.4293937068303915,0,27.35993860322333,34.669992325402916,0,0,0,0,21.450498848810437]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[10.096319229446165,13.106295149638802,0,0,1.5823873409012728,0,0,0.3783969728242174,0,0,0,74.83660130718954],[8.126003210272874,22.963483146067414,2.7287319422150884,0,0,0,0,4.44422150882825,0,5.417335473515249,0,56.32022471910113],[5.861473522640061,0,9.228702993092863,1.4293937068303915,0,27.35993860322333,34.669992325402916,0,0,0,0,21.450498848810437]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
José Juventino Paredes GalindoAlcalde2015PPunknown
Apolonio Cana HernándezSíndico I2015PPunknown
Cesar Augusto Morales HernándezSíndico II2015PPunknown
Oscar Demetrio Hernández HernándezSíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Daniel Vásquez MartínezConcejal 12015PPunknown
Sergio Anibal Oviedo YllescasConcejal 22015PPunknown
Victor Leonel Hernández CastellanosConcejal 32015PPunknown
Williams Roberto Villalta GutiérrezConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Henry David González GómezConcejal 52015LIDERunknown
Miguel Angel Argueta ParadaConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Hector Ricardo García CastellanosConcejal suplente 22015LIDERunknown
CLEMENTE FEDERICO ARTURO BETHANCOURT SANCHEZALCALDE2019LIBREunknown
JUAN CARLOS DE PAZ PAREDESSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019LIBREunknown
HERMOGENES ROSAS JIMENEZSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019LIBREunknown
TEODORO TAJ PEREZSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019LIBREunknown
CARLOS AMILCAR VILLALTA GUITIERREZCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019LIBREunknown
ARTEMIO MENDOZA HERNANDEZCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019LIBREunknown
VICTOR LEONEL HERNÁNDEZ CASTELLANOSCONCEJAL TERCERO2019P.C.unknown
DANIEL VÁSQUEZ MARTÍNEZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019P.C.unknown
EDGAR ORLANDO MARROQUÍN OLAYOCONCEJAL QUINTO2019VAMOSunknown
FERNANDO CELADA ZULETAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019LIBREunknown
MAYNOR DAVID ZELADA HERNÁNDEZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019P.C.unknown
CLEMENTE FEDERICO ARTURO BETHANCOURT SANCHEZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023SIN SIGLASunknown
ARTEMIO MENDOZA HERNANDEZSINDICO I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
HERMOGENES ROSAS JIMENEZSINDICO II2023SIN SIGLASunknown
MARIA LUISA GALINDO QUIÑONEZCONCEJAL I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
JUAN CARLOS DE PAZ PAREDESCONCEJAL II2023SIN SIGLASunknown
CARLOS AMILCAR VILLALTA GUTIERREZCONCEJAL III2023SIN SIGLASunknown
MARIA SARVELIA ROSAS ZELADACONCEJAL IV2023CABALunknown
LUIS FERNANDO ORTIZ AGUIRRECONCEJAL V2023VAMOSunknown
JUAN CECILIO VASQUEZ PEREIRASINDICO SUPLENTE I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
JAIME EDUARDO VILLAVICENCIO LOPEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
AMBROCIO FLORES HERNANDEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023SIN SIGLASunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Ciudad Vieja — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-12. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.