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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Amatitlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Amatitlán / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-14

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Amatitlán / Guatemala
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-6ffdb577118d3622be135ac8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VALOR21.7%
  • CABAL17.2%
  • BIEN15.3%
  • UNE7.8%
  • PPN7.4%
  • VAMOS4.3%
  • U R N G - MAIZ4.2%
  • MI FAMILIA4.1%
  • VOS3.2%
  • MLP2.5%
  • VIVA2.5%
  • AZUL2.3%
  • PHG1.5%
  • UR1.1%
  • P A N0.9%
  • VICTORIA0.7%
  • CREO0.7%
  • PODEMOS0.5%
  • CAMBIO0.5%
  • FCN-NACION0.5%
  • PR0.5%
  • TODOS0.4%
Results for event-37e691018e8e4363ce7e8507
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VALOR · MAINOR GUILLERMO ORELLANA MAZARIEGOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238,92021.7%7Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237,10117.2%3Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236,31915.3%2Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233,2137.8%1Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233,0567.4%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,7644.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
U R N G - MAIZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,7474.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,7014.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,3353.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,0352.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,0182.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20239442.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236031.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234541.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
P A Nguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233890.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233030.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232960.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232210.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232180.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232120.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231950.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231470.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VALOR45.0%
  • UNE10.6%
  • SEMILLA10.0%
  • FUERZA4.7%
  • FCN-NACION4.5%
  • CCD3.4%
  • CREO3.2%
  • PAN2.6%
  • URNG2.6%
  • TODOS2.5%
  • VICTORIA2.5%
  • VAMOS2.3%
  • VIVA2.0%
  • LIBRE1.4%
  • MLP1.2%
  • UNIONISTA0.6%
  • AVANZA0.5%
  • UCN0.4%
Results for event-6cccb697821ae1927b340fe7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VALOR · MAINOR GUILLERMO ORELLANA MAZARIEGOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/201916,72945%8Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,92910.6%1Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,72010%1Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,7474.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,6584.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CCDguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,2753.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,1993.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PANguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199812.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URNGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199712.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199412.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199242.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198382.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197532%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195241.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194501.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192130.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AVANZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191750.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191500.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE45.5%
  • PP24.8%
  • FCN NACION7.0%
  • CREO- Unionista5.3%
  • LIDER4.8%
  • UCN4.3%
  • TODOS3.9%
  • URNG MAIZ2.6%
  • EG1.7%
Results for event-511b4dd1aa0cf6120b7ab6e3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · Mara Ninethe Marroquin Flores de Alfaroguatemala/S6241581360d0/201517,41045.5%8Recorded
PP · Mainor Guillermo Orellana Mazariegosguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159,46824.8%2Recorded
FCN NACION · Lilian Suyapa Moreno Mejíaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,6867%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Ivan Arnoldo Almeda Girónguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,0465.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIDER · César Eduardo Barro Márquezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,8504.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · María de Los Angeles Prado Sánchezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,6484.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Elio Ramon Castellanos Barriosguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,4893.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URNG MAIZ · Mario Manuel Martínez Camisaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,0032.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EG · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156501.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

24.730–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.4160132067684685, oldest_gap=20.76339869281046, previous_gap=34.42988944777685

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[7.80024762690879,4.282488893204826,0.35687407443373553,0,2.4714136583234203,0,0,0.7186035784516035,0.5146755359180404,0,0,83.8556966327596],[10.568362159399628,2.2540818247841408,2.5311348414342203,0.40347526696613495,2.0254458401699975,0,0,3.2251123006159723,4.459746617532345,0.5729348790919117,10.006186620760147,63.9535196492455],[45.51633986928105,0,3.89281045751634,4.308496732026144,0,4.836601307189542,24.75294117647059,0,0,0,0,16.692810457516337]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

