Office briefing
San José Del Golfo — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · San José Del Golfo / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-04
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San José Del Golfo / Guatemala
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-8f32e6e839a2fb821c052d2b
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-08-20
Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE24.2%
- VAMOS23.3%
- SEMILLA17.6%
- VOS7.0%
- BIEN6.7%
- CABAL6.3%
- PHG6.3%
- PPN3.1%
- PODEMOS3.1%
- VALOR2.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · YESSICA CLAUDETH PALENCIA PÉREZ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 988 | 24.2% | 5 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 951 | 23.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 716 | 17.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| VOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 285 | 7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 272 | 6.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 258 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 255 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 128 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 127 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 98 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS48.9%
- EG18.0%
- UNE16.3%
- BIEN7.5%
- FCN-NACION6.9%
- SEMILLA2.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · JOSÉ ROCAEL CHAMALÉ ENRIQUEZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,826 | 48.9% | 6 | Recorded |
| EG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 672 | 18% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 607 | 16.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 280 | 7.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 259 | 6.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 87 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER42.5%
- UPC20.2%
- PP15.1%
- UNE10.7%
- FCN NACION9.1%
- UCN2.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Elzer Fidelino Palencia Mayen | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,945 | 42.5% | 5 | Recorded |
| UPC · Marcos Ochoa Camey | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 925 | 20.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PP · Ovidio Palencia Morales | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 692 | 15.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE · Julio Camey Camey | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 490 | 10.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Walfred Orlando Veliz Reyes | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 418 | 9.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Sergio Senel Gudiel Samayoa | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 102 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI39.730–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.9073075036782754, oldest_gap=22.309711286089236, previous_gap=30.930045564191904
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility32.56percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[24.227562530652282,23.320255026974007,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,17.55762628739578,34.894556154977934],[16.269096756901636,48.94130259983918,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.941838649155723,0,2.331814526936478,25.51594746716698],[10.717410323709537,0,0,2.2309711286089238,0,42.54155730533683,15.135608048993875,0,0,0,0,29.37445319335083]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility63.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[24.227562530652282,23.320255026974007,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,17.55762628739578,34.894556154977934],[16.269096756901636,48.94130259983918,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.941838649155723,0,2.331814526936478,25.51594746716698],[10.717410323709537,0,0,2.2309711286089238,0,42.54155730533683,15.135608048993875,0,0,0,0,29.37445319335083]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility48.16percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[24.227562530652282,23.320255026974007,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,17.55762628739578,34.894556154977934],[16.269096756901636,48.94130259983918,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.941838649155723,0,2.331814526936478,25.51594746716698],[10.717410323709537,0,0,2.2309711286089238,0,42.54155730533683,15.135608048993875,0,0,0,0,29.37445319335083]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elzer Fidelino Palencia Mayen | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Juan Carlos Reyes Santos | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Arnulfo Avila Veliz | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Mario Mayen Monzon | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Jose Rocael Chamale Enriquez | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Moises Veliz Catalan | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Alvaro Sandoval Palencia | Concejal 3 | 2015 | UPC | unknown |
| Atilano Ruíz Veliz | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Hector Silfredo Reyes Ortiz | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Edy Manfiel Veliz Veliz | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| JOSÉ ROCAEL CHAMALÉ ENRIQUEZ | ALCALDE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| HÉCTOR DAVID GUDIEL REYES | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| LUIS ALEXANDER LÓPEZ | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CLAUDIA MARLENY MAYÉN OCHOA | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ELZER RICARDO PALENCIA OCHOA | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| DOMINGO ANGEL SANDOVAL SANDOVAL | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JULIO CÉSAR HERNÁNDEZ PALENCIA | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| HUGO LEONEL CAMEY CASTELLANOS | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | EG | unknown |
| ERICA DE JESÚS CARRILLO LÓPEZ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CAROLINA VÉLIZ DE LEON | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| YESSICA CLAUDETH PALENCIA PÉREZ | ALCADE | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| JAIME ARNOLDO RUANO LLAMAS | SINDICO I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| WILLIAN JERÓNIMO CATALÁN CARRILLO | SINDICO II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| JUAN JOSÉ REYES CARRERA | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| LUIS ALBERTO CATALÁN VÉLIZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| JULIO CÉSAR HERNÁNDEZ PALENCIA | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| HUGO LEONEL CAMEY CASTELLANOS | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | SEMILLA | unknown |
| ROGELIO CHAMALÉ MAYÉN | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| AMANDA CATALÁN REYES | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| BYRON GIOVANNI OCHOA ÁRTOLA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San José Del Golfo — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-04. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.