Office briefing
Chuarrancho — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Chuarrancho / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-12
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Chuarrancho / Guatemala
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5f6d2b92f44c5937842f4912
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS28.5%
- AZUL25.4%
- PHG17.8%
- CABAL8.0%
- UNE7.9%
- VIVA4.6%
- BIEN3.6%
- CREO2.6%
- MLP0.9%
- PPN0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · GERSON SAÚL AJCUC XOT | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,460 | 28.5% | 5 | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,193 | 25.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,538 | 17.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 687 | 8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 679 | 7.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 396 | 4.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 311 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 226 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 80 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 67 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE34.1%
- UNIONISTA16.8%
- VAMOS12.4%
- VALOR10.6%
- UCN9.4%
- FCN-NACION8.2%
- PC7.1%
- PPT1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · ALEJANDRO GONZALEZ XAJAP | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,676 | 34.1% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNIONISTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,316 | 16.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 970 | 12.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 834 | 10.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 736 | 9.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 646 | 8.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 560 | 7.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPT | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 102 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER27.6%
- UNE27.5%
- CREO- Unionista23.1%
- TODOS11.3%
- PP4.7%
- UCN4.2%
- PRI1.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Pablo Tocay Gómez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,076 | 27.6% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNE · Miguel Hernandez Gonzalez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,069 | 27.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Santos Hilario Punay Xajap | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,736 | 23.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| TODOS · Roberto Tocay Gonzalez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 847 | 11.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PP · Jose Jorge Xajap Chicol | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 357 | 4.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Pedro Ajcuc Boch | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 319 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PRI · Ronaldo Estrada Dubon | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 116 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI64.660–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.091351163598471, oldest_gap=0.09308510638297562, previous_gap=17.346938775510203
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility60.68percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[7.861525992821582,28.482111844390413,0,0,4.584925321292116,0,0,2.616649299525298,0,0,0,56.45478754197059],[34.13265306122449,12.372448979591837,0,9.387755102040817,0,0,0,0,8.239795918367347,16.785714285714285,0,19.081632653061224],[27.513297872340427,0,11.263297872340425,4.242021276595745,0,27.606382978723403,4.747340425531915,0,0,0,0,24.627659574468083]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility49.16percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[7.861525992821582,28.482111844390413,0,0,4.584925321292116,0,0,2.616649299525298,0,0,0,56.45478754197059],[34.13265306122449,12.372448979591837,0,9.387755102040817,0,0,0,0,8.239795918367347,16.785714285714285,0,19.081632653061224],[27.513297872340427,0,11.263297872340425,4.242021276595745,0,27.606382978723403,4.747340425531915,0,0,0,0,24.627659574468083]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility54.92percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[7.861525992821582,28.482111844390413,0,0,4.584925321292116,0,0,2.616649299525298,0,0,0,56.45478754197059],[34.13265306122449,12.372448979591837,0,9.387755102040817,0,0,0,0,8.239795918367347,16.785714285714285,0,19.081632653061224],[27.513297872340427,0,11.263297872340425,4.242021276595745,0,27.606382978723403,4.747340425531915,0,0,0,0,24.627659574468083]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Tocay Gómez | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Julian González Zurdo | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Israel Chocon Xajap | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Regino Quiran Tacatic | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Justo Alvarado Tocay | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Hector Miguel Angel Tocay Zurdo | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Manuel González Tocay | Concejal 3 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Norberto Chocon Xot | Concejal 4 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Francisco González Zurdo | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Isabel Alvarado Tocay | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| ALEJANDRO GONZALEZ XAJAP | ALCALDE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| EZEQUIEL GARCÍA TOCAY | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| TERESO ALVARADO GOMEZ | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| REYES CHAVAL AJCUC | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| AGUSTIN TOCAY ZURDO | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| MARCO ANTONIO CUYUCH TACATIC | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| MANUEL GONZALEZ TOCAY | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| ESDRAS NEHEMÍAS XUYÁ GÓMEZ | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ARNULFO TEO PÉREZ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ROBELIO VELIZ CATALAN | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| GERSON SAÚL AJCUC XOT | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| FERMÍN XUYA SURET | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MANUEL XOCOXIC MORALES | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ROBERTO GÓMEZ HERNÁNDEZ | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ANTONIO TACATIC XAJAP | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MARCO ANTONIO CUYUCH TACATIC | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | AZUL | unknown |
| JACOBO PULUC XAJAP | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | PHG | unknown |
| LUIS ROLANDO PAIZ CUELLAR | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| LÁZARO ZURDO CHOCÓN | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| EDWIN LEONEL TOCAY ZURDO | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | AZUL | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Chuarrancho — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-12. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.