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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Pastores — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Pastores / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-03

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Pastores / Sacatepéquez
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-d3125521fb9dac896575ec05
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • CABAL56.7%
  • M.U.P36.7%
  • UNE4.6%
  • VAMOS2.0%
Results for event-dd023b88f7afb8fff09536d5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CABAL · JOSE LIZANDRO ZAMORA CHAMALEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234,46756.7%6Recorded
M.U.Pguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,89136.7%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233604.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231562%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MUP43.8%
  • UNE37.9%
  • VAMOS16.3%
  • UNIONISTA2.0%
Results for event-4259659fb37964cfeca8db28
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MUP · HUGO LEONEL MENDOZA REYESguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,42743.8%5Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,96937.9%2Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,27716.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191562%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • M.U.P48.6%
  • UNE43.4%
  • TODOS3.0%
  • CREO- Unionista2.1%
  • FUERZA2.0%
  • PP0.9%
Results for event-a584cd32e37e0d4bdc75e423
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
M.U.P · Miguel Ángel Lopez Barahonaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,65448.6%5Recorded
UNE · José Lizandro Zamora Chamaleguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,26643.4%2Recorded
TODOS · Carlos René Jiménezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152233%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Rebeca Curiales García de Damianguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151602.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA · Raul Hernandez Ruizguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151482%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PP · Rudy Noel García Valleguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015710.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

28.60–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.015240030480058, oldest_gap=5.158202605689979, previous_gap=5.850044705581809

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[4.572009144018288,1.9812039624079247,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.44678689357379],[37.92310639928471,16.311150849406054,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.992591646442713,0,43.77315110486652],[43.4193033767615,0,2.964637064610476,0,0,0,0.9438978994948152,0,0,0,0,52.67216165913321]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[4.572009144018288,1.9812039624079247,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.44678689357379],[37.92310639928471,16.311150849406054,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.992591646442713,0,43.77315110486652],[43.4193033767615,0,2.964637064610476,0,0,0,0.9438978994948152,0,0,0,0,52.67216165913321]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[4.572009144018288,1.9812039624079247,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.44678689357379],[37.92310639928471,16.311150849406054,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.992591646442713,0,43.77315110486652],[43.4193033767615,0,2.964637064610476,0,0,0,0.9438978994948152,0,0,0,0,52.67216165913321]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Miguel Ángel Lopez BarahonaAlcalde2015M.U.P.unknown
Carlos Ernesto ArriazaSíndico I2015M.U.P.unknown
Jeovani Catavi ValleSíndico II2015M.U.P.unknown
Bernardino Ramos AlvaradoSíndico Suplente2015M.U.P.unknown
Hugo Leonel Mendoza ReyesConcejal 12015M.U.P.unknown
Hector Antonio Garcia CayConcejal 22015M.U.P.unknown
Leandro Quinac MoralesConcejal 32015UNEunknown
Marco Aurelio Yol PatzanConcejal 42015UNEunknown
Irene Guerra Solis de LopezConcejal suplente 12015M.U.P.unknown
Carlos Antonio Morales CoyConcejal suplente 22015UNEunknown
HUGO LEONEL MENDOZA REYESALCALDE2019MUPunknown
FERNANDO ESDUARDO BARRUTIA HERNÁNDEZSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019MUPunknown
JUAN CARLOS PULUC PÉREZSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019MUPunknown
DORIS EMILSA CATAVI BARRUTIASÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019MUPunknown
VICTOR AVILIO HERNÁNDEZ VEGACONCEJAL PRIMERO2019MUPunknown
JANY GUALBERTO BARAHONA CATAVÍCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
CARLOS ANTONIO MORALES COYCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
IRENE GUERRA SOLIS LÓPEZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019MUPunknown
CARLOS FRANCISCO SÁNCHEZ VALENZUELAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
JOSÉ BAYRON VALLE SÁNCHEZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019MUPunknown
JOSE LIZANDRO ZAMORA CHAMALEALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023CABALunknown
ROGELIO MORALES GODINEZSINDICO I2023CABALunknown
LUIS FELIPE GONZALEZ ALVAREZSINDICO II2023CABALunknown
BRADYS ANTONIO BARAHONA ANDRADECONCEJAL I2023CABALunknown
LUIS ALFONZO GARCIA ROMEROCONCEJAL II2023CABALunknown
ESVIN ALFREDO ANDRADE HERNANDEZCONCEJAL III2023CABALunknown
LUIS DAVID YOL BARAHONACONCEJAL IV2023M.U.Punknown
CESAR ANTONIO SALAZAR COLCHAJSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023CABALunknown
LUIS FERNANDO PEREZ GARCIACONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023CABALunknown
JOSE ORLANDO VASQUEZ VIELMANCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023M.U.Punknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Pastores — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-03. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.