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Office briefing

San José Pinula — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · San José Pinula / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-03

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San José Pinula / Guatemala
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-cf8a7e6779b356e4d6a92414
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • CABAL27.5%
  • UNE16.8%
  • VALOR12.7%
  • AZUL11.6%
  • SEMILLA5.6%
  • CREO4.6%
  • VAMOS4.0%
  • BIEN3.2%
  • UNIONISTA3.0%
  • UR2.8%
  • PPN2.6%
  • PR1.6%
  • PPG1.3%
  • MLP0.9%
  • VICTORIA0.5%
  • P A N0.4%
  • FCN-NACION0.4%
  • PODEMOS0.3%
  • CAMBIO0.2%
Results for event-25b4d164b405aaa06ced99d6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CABAL · JOHNNY FREDERYK AYALA TOLEDOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237,64427.5%6Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234,67616.8%2Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233,53912.7%1Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233,23011.6%1Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,5595.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,2864.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,1124%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238823.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238223%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237832.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237162.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234351.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233641.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232500.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231440.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
P A Nguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231120.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231030.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023730.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023600.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE31.5%
  • BIEN26.0%
  • FCN-NACION9.8%
  • VALOR7.7%
  • VAMOS6.5%
  • TODOS6.0%
  • VICTORIA5.0%
  • FUERZA4.0%
  • UCN3.5%
Results for event-2c6d1431265f4ecc52688559
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · MIGUEL ANGEL SOLÁRES MONTENEGROguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197,56931.5%6Recorded
BIENguatemala/S6d250220e847/20196,24326%2Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,3479.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,8567.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,5576.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,4386%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,2025%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199704%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198373.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER41.6%
  • UNE27.2%
  • TODOS16.1%
  • PP4.2%
  • CREO-Unionista3.4%
  • FUERZA3.0%
  • URNG MAIZ2.4%
  • UCN2.1%
Results for event-ae11db5a5070ccfd2b7057ae
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Miguel Angel Solares Montenegroguatemala/S6241581360d0/201510,31841.6%6Recorded
UNE · Victor Reyes Purguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156,73427.2%1Recorded
TODOS · Johnny Frederyk Ayala Toledoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,99516.1%1Recorded
PP · Carlos Humberto Escobar Garcíaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,0374.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO-Unionista · Andrés Rodolfo Silva Mundoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20158513.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA · Carlos Ernesto Solis Muyguatemala/S6241581360d0/20157413%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URNG MAIZ · Galo Ánibal Rafael Sotojguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155912.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Alejandro José Soto Salgueroguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155162.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

52.450–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.680100755667507, oldest_gap=14.461526046079971, previous_gap=5.520629501644532

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[16.826196473551637,4.001439366678661,0,0,0,0,0,4.627563871896365,0.37063691975530766,2.9578985246491545,5.609931630082763,65.60633321338611],[31.512552562554646,6.482368125234189,5.9869270161122445,3.484741246513177,0,0,0,0,9.771430950497523,0,0,42.76198009908822],[27.17185167251745,0,16.119920913529434,2.0820723883307104,0,41.63337771859742,4.184319896703386,0,0,0,0,8.808457410321592]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

55.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[16.826196473551637,4.001439366678661,0,0,0,0,0,4.627563871896365,0.37063691975530766,2.9578985246491545,5.609931630082763,65.60633321338611],[31.512552562554646,6.482368125234189,5.9869270161122445,3.484741246513177,0,0,0,0,9.771430950497523,0,0,42.76198009908822],[27.17185167251745,0,16.119920913529434,2.0820723883307104,0,41.63337771859742,4.184319896703386,0,0,0,0,8.808457410321592]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[16.826196473551637,4.001439366678661,0,0,0,0,0,4.627563871896365,0.37063691975530766,2.9578985246491545,5.609931630082763,65.60633321338611],[31.512552562554646,6.482368125234189,5.9869270161122445,3.484741246513177,0,0,0,0,9.771430950497523,0,0,42.76198009908822],[27.17185167251745,0,16.119920913529434,2.0820723883307104,0,41.63337771859742,4.184319896703386,0,0,0,0,8.808457410321592]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Miguel Angel Solares MontenegroAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Ennio Gerardo Ramirez PorresSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Sadin Ivan Diaz LopezSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Victor Manuel Alvarez GonzalezSíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Ignacio Guillermo Vasquez LopezConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Octavio Reyes SolaresConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Fidel Rolando Archila BarriosConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
José Alejandro Fidel Menegazzo DuranConcejal 42015UNEunknown
Douglas Arcenio Muy MoralesConcejal 52015TODOSunknown
Leonel Sicaja JogeConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Marco Tulio Joge RustrianConcejal suplente 22015UNEunknown
MIGUEL ANGEL SOLÁRES MONTENEGROALCALDE2019UNEunknown
ENNIO GERARDO RAMÍREZ PORRESSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
JOSÉ ALEJANDRO FIDEL MENEGAZZO DURÁNSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
FIDEL ROLANDO ARCHILA BARRIOSSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
IGNACIO GUILLERMO VÁSQUEZ LÓPEZCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
OCTAVIO REYES SOLARESCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
VICTOR MANUEL ALVAREZ GONZALEZCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
DAVID ANTULIO ORDOÑEZ CRUZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019BIENunknown
JOSE ELADIO SALGUERO CASTILLOCONCEJAL QUINTO2019BIENunknown
LEONEL SICAJÁ JOGEPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
ANDRES ABELINO SANTOS PAZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019BIENunknown
JOHNNY FREDERYK AYALA TOLEDOALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023CABALunknown
OTTO RENÉ ORDÓÑEZ LUTÍNSINDICO I2023CABALunknown
NERY ORLANDO ORTÍZ ESCOBARSINDICO II2023CABALunknown
DAVID ANTULIO ORDÓÑEZ CRUZCONCEJAL I2023CABALunknown
ROSA LETICIA ESCOBAR PALOMOCONCEJAL II2023CABALunknown
AMÍLCAR DE JESÚS ALVIZURES MONTERROSOCONCEJAL III2023CABALunknown
EDY WILDER HERRARTE MORALESCONCEJAL IV2023UNEunknown
ALONSO GRAMAJO MORATAYACONCEJAL V2023UNEunknown
IGNACIO GUILLERMO VÁSQUEZ LÓPEZCONCEJAL VI2023VALORunknown
JUAN ALBERTO ESTRADA SÁNCHEZCONCEJAL VII2023AZULunknown
SELVYN ESTUARDO IBOY SALAYSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023CABALunknown
CÉSAR ANÍBAL URBINA SOLARESCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023CABALunknown
JUAN JOSE SOTOJ OSORIOCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023CABALunknown
DELIA MARÍA VILLATORO SICAJÁCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “San José Pinula — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-03. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.