Office briefing
Santa Lucía Milpas Altas — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Lucía Milpas Altas / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-09
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Lucía Milpas Altas / Sacatepéquez
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-a48d764afe14b526e2c065f3
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CABAL41.7%
- PPG28.0%
- PPN12.5%
- VALOR UNIONISTA7.7%
- UNE5.3%
- SEMILLA2.2%
- UR0.9%
- MLP0.6%
- MI FAMILIA0.6%
- VAMOS0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CABAL · LUIS ORLANDO GUERRA OLIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 3,091 | 41.7% | 5 | Recorded |
| PPG | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,071 | 28% | 2 | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 928 | 12.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 568 | 7.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 396 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 162 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 67 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 43 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI FAMILIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 43 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 36 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- TODOS45.8%
- UNIONISTA34.5%
- VAMOS8.7%
- UNE4.3%
- PC3.1%
- CREO1.6%
- PHG1.3%
- UCN0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TODOS · AUGUSTO AGUSTÍN VICENTE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,968 | 45.8% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNIONISTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,237 | 34.5% | 2 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 562 | 8.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 281 | 4.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 199 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 102 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 87 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 39 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- PP31.9%
- TODOS26.7%
- PRI17.4%
- LIDER7.5%
- FCN NACION6.2%
- CREO- Unionista5.2%
- PAN2.1%
- UNE2.0%
- UCN0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP · Carlos Humberto Guerra Ruano | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,813 | 31.9% | 5 | Recorded |
| TODOS · Augusto Agustín Vicente | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,518 | 26.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PRI · Juan Luis López Pérez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 988 | 17.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Marlon Federico Cifuentes Almengor | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 429 | 7.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Julio Francisco Guzmán Rompiche | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 355 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Sonia Hermelinda Santizo Reyna | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 298 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAN · Luis Fernando Acajabon Garcia | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 121 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE · Luis Estuardo Spillari Rivera | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 115 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Raúl Manuel Merida Meoño | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 46 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI39.150–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.774476704929103, oldest_gap=5.190920288579974, previous_gap=11.28957528957529
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility90.76percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.347738014854828,0.4861580013504389,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.187711006076975,91.97839297771777],[4.33976833976834,8.67953667953668,45.83783783783784,0.6023166023166023,0,0,0,1.5752895752895753,0,34.54826254826255,0,4.416988416988417],[2.023579095548126,0,26.711244061235263,0.8094316382192503,0,7.548829843392574,31.902164349815237,0,0,0,0,31.004751011789548]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility66.25percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.347738014854828,0.4861580013504389,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.187711006076975,91.97839297771777],[4.33976833976834,8.67953667953668,45.83783783783784,0.6023166023166023,0,0,0,1.5752895752895753,0,34.54826254826255,0,4.416988416988417],[2.023579095548126,0,26.711244061235263,0.8094316382192503,0,7.548829843392574,31.902164349815237,0,0,0,0,31.004751011789548]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility78.5percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.347738014854828,0.4861580013504389,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.187711006076975,91.97839297771777],[4.33976833976834,8.67953667953668,45.83783783783784,0.6023166023166023,0,0,0,1.5752895752895753,0,34.54826254826255,0,4.416988416988417],[2.023579095548126,0,26.711244061235263,0.8094316382192503,0,7.548829843392574,31.902164349815237,0,0,0,0,31.004751011789548]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Humberto Guerra Ruano | Alcalde | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Edgar Leonel Marquez Arrecis | Síndico I | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Rolando Arturo Aragón López | Síndico II | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Rolando Tunche Jiménez | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Leonel Muralles Pirir | Concejal 1 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| José Demetrio Amalio Acajabon García | Concejal 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Rosa Lilya Girón Cuevas | Concejal 3 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Juan Antonio García Pérez | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PRI | unknown |
| Efren Eduardo Cuevas Hernández | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Edwin Enrique Chávez Pineda | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| AUGUSTO AGUSTÍN VICENTE | ALCALDE | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| JOSÉ CAMILO ARAGÓN GUZMÁN | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| ELIDA NOEMÍ CARDONA REYES | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| MILGUEM LIZARDO CHUQUIEJ GUZMAN | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| LUIS ALFREDO UBEDA MORALES | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| SERGIO FERNANDO LÓPEZ MONZÓN | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| ELVIN ORLANDO GIRON CASTELLANOS | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| WALFRE GONZALO ESTRADA REYES | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| TADEO VITALINO MUÑOZ ESTRADA | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| ANA ROSARIO GARCIA | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| LUIS ORLANDO GUERRA OLIVA | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| GERSON ZIVVERMAN ARAGON CASTELLANOS | SINDICO I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| MARVIN ARENALES JEREZ | SINDICO II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| BORIS OMAR SALAZAR HERRERA | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOSUE YANUARIO ACAJABON TORRES | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JORGE ALEJANDRO DEL AGUILA MINAS | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | PPG | unknown |
| JOSE RAUL ESTRADA CERMEÑO | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | PPG | unknown |
| ANA ROSARIO GARCIA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| BYRON ENECON SAS CARDENAS | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| CLAUDIA LETICIA MENDEZ MAYORGA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | PPG | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Lucía Milpas Altas — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-09. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.