Office briefing
STO. DGO. DE LOS TSÁCHILAS — Prefect
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · STO. DGO. DE LOS TSÁCHILAS / STO. DGO. DE LOS TSÁCHILAS · regional · PrefectEC-P-23
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- STO. DGO. DE LOS TSÁCHILAS / STO. DGO. DE LOS TSÁCHILAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-7b33b266bfb659da7391f55a
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- 5-100 SOMOS TODOS41.3%
- ALTERNATIVA28.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ10.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO6.5%
- MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE3.4%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.0%
- GENTE QUE SUMA2.2%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ALIANZA TSÁCHILA1.6%
- MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)1.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-100 SOMOS TODOS · JOHANA NUÑEZ | 1383ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 106,397 | 41.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALTERNATIVA · VERONICA ZURITA | 1051ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 74,490 | 28.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · FREDDY MORA | 157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 26,476 | 10.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · HENRY ALVAREZ | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 16,743 | 6.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE · ANGEL GENDE CALAZACON | 18ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,797 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MANUEL GUZÑAY | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 7,817 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| GENTE QUE SUMA · MARDEN CORDOVA | 1086ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,705 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ALIANZA TSÁCHILA · CINDI LIZETH ROLDAN VIVERO | 105ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,000 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER) · MANUEL OCHOA | 186ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,819 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · MANUEL SILVERIO YUQUE | 39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,501 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- UNIDAD 20/10039.0%
- ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POSITIVO - PSC LISTA 63-623.8%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL12.0%
- ACUERDO CIUDADANO6.3%
- ALIANZA ELECTORAL ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA 35 Y MOVIMIENTO VICTORIA LISTA 675.5%
- UNIDAD DEMOCRÁTICA TSÁCHILA3.8%
- PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA1.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO1.9%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA1.6%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.0%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.0%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.9%
- UNION ECUATORIANA0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIDAD 20/100 · JOHANA NUÑEZ | 704ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 91,483 | 39% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POSITIVO - PSC LISTA 63-6 · GRUBER ZAMBRANO | 674ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 55,817 | 23.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · AMADA MARIA ORTIZ OLAYA | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 28,047 | 12% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ACUERDO CIUDADANO · MIGUEL ANGEL MORETA | 787ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 14,663 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA ELECTORAL ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA 35 Y MOVIMIENTO VICTORIA LISTA 67 · MARY VERDUGA | 688ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 12,835 | 5.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD DEMOCRÁTICA TSÁCHILA · JAVIER AGUAVIL | 802ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 9,001 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · JUAN CARLOS CALAZACON | 25ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,486 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · JOSE AGUAVIL | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,338 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · NOE SARMIENTO | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,760 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · WILTER VERA | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,327 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · JORGE CHAMORRO HARO | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,293 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · GALO CHIRIBOGA RON | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,115 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · EDISON NARANJO ARMIJO | 8ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,995 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · JANNINA MERA ACOSTA | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,318 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS58.5%
- SUMA Y AVANZA