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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Villa Canales — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Villa Canales / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-16

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Villa Canales / Guatemala
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-58b17e44b508a3887eef3ad8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VALOR26.3%
  • UNE20.9%
  • VAMOS9.8%
  • SEMILLA6.0%
  • VICTORIA4.7%
  • BIEN4.7%
  • PIN4.1%
  • PPG3.8%
  • PODEMOS3.7%
  • TODOS2.2%
  • VOS2.2%
  • CABAL1.4%
  • PPN1.4%
  • UNIONISTA1.4%
  • SER1.3%
  • UR1.1%
  • PHG1.0%
  • AZUL1.0%
  • FCN-NACION0.8%
  • P A N0.8%
  • PR0.6%
  • CAMBIO0.4%
  • MLP0.3%
Results for event-9410026f8559acc36c120531
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VALOR · RAMIRO RIVERA HERNÁNDEZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202312,67426.3%9Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202310,09420.9%3Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234,7419.8%1Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,9126%1Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,2894.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,2864.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PINguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,9694.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,8103.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,7603.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,0562.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,0512.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236951.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236931.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236511.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SERguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236271.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235121.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234921%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234581%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233970.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
P A Nguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233740.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232930.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232010.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231670.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE26.3%
  • UNIONISTA22.6%
  • VALOR14.3%
  • LIBRE9.0%
  • FUERZA4.7%
  • FCN-NACION3.5%
  • PHG3.3%
  • VAMOS3.0%
  • PC2.6%
  • CREO2.4%
  • VICTORIA2.1%
  • VIVA1.9%
  • URNG-MAIZ1.7%
  • UNIDOS0.9%
  • BIEN0.8%
  • CONVERGENCIA0.8%
Results for event-a1794075fafb0adfb8c96d36
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · JULIO DANIEL MARROQUIN ORDOÑEZguatemala/S6d250220e847/201911,68026.3%8Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/201910,02922.6%3Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20196,36114.3%2Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,9749%1Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,0944.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,5463.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,4773.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,3273%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,1562.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,0712.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199482.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198561.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URNG-MAIZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197681.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193940.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193590.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONVERGENCIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193510.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP43.5%
  • LIDER25.7%
  • UNE9.3%
  • TODOS5.1%
  • CREO- Unionista4.5%
  • PAN2.6%
  • VIVA2.6%
  • FUERZA2.4%
  • URNG MAIZ1.6%
  • PRI1.2%
  • UCN1.1%
  • CNN0.3%
Results for event-0d23adbff2b6390146247431
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · Julio Daniel Marroquín Ordóñezguatemala/S6241581360d0/201521,58143.5%10Recorded
LIDER · Erick Estuardo Pocasangre Moranguatemala/S6241581360d0/201512,75625.7%3Recorded
UNE · Irma Reyes Secaida De Garciaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,6279.3%1Recorded
TODOS · Ramiro Rivera Hernandezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,5115.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Juan Francisco Hernández Rosalesguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,2454.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAN · Agustin Castañeda Lopezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,3032.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA · Francisco Fermin Lago Chocheguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,2712.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA · Felix Martin Santos Blancoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,1992.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URNG MAIZ · Edgar Rodolfo Joge Lemusguatemala/S6241581360d0/20157711.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · Alfredo Cifuentes Alcazarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155881.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Nancy Yasmin Valenzuela Samayoaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155331.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CNN · Edgar Rolando Hernández Francoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151730.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

69.460–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.352475001037302, oldest_gap=17.807417571330564, previous_gap=3.7192223648937848

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[20.941039790880048,9.835691465084436,2.1907804655408487,0,0,0,0,0,0.8236172772913987,1.3505663665408074,6.041243101945978,58.81706153271649],[26.31163974679552,2.989344686986101,0,0,1.9283188033610417,0,0,2.412651213083733,3.482687932238517,22.592417381901736,0,40.28294023563334],[9.336534969127083,0,5.066790427378022,1.0755074861778118,2.5646716978086284,25.739537511602567,43.54695508293313,0,0,0,0,12.67000282497276]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

