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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Catarina Pinula — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Santa Catarina Pinula / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-02

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Catarina Pinula / Guatemala
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-3921a0c77f961f6902df22e0
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VALOR UNIONISTA49.3%
  • UNE25.7%
  • CREO6.2%
  • PHG3.3%
  • CABAL2.4%
  • BIEN2.0%
  • VOS1.8%
  • TODOS1.5%
  • PPG1.4%
  • VIVA1.3%
  • MLP1.1%
  • VAMOS0.9%
  • AZUL0.8%
  • FCN-NACION0.7%
  • MI FAMILIA0.6%
  • PR0.4%
  • PODEMOS0.3%
  • PPN0.3%
Results for event-9d402fdaa29c92ba05781717
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VALOR UNIONISTA · SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIASguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202317,89849.3%8Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20239,35225.7%2Recorded
CREOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,2556.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,2083.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238842.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237272%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236501.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235291.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234971.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234601.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233841.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233150.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232990.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232560.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232330.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231630.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231160.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231110.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNIONISTA33.0%
  • PC24.2%
  • VAMOS9.7%
  • VALOR8.9%
  • TODOS6.1%
  • PHG5.3%
  • SEMILLA3.8%
  • UNE2.5%
  • MLP1.7%
  • UCN1.4%
  • PPT1.3%
  • LIBRE1.1%
  • AVANZA1.0%
Results for event-6183615fb36a96fd660c2b32
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIONISTA · SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIASguatemala/S6d250220e847/201910,04133%6Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197,37124.2%2Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,9429.7%1Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,7128.9%1Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,8476.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,6085.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,1563.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197692.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195031.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194411.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPTguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193891.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193381.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AVANZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193181%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER36.2%
  • UNE15.1%
  • CREO-Unionista13.4%
  • VIVA8.6%
  • FCN NACION6.8%
  • PP6.2%
  • TODOS5.8%
  • FUERZA4.6%
  • PRI1.6%
  • UCN1.6%
Results for event-6c8c8dc1329e86821da787d9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Victor Gonzalo Alvarizaes Monterrosoguatemala/S6241581360d0/201511,68636.2%7Recorded
UNE · Noe Barillas Delgadoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,87015.1%1Recorded
CREO-Unionista · Donald Aquiles Barillas Contrerasguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,34113.4%1Recorded
VIVA · Augusto Silvestre Ramírezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,7888.6%1Recorded
FCN NACION · Jerson Antonio Solis Sazoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,2016.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PP · Ramon Estuardo Ávila Ramírezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,0076.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Jorge Manuel Marroquín Gálvezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,8655.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA · Jorge Rodolfo Juárez García-Salasguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,4764.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · Luis Antonio Rafael Monterrosoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155321.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Francisco Paniagua Álvarezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155291.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

5.730–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.518727467870217, oldest_gap=21.105434277751975, previous_gap=8.77279448003943

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[25.736852244268928,0.8668849932575612,1.4558163855023805,0,1.2659272917412003,0,0,6.205795745383494,0.7045160580124942,0,0,63.76420728183395],[2.526696237884015,9.666502382125842,6.068670938064728,1.448989650073928,0,0,0,0,0,32.99162148841794,3.7982585838672582,43.49926071956629],[15.07973370490788,0,5.774887753522217,1.6380244619910203,8.632915311967796,36.185167982659856,6.214584300975384,0,0,0,0,26.474686483975848]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[25.736852244268928,0.8668849932575612,1.4558163855023805,0,1.2659272917412003,0,0,6.205795745383494,0.7045160580124942,0,0,63.76420728183395],[2.526696237884015,9.666502382125842,6.068670938064728,1.448989650073928,0,0,0,0,0,32.99162148841794,3.7982585838672582,43.49926071956629],[15.07973370490788,0,5.774887753522217,1.6380244619910203,8.632915311967796,36.185167982659856,6.214584300975384,0,0,0,0,26.474686483975848]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[25.736852244268928,0.8668849932575612,1.4558163855023805,0,1.2659272917412003,0,0,6.205795745383494,0.7045160580124942,0,0,63.76420728183395],[2.526696237884015,9.666502382125842,6.068670938064728,1.448989650073928,0,0,0,0,0,32.99162148841794,3.7982585838672582,43.49926071956629],[15.07973370490788,0,5.774887753522217,1.6380244619910203,8.632915311967796,36.185167982659856,6.214584300975384,0,0,0,0,26.474686483975848]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Victor Gonzalo Alvarizaes MonterrosoAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Hector Augusto Jaime de PazSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Pedro Peña HernandezSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Felipe Abad ChavezSíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Melvin Giovani Vicente JarquinConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Manuel de Jesus Barillas GuzmanConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Clara Luz Salvatierra Con de IboyConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Antonio Eliseo Suruy VelasquezConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Sebastian Siero AsturiasConcejal 52015UNEunknown
Maynor Orlando Cifuentes BarillasConcejal 62015CREO-Unionistaunknown
Hilda Consuelo Dominguez Bran de DiazConcejal 72015VIVAunknown
Gilma Giusela Alvarez UrbinaConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Julia Dolores Morales de la RocaConcejal suplente 22015LIDERunknown
Augusto Isaias Ramírez MontenegroConcejal suplente 32015UNEunknown
SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIASALCALDE2019UNIONISTAunknown
RUBÉN MENÉNDEZ HERNÁNDEZSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNIONISTAunknown
JOSÉ VÍCTOR SILVESTRE RAMÍREZSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNIONISTAunknown
PEDRO RAMÍREZ HICHOSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNIONISTAunknown
MYNOR ORLANDO CIFUENTES BARILLASCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNIONISTAunknown
HILDA CONSUELO DOMINGUEZ BRAN DE DIAZCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNIONISTAunknown
EMERSON RENATO CONTRERAS LOPEZCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNIONISTAunknown
MELVIN GIOVANI VICENTE JARQUÍNCONCEJAL CUARTO2019PCunknown
NOÉ BARILLAS DELGADOCONCEJAL QUINTO2019PCunknown
MIGUEL GIOVANNI MONTENEGRO MENDEZCONCEJAL SEXTO2019VAMOSunknown
JULIO EDUARDO IBOY OLIVACONCEJAL SÉPTIMO2019VALORunknown
ROSIBEL VALENZUELA MAYENPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNIONISTAunknown
BASILIO VICENTE RAMIREZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNIONISTAunknown
GILMA GIUSELA ÁLVAREZ URBINATERCER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIASALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
ALBA VANESSA YAC ROBLESSINDICO I2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
JUAN RAFAEL ICUTÉSINDICO II2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
ROSIBEL VALENZUELA MAYÉNCONCEJAL I2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
EMERSON RENATO CONTRERAS LÓPEZCONCEJAL II2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
EDGAR ANTONIO PIRIL CUQUECONCEJAL III2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
MIGUEL GIOVANNI MONTENEGRO MÉNDEZCONCEJAL IV2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
NOÉ BARILLAS DELGADOCONCEJAL V2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
JOSÉ ADOLFO NÁJERA MAZARIEGOSCONCEJAL VI2023UNEunknown
ANTONIETA GARCÍA HERNÁNDEZCONCEJAL VII2023UNEunknown
RUBÉN MENÉNDEZ HERNÁNDEZSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VALOR - UNIONISTAunknown
LUIS FELIPE GARCÍA HERNÁNDEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VALOR - UNIONISTAunknown
DENISSE ESPERANZA FAJARDO LEMUSCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VALOR - UNIONISTAunknown
MARIO ENRIQUE CARDONA GARCÍACONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Catarina Pinula — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-02. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.