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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Sumpango — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Sumpango / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-04

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Sumpango / Sacatepéquez
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-8ef8e0521f30b65da1926b94
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • CC SOMOS SUMPANGO22.2%
  • CC NUEVO AMANECER SUMPANGO20.7%
  • PPN16.7%
  • VAMOS16.0%
  • CABAL11.5%
  • AZUL5.0%
  • UNE3.2%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA3.2%
  • MI FAMILIA1.5%
Results for event-f0a8127b171f776521869560
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CC SOMOS SUMPANGO · CARLOS ENRIQUE CUBUR SULAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,63722.2%4Recorded
CC NUEVO AMANECER SUMPANGOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,45920.7%1Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,98316.7%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,90216%1Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,36111.5%1Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235955%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233863.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233793.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231761.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • CCSS27.9%
  • NUEVO AMANECER SUMPANGO23.3%
  • PC16.8%
  • VAMOS8.6%
  • TODOS7.6%
  • UNE6.8%
  • FUERZA5.9%
  • MLP3.1%
Results for event-a61a021d85e417554afc57cf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CCSS · CARLOS ENRIQUE CUBUR SULÁguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,12227.9%5Recorded
NUEVO AMANECER SUMPANGOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,59823.3%2Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,87616.8%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199608.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198517.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197596.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20196635.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193433.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER26.6%
  • SOMOS SUMPANGO21.4%
  • TODOS11.4%
  • EG10.1%
  • PP8.9%
  • UNE8.3%
  • CONVERGENCIA4.1%
  • CREO- Unionista3.8%
  • FCN NACION3.2%
  • UCN2.2%
Results for event-e00920c5d15017fd7ad7c68d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Efrain Paredes Geronimoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,06626.6%5Recorded
SOMOS SUMPANGO · Carlos Enrique Cubur Sulaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,46921.4%2Recorded
TODOS · Luis Paulino Puc Rucalguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,31311.4%1Recorded
EG · Sandra Leticia Ixjotop Cucguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,15810.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PP · José Rodolfo Gil Quisquinayguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,0238.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNE · Margarito Rucal Colchajguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159608.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONVERGENCIA · Delfino Acual Tejaxunguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154734.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Osmar Anibal Siliezar Chiquitoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154353.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · Armando Xicon Rabayguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153673.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Jose Felipe Escobarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152492.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

85.880–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.4985687826233374, oldest_gap=5.1854425432120195, previous_gap=4.690297171500177

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[3.249705337598922,16.012796767132514,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.73749789526856],[6.793770139634801,8.592910848549947,7.617257429287505,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.99606158252774],[8.338400069486667,0,11.40449926170416,2.1627725180231043,0,26.630765221923042,8.88560757404673,0,0,0,0,42.57795535481629]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[3.249705337598922,16.012796767132514,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.73749789526856],[6.793770139634801,8.592910848549947,7.617257429287505,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.99606158252774],[8.338400069486667,0,11.40449926170416,2.1627725180231043,0,26.630765221923042,8.88560757404673,0,0,0,0,42.57795535481629]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[3.249705337598922,16.012796767132514,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.73749789526856],[6.793770139634801,8.592910848549947,7.617257429287505,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.99606158252774],[8.338400069486667,0,11.40449926170416,2.1627725180231043,0,26.630765221923042,8.88560757404673,0,0,0,0,42.57795535481629]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Efrain Paredes GeronimoAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Marvin Francisco Barrios de LeónSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Jose Humberto Imuchac AnonaSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Rudy Orlando Sula PérezSíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Longino Chajon SuruyConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Ervin Adolfo Cuyuch YansisConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
José Gonzalo Xicon RabayConcejal 32015SOMOS SUMPANGOunknown
Ramiro Gallina ZulúConcejal 42015SOMOS SUMPANGOunknown
Timoteo Burrion JojConcejal 52015TODOSunknown
Fabian Chiquito SenteConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Edi Geovani Otoniel Balán LópezConcejal suplente 22015SOMOS SUMPANGOunknown
CARLOS ENRIQUE CUBUR SULÁALCALDE2019CCSSunknown
MARIO ROLANDO ARRIOLA CAYSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019CCSSunknown
JULIO ROBERTO TAJÍN JOJSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019CCSSunknown
WILFREDO XICÓN CHIQUITÓSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019CCSSunknown
MIRIAM PAOLA TEJAXÚN XUNICCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019CCSSunknown
JOSÉ RODOLFO GIL QUISQUINAYCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019CCSSunknown
MARIO OSWALDO CUBUR QUEXELCONCEJAL TERCERO2019NUEVO AMANECER SUMPANGOunknown
JOSÉ MIGUEL GIL SULÁCONCEJAL CUARTO2019NUEVO AMANECER SUMPANGOunknown
FERNANDO CAJBÓN TAJÍNCONCEJAL QUINTO2019PROSPERIDAD CIUDADANAunknown
JUAN CAY IXTAMALICPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019CCSSunknown
LUIS ALBERTO SÁNCHEZ MEJÍASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019NUEVO AMANECER SUMPANGOunknown
CARLOS ENRIQUE CUBUR SULAALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023SIN SIGLASunknown
MARIO ROLANDO ARRIOLA CAYSINDICO I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
JULIO ROBERTO TAJIN JOJSINDICO II2023SIN SIGLASunknown
JOSE RODOLFO GIL QUISQUINAYCONCEJAL I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
OSMAR ANIBAL SILIEZAR CHIQUITOCONCEJAL II2023SIN SIGLASunknown
JULIO GUAMUCH AVILACONCEJAL III2023PPNunknown
SlLVIA ISABEL RACZAN SOLISCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
ALFREDO RUCAL CUBURCONCEJAL V2023CABALunknown
EDI GEOVANI OTONIEL BALAN LOPEZSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
OTTO RENE QUEXEL LAROJCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023SIN SIGLASunknown
DENNIS JEAN CARLO BURRION XlCONCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023SIN SIGLASunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Sumpango — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-04. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.