Office briefing
Santa Catarina Pinula — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Catarina Pinula / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-02
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Catarina Pinula / Guatemala
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-3921a0c77f961f6902df22e0
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VALOR UNIONISTA49.3%
- UNE25.7%
- CREO6.2%
- PHG3.3%
- CABAL2.4%
- BIEN2.0%
- VOS1.8%
- TODOS1.5%
- PPG1.4%
- VIVA1.3%
- MLP1.1%
- VAMOS0.9%
- AZUL0.8%
- FCN-NACION0.7%
- MI FAMILIA0.6%
- PR0.4%
- PODEMOS0.3%
- PPN0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALOR UNIONISTA · SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIAS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 17,898 | 49.3% | 8 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 9,352 | 25.7% | 2 | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,255 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,208 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 884 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 727 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 650 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 529 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPG | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 497 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 460 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 384 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 315 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 299 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 256 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI FAMILIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 233 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 163 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 116 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 111 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNIONISTA33.0%
- PC24.2%
- VAMOS9.7%
- VALOR8.9%
- TODOS6.1%
- PHG5.3%
- SEMILLA3.8%
- UNE2.5%
- MLP1.7%
- UCN1.4%
- PPT1.3%
- LIBRE1.1%
- AVANZA1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIONISTA · SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIAS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 10,041 | 33% | 6 | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 7,371 | 24.2% | 2 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,942 | 9.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,712 | 8.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,847 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,608 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,156 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 769 | 2.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 503 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 441 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPT | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 389 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LIBRE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 338 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AVANZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 318 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER36.2%
- UNE15.1%
- CREO-Unionista13.4%
- VIVA8.6%
- FCN NACION6.8%
- PP6.2%
- TODOS5.8%
- FUERZA4.6%
- PRI1.6%
- UCN1.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Victor Gonzalo Alvarizaes Monterroso | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 11,686 | 36.2% | 7 | Recorded |
| UNE · Noe Barillas Delgado | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 4,870 | 15.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO-Unionista · Donald Aquiles Barillas Contreras | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 4,341 | 13.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| VIVA · Augusto Silvestre Ramírez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,788 | 8.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Jerson Antonio Solis Sazo | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,201 | 6.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PP · Ramon Estuardo Ávila Ramírez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,007 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Jorge Manuel Marroquín Gálvez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,865 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA · Jorge Rodolfo Juárez García-Salas | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,476 | 4.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PRI · Luis Antonio Rafael Monterroso | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 532 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Francisco Paniagua Álvarez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 529 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI5.730–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.518727467870217, oldest_gap=21.105434277751975, previous_gap=8.77279448003943
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility51.65percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[25.736852244268928,0.8668849932575612,1.4558163855023805,0,1.2659272917412003,0,0,6.205795745383494,0.7045160580124942,0,0,63.76420728183395],[2.526696237884015,9.666502382125842,6.068670938064728,1.448989650073928,0,0,0,0,0,32.99162148841794,3.7982585838672582,43.49926071956629],[15.07973370490788,0,5.774887753522217,1.6380244619910203,8.632915311967796,36.185167982659856,6.214584300975384,0,0,0,0,26.474686483975848]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility63.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[25.736852244268928,0.8668849932575612,1.4558163855023805,0,1.2659272917412003,0,0,6.205795745383494,0.7045160580124942,0,0,63.76420728183395],[2.526696237884015,9.666502382125842,6.068670938064728,1.448989650073928,0,0,0,0,0,32.99162148841794,3.7982585838672582,43.49926071956629],[15.07973370490788,0,5.774887753522217,1.6380244619910203,8.632915311967796,36.185167982659856,6.214584300975384,0,0,0,0,26.474686483975848]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility57.71percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[25.736852244268928,0.8668849932575612,1.4558163855023805,0,1.2659272917412003,0,0,6.205795745383494,0.7045160580124942,0,0,63.76420728183395],[2.526696237884015,9.666502382125842,6.068670938064728,1.448989650073928,0,0,0,0,0,32.99162148841794,3.7982585838672582,43.49926071956629],[15.07973370490788,0,5.774887753522217,1.6380244619910203,8.632915311967796,36.185167982659856,6.214584300975384,0,0,0,0,26.474686483975848]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Gonzalo Alvarizaes Monterroso | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Hector Augusto Jaime de Paz | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Pedro Peña Hernandez | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Felipe Abad Chavez | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Melvin Giovani Vicente Jarquin | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Manuel de Jesus Barillas Guzman | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Clara Luz Salvatierra Con de Iboy | Concejal 3 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Antonio Eliseo Suruy Velasquez | Concejal 4 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Sebastian Siero Asturias | Concejal 5 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Maynor Orlando Cifuentes Barillas | Concejal 6 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Hilda Consuelo Dominguez Bran de Diaz | Concejal 7 | 2015 | VIVA | unknown |
| Gilma Giusela Alvarez Urbina | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Julia Dolores Morales de la Roca | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Augusto Isaias Ramírez Montenegro | Concejal suplente 3 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIAS | ALCALDE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| RUBÉN MENÉNDEZ HERNÁNDEZ | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| JOSÉ VÍCTOR SILVESTRE RAMÍREZ | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| PEDRO RAMÍREZ HICHO | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| MYNOR ORLANDO CIFUENTES BARILLAS | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| HILDA CONSUELO DOMINGUEZ BRAN DE DIAZ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| EMERSON RENATO CONTRERAS LOPEZ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| MELVIN GIOVANI VICENTE JARQUÍN | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| NOÉ BARILLAS DELGADO | CONCEJAL QUINTO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| MIGUEL GIOVANNI MONTENEGRO MENDEZ | CONCEJAL SEXTO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JULIO EDUARDO IBOY OLIVA | CONCEJAL SÉPTIMO | 2019 | VALOR | unknown |
| ROSIBEL VALENZUELA MAYEN | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| BASILIO VICENTE RAMIREZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| GILMA GIUSELA ÁLVAREZ URBINA | TERCER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| SEBASTIÁN SIERO ASTURIAS | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| ALBA VANESSA YAC ROBLES | SINDICO I | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| JUAN RAFAEL ICUTÉ | SINDICO II | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| ROSIBEL VALENZUELA MAYÉN | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| EMERSON RENATO CONTRERAS LÓPEZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| EDGAR ANTONIO PIRIL CUQUE | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| MIGUEL GIOVANNI MONTENEGRO MÉNDEZ | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| NOÉ BARILLAS DELGADO | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| JOSÉ ADOLFO NÁJERA MAZARIEGOS | CONCEJAL VI | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| ANTONIETA GARCÍA HERNÁNDEZ | CONCEJAL VII | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| RUBÉN MENÉNDEZ HERNÁNDEZ | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VALOR - UNIONISTA | unknown |
| LUIS FELIPE GARCÍA HERNÁNDEZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VALOR - UNIONISTA | unknown |
| DENISSE ESPERANZA FAJARDO LEMUS | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VALOR - UNIONISTA | unknown |
| MARIO ENRIQUE CARDONA GARCÍA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE III | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Catarina Pinula — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-02. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.