69.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[7.80024762690879,4.282488893204826,0.35687407443373553,0,2.4714136583234203,0,0,0.7186035784516035,0.5146755359180404,0,0,83.8556966327596],[10.568362159399628,2.2540818247841408,2.5311348414342203,0.40347526696613495,2.0254458401699975,0,0,3.2251123006159723,4.459746617532345,0.5729348790919117,10.006186620760147,63.9535196492455],[45.51633986928105,0,3.89281045751634,4.308496732026144,0,4.836601307189542,24.75294117647059,0,0,0,0,16.692810457516337]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[7.80024762690879,4.282488893204826,0.35687407443373553,0,2.4714136583234203,0,0,0.7186035784516035,0.5146755359180404,0,0,83.8556966327596],[10.568362159399628,2.2540818247841408,2.5311348414342203,0.40347526696613495,2.0254458401699975,0,0,3.2251123006159723,4.459746617532345,0.5729348790919117,10.006186620760147,63.9535196492455],[45.51633986928105,0,3.89281045751634,4.308496732026144,0,4.836601307189542,24.75294117647059,0,0,0,0,16.692810457516337]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Mara Ninethe Marroquin Flores de AlfaroAlcalde2015UNEunknown
Julio Roberto Reyes CuevasSíndico I2015UNEunknown
Eddy Herberth Gomez AlfaroSíndico II2015UNEunknown
Hector Vicente Cuc GonzálezSíndico Suplente2015UNEunknown
Jose Antonio Díaz AceitunoConcejal 12015UNEunknown
Fredi Adolfo de León CirinConcejal 22015UNEunknown
Hilda Esperanza Huas ChávezConcejal 32015UNEunknown
Edwin Rolando García LópezConcejal 42015UNEunknown
Roy Nelson Gamboni MoralesConcejal 52015UNEunknown
Byron Romeo Tello BalcarcelConcejal 62015PPunknown
Brenda Yannet Cruz Orrego de MelgarConcejal 72015PPunknown
Erick Ronaldo Suárez ReynosoConcejal suplente 12015UNEunknown
Victor Antonio Blanco JuárezConcejal suplente 22015UNEunknown
Marvin Orlando Guzmán CanizalezConcejal suplente 32015PPunknown
MAINOR GUILLERMO ORELLANA MAZARIEGOSALCALDE2019VALORunknown
NORMA VIOLETA AGUILAR LEIVASÍNDICO PRIMERO2019VALORunknown
LILIAN ROSARIO QUEZADA FERNANDEZSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019VALORunknown
ZOILA FRANCISCA JUSTINIANO BELTETÓN DE RAMÍREZSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
GUILLERMO ADOLFO PERALTA SANTOSCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019VALORunknown
LUIS PEDRO LAVARREDA FIGUEROACONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019VALORunknown
MAGDA ESTHER MAGALI ESTRADA PEREZCONCEJAL TERCERO2019VALORunknown
LUIS GERARDO SANCHEZ ECHEVERRIACONCEJAL CUARTO2019VALORunknown
JUAN CARLOS OVANDO RAMIREZCONCEJAL QUINTO2019VALORunknown
FREDI ADOLFO DE LEÓN CIRINCONCEJAL SEXTO2019UNEunknown
LORENA XIOMARA ORELLANA CABRERACONCEJAL SÉPTIMO2019SEMILLAunknown
CARLOS ADONAY AYALA ORELLANAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VALORunknown
LUIS ANTONIO PERALTA FIGUEROASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VALORunknown
JUAN ARNOLDO AGUILAR SANCHEZTERCER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VALORunknown
MAINOR GUILLERMO ORELLANA MAZARIEGOSALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VALORunknown
NORMA VIOLETA AGUILAR LEIVASINDICO I2023VALORunknown
LILIAN ROSARIO QUEZADA FERNÁNDEZSINDICO II2023VALORunknown
ADELSO SOLÍS GARCÍASINDICO III2023VALORunknown
JUAN CARLOS OVANDO RAMÍREZCONCEJAL I2023VALORunknown
LUIS GERARDO SÁNCHEZ ECHEVERRÍACONCEJAL II2023VALORunknown
LUIS PEDRO LAVARREDA FIGUEROACONCEJAL III2023VALORunknown
JOSUÉ DAVID GARCÍA ESCOBARCONCEJAL IV2023CABALunknown
JULIO ROBERTO REYES CUEVASCONCEJAL V2023CABALunknown
FRANCISCO MAMERTO DE LEÓN OVANDOCONCEJAL VI2023CABALunknown
LUISA BETZABÉ ARIAS DE LA CRUZCONCEJAL VII2023BIENunknown
LORENA XIOMARA ORELLANA CABRERACONCEJAL VIII2023BIENunknown
JUAN CARLOS DEL BUSTO SOTOCONCEJAL IX2023UNEunknown
MAYNOR FRANCISCO ARDÓN CABRERACONCEJAL X2023PPNunknown
HAROL MANUEL CARRILLO HERNÁNDEZSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
OSCAR JOSÉ GIL IBAÑEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
ÁLVARO AUGUSTO ALFARO OCHOACONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VALORunknown
CARLOS ANTONIO SARAVIA VÁSQUEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023CABALunknown
AMANDA YANIRA VELÁSQUEZ JUÁREZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE IV2023BIENunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Amatitlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-14. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.