76.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[20.941039790880048,9.835691465084436,2.1907804655408487,0,0,0,0,0,0.8236172772913987,1.3505663665408074,6.041243101945978,58.81706153271649],[26.31163974679552,2.989344686986101,0,0,1.9283188033610417,0,0,2.412651213083733,3.482687932238517,22.592417381901736,0,40.28294023563334],[9.336534969127083,0,5.066790427378022,1.0755074861778118,2.5646716978086284,25.739537511602567,43.54695508293313,0,0,0,0,12.67000282497276]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[20.941039790880048,9.835691465084436,2.1907804655408487,0,0,0,0,0,0.8236172772913987,1.3505663665408074,6.041243101945978,58.81706153271649],[26.31163974679552,2.989344686986101,0,0,1.9283188033610417,0,0,2.412651213083733,3.482687932238517,22.592417381901736,0,40.28294023563334],[9.336534969127083,0,5.066790427378022,1.0755074861778118,2.5646716978086284,25.739537511602567,43.54695508293313,0,0,0,0,12.67000282497276]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Julio Daniel Marroquín OrdóñezAlcalde2015PPunknown
Venuz Anayte de León BarriosSíndico I2015PPunknown
Mario Gudiel Mendez MarroquínSíndico II2015PPunknown
Mardoqueo de Jesus Solis DominguezSíndico III2015PPunknown
Edgar Rolando González DonisSíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Mauricio Rodolfo Evans del CidConcejal 12015PPunknown
Cesar Edemilson Cantoral AlfaroConcejal 22015PPunknown
Juventino Morales PirilConcejal 32015PPunknown
Antonio Gustavo Ramírez AlvarezConcejal 42015PPunknown
Marvin Daniel de Leon MoralesConcejal 52015PPunknown
David Celedonio Pérez SinayConcejal 62015PPunknown
Candido Sebastián Cruz LemusConcejal 72015LIDERunknown
Werner Estuardo Gaitán MuñozConcejal 82015LIDERunknown
Norma Judith Morales FloresConcejal 92015LIDERunknown
Karla Maria del Rosario ZamoraConcejal 102015UNEunknown
Marcelo Gómez UriasConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Wester Adonay Aguirre RivasConcejal suplente 22015PPunknown
Cony Magali Avila CruzConcejal suplente 32015PPunknown
René Leonel Tobias ColindresConcejal suplente 42015LIDERunknown
JULIO DANIEL MARROQUIN ORDOÑEZALCALDE2019UNEunknown
CESAR EDEMILSON CANTORAL ALFAROSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
MARIO GUDIEL MENDEZ MARROQUINSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
MARDOQUEO DE JESUS SOLIS DOMINGUEZSÍNDICO TERCERO2019UNEunknown
EFRAIN ALVAREZ CHIGUICHONSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
ANTONIO GUSTAVO RAMIREZ ALVAREZCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
IRMA REYES SECAIDA DE GARCÍACONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
JUVENTINO MORALES PIRILCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
FELIPE DE JESÚS TECÚNCONCEJAL CUARTO2019UNEunknown
NORMA JUDITH MORALES FLORESCONCEJAL QUINTO2019UNIONISTAunknown
CARLOS RENE SANCHEZ POLANCOCONCEJAL SEXTO2019UNIONISTAunknown
JUAN FRANCISCO COOSEMANS NORIEGACONCEJAL SÉPTIMO2019UNIONISTAunknown
JORGE MARIO ROCA VALENZUELACONCEJAL OCTAVO2019VALORunknown
LUIS ALBERTO ZAMORA EVANSCONCEJAL NOVENO2019VALORunknown
VENUZ ANAYTE DE LEON BARRIOSCONCEJAL DÉCIMO2019LIBREunknown
INGRID PAOLA PIRIL PANADERO DE BURRIÓNPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
MARLENI NATIVIDAD MENCHU ITZOYSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
GILDA MARIA PEREZ JIMENEZ DE JIMENEZTERCER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNIONISTAunknown
MILTON GIOVANNY BARILLAS MELGARCUARTO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VALORunknown
RAMIRO RIVERA HERNÁNDEZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VALORunknown
LUIS ARMANDO GARCÍA RAYMUNDOSINDICO I2023VALORunknown
MARVIN DANIEL DE LEÓN MORALESSINDICO II2023VALORunknown
GERARDO ARMANDO QUIROA OSORIOSINDICO III2023VALORunknown
ESWIN EULALIO GAITÁN SOLORZANOCONCEJAL I2023VALORunknown
LUIS ALBERTO ZAMORA EVANSCONCEJAL II2023VALORunknown
ELFEGO ARTEMIO GAITÁN PINEDACONCEJAL III2023VALORunknown
HUVER EMILIANO YAT ROSACONCEJAL IV2023VALORunknown
LEONEL PICHE MALINCONCEJAL V2023VALORunknown
NORMA JUDITH MORALES FLORESCONCEJAL VI2023UNEunknown
REINA ELIZABETH RODRÍGUEZ MONTERROSOCONCEJAL VII2023UNEunknown
JULIO ESTUARDO CARCAMO COLINDRESCONCEJAL VIII2023UNEunknown
GERMÁN LAZO LEMUSCONCEJAL IX2023VAMOSunknown
ELÍAS NEHEMÍAS JIMÉNEZ TRACHTENBERGCONCEJAL X2023SEMILLAunknown
VIVIAN LORENA SOLÍS MORALESSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
LEONEL DEL CID DÍAZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
ECDARO DAVID MARROQUÍN FINOCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VALORunknown
AGUSTIN CASTAÑEDA LÓPEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023UNEunknown
NIVIA GÓMEZ MORALESCONCEJAL SUPLENTE IV2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Villa Canales — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-16. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.