Office briefing
San Bartolomé Milpas Altas — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · San Bartolomé Milpas Altas / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-07
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Bartolomé Milpas Altas / Sacatepéquez
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-ec527729e026eae8b46d18ff
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CABAL24.7%
- PIN19.5%
- VAMOS17.4%
- VIVA9.0%
- VOS8.7%
- VALOR UNIONISTA8.0%
- AZUL4.4%
- MI FAMILIA3.7%
- UNE3.6%
- VICTORIA0.5%
- TODOS0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CABAL · RUBEN ERNESTO AXPUAC VELASQUEZ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 844 | 24.7% | 5 | Recorded |
| PIN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 668 | 19.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 597 | 17.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 308 | 9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 297 | 8.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 275 | 8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 150 | 4.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI FAMILIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 127 | 3.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 123 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 17 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 16 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- PC35.4%
- TODOS24.8%
- UNE10.2%
- VIVA6.4%
- MLP5.8%
- UNIONISTA4.9%
- VAMOS4.3%
- PAN4.0%
- FUERZA4.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PC · ROSALIO AXPUAC MARTÍNEZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,117 | 35.4% | 5 | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 781 | 24.8% | 2 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 323 | 10.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 203 | 6.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 183 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIONISTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 156 | 4.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 136 | 4.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 127 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 127 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE39.9%
- LIDER38.6%
- VIVA9.8%
- J.C.5.1%
- CREO- Unionista4.8%
- TODOS1.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · Rubén Ernesto Axpuac Velásquez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,106 | 39.9% | 5 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Rosalio Axpuac Martínez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,070 | 38.6% | 2 | Recorded |
| VIVA · Brenda Marleny Mayen Velásquez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 270 | 9.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| J.C. · Catalina Martínez Velásquez de Galindo | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 141 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Jose Celso Axpuac Martínez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 133 | 4.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Balter Arnoldo Toledo Martínez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 49 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI67.940–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.143191116306252, oldest_gap=1.3001083423618667, previous_gap=10.656517602283536
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility35.9percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[3.5943892460549387,17.44593804792519,0.46756282875511396,0,9.000584453535945,0,0,0,0,0,0,69.49152542372882],[10.244211861718998,4.313352362829051,24.770060260069776,0,6.438312718046305,0,0,0,0,4.9476688867745,0,49.286393910561365],[39.94221740700614,0,1.7695919104369808,0,9.750812567713977,38.64210906464427,0,0,0,0,0,9.895269050198628]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility71.65percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[3.5943892460549387,17.44593804792519,0.46756282875511396,0,9.000584453535945,0,0,0,0,0,0,69.49152542372882],[10.244211861718998,4.313352362829051,24.770060260069776,0,6.438312718046305,0,0,0,0,4.9476688867745,0,49.286393910561365],[39.94221740700614,0,1.7695919104369808,0,9.750812567713977,38.64210906464427,0,0,0,0,0,9.895269050198628]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility53.78percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[3.5943892460549387,17.44593804792519,0.46756282875511396,0,9.000584453535945,0,0,0,0,0,0,69.49152542372882],[10.244211861718998,4.313352362829051,24.770060260069776,0,6.438312718046305,0,0,0,0,4.9476688867745,0,49.286393910561365],[39.94221740700614,0,1.7695919104369808,0,9.750812567713977,38.64210906464427,0,0,0,0,0,9.895269050198628]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubén Ernesto Axpuac Velásquez | Alcalde | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| José Augusto Velásquez Chacón | Síndico I | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Jose Luis Juárez | Síndico II | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Jose Cruz Martínez Juárez | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Fredy Yovany Hernández Axpuac | Concejal 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Clemente Velásquez Juárez | Concejal 2 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Alex Everardo Acajabon Axpuac | Concejal 3 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Carlos Humberto Baxac Martínez | Concejal 4 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| María Enriqueta Chiroy Velásquez | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Salvador Eli Axpuac Pixtun | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| ROSALIO AXPUAC MARTÍNEZ | ALCALDE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| EMMANUEL JOSYMAR MEJÍA JUÁREZ | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| PEDRO DÍAZ AXPUAC | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| FILIBERTO JUÁREZ MARTÍNEZ | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| CARLOS HUMBERTO BAXAC MARTÍNEZ | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| SALVADOR ELI AXPUAC PIXTUN | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| RUBÉN ERNESTO AXPUAC VELASQUEZ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| JOSE AUGUSTO VELASQUEZ CHACON | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| ROSALIO MONTUFAR RAMIREZ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| JOSSE CRUZ MARTINEZ JUAREZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | TODOS | unknown |
| RUBEN ERNESTO AXPUAC VELASQUEZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| CARLOS HUMBERTO BAXAC MARTINEZ | SINDICO I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOSE JOAQUIN AXPUAX VELASQUEZ | SINDICO II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOSE AUGUSTO VELASQUEZ CHACON | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOSE LUIS JUAREZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| DAVID ANDRES MARTINEZ CANO | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | PIN | unknown |
| JULIO FRANCISCO DE PAZ VELASQUEZ | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MANUEL DE JESÚS MENDOZA VELASQUEZ | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| AURA LILIANA VELASQUEZ HERNANDEZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOHNY MISRAHY RETANA CHIROY | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | PIN | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Bartolomé Milpas Altas — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-07. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.