Office briefing
San Pedro Ayampuc — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · San Pedro Ayampuc / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-07
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Pedro Ayampuc / Guatemala
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-8cc0ab10755cb011aff2d9ef
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CABAL29.3%
- VAMOS26.0%
- PODEMOS10.4%
- UNE8.2%
- BIEN5.7%
- CREO5.0%
- ELEFANTE3.5%
- WINAQ3.4%
- MLP2.3%
- AZUL1.8%
- PPG1.7%
- VICTORIA1.1%
- VALOR0.8%
- P A N0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CABAL · NELVI ELIDI QUIÑÓNEZ MORALES | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 5,115 | 29.3% | 6 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 4,541 | 26% | 3 | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,811 | 10.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,439 | 8.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 991 | 5.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 865 | 5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ELEFANTE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 616 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| WINAQ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 601 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 406 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 321 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPG | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 300 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 197 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 147 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| P A N | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 111 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE32.4%
- UCN21.9%
- EG12.2%
- CREO9.4%
- VAMOS9.2%
- FCN-NACION7.3%
- SEMILLA3.4%
- FUERZA1.7%
- VIVA1.5%
- CONVERGENCIA1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · JOSÉ FREDY PELÁEZ AVALOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 5,236 | 32.4% | 5 | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 3,533 | 21.9% | 2 | Recorded |
| EG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,974 | 12.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,511 | 9.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,486 | 9.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,172 | 7.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 554 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 279 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 239 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONVERGENCIA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 172 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE30.7%
- PP16.4%
- LIDER13.2%
- CREO- Unionista10.7%
- AVISPA9.3%
- TODOS6.9%
- FCN NACION4.5%
- URNG MAIZ3.6%
- UCN3.0%
- CNN1.0%
- PRI0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · José Fredy Peláez Avalos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 5,327 | 30.7% | 5 | Recorded |
| PP · Felix De Jesús Morales Muralles | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,837 | 16.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Roberto Amparo Aquino Catalán | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,288 | 13.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Raymundo Xocoxic Pistun | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,860 | 10.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| AVISPA · Fredy Artemio Torres Bautista | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,614 | 9.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Jasson Emanuel Allen De León | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,190 | 6.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Rito Clodomiro Girón Veliz | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 773 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| URNG MAIZ · José Isabel Muralles Oliva | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 632 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Valerio Juventino Ajau Pixtún | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 512 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CNN · Marco Tulio García Solórzano | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 171 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PRI · Mayra Josefina Martínez Martínez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 140 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI67.150–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.2873260408911307, oldest_gap=14.356549815498155, previous_gap=10.540975488982419
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility62.6percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[8.241223297634729,26.00652883569097,0,0,0,0,0,4.9538972567436,0,0,0,60.798350609930694],[32.40901213171577,9.1978212428819,0,21.86803664273335,1.4793265659816786,0,0,9.352562515474128,7.254270859123546,0,3.429066600643724,15.009903441445903],[30.71379151291513,0,6.861162361623617,2.952029520295203,0,13.191881918819188,16.357241697416974,0,0,0,0,29.923892988929886]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility51.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[8.241223297634729,26.00652883569097,0,0,0,0,0,4.9538972567436,0,0,0,60.798350609930694],[32.40901213171577,9.1978212428819,0,21.86803664273335,1.4793265659816786,0,0,9.352562515474128,7.254270859123546,0,3.429066600643724,15.009903441445903],[30.71379151291513,0,6.861162361623617,2.952029520295203,0,13.191881918819188,16.357241697416974,0,0,0,0,29.923892988929886]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility56.96percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[8.241223297634729,26.00652883569097,0,0,0,0,0,4.9538972567436,0,0,0,60.798350609930694],[32.40901213171577,9.1978212428819,0,21.86803664273335,1.4793265659816786,0,0,9.352562515474128,7.254270859123546,0,3.429066600643724,15.009903441445903],[30.71379151291513,0,6.861162361623617,2.952029520295203,0,13.191881918819188,16.357241697416974,0,0,0,0,29.923892988929886]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Fredy Peláez Avalos | Alcalde | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Vidal Gutiérrez Pérez | Síndico I | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Julian Sinay Pichola | Síndico II | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Ramiro Palencia Avila | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Salvador Antonio Gómez Cermeño | Concejal 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Juan Castro Zapeta | Concejal 2 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Herbert Estuardo Ache Ortiz | Concejal 3 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Mario Catalan Jacinto | Concejal 4 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Francisco Alejandro Patzán Palacios | Concejal 5 | 2015 | CREO- Unionista | unknown |
| Jannett Aracely Salvador de Díaz | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Arturo Aparicio Diéguez García | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| JOSÉ FREDY PELÁEZ AVALOS | ALCALDE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| EDUARDO MARCIAL PÉREZ ALVAREZ | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| CRISTOBAL SOC PAREDES | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ARON ESTUARDO BERRIOS RIVAS | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| MIGUEL ANGEL HERRERA DE LEÓN | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| GERMAN SURET COSLAYÁ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ERVIN ORLANDO MONROY SURET | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| SAMARA PAZ HERNÁNDEZ DE VEGA | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| JOSE ISABEL MURALLES OLIVA | CONCEJAL QUINTO | 2019 | EG | unknown |
| MARVIN ROLANDO PÉREZ PERALTA | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JOEL JOSUÉ SOYOS ORTIZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| NELVI ELIDI QUIÑÓNEZ MORALES | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| ROSAURA OSCAL PEINADO | SINDICO I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| FERNANDO ROSALES MARROQUÍN | SINDICO II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| BERY WITIT RIVERA ROSALES | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| EDDY FERNANDO SINAY CHAMALE | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| OLGA MARINA PICHOLA HUIT | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| MIGUEL ANGEL HERRERA DE LEÓN | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ERVIN ORLANDO MONROY SURET | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MARLON WILFREDO SOYOS PICHOLA | CONCEJAL VI | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CRISTIAN LEONARDO ÁLVAREZ ALVARADO | CONCEJAL VII | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| IRMA PICHOLA TEPÉN | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| MIGUEL ÁNGEL MARTÍNEZ ÁLVAREZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JORGE MARIO HERNÁNDEZ CASEROS | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| MARVIN ROLANDO PÉREZ PERALTA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Pedro Ayampuc — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-07. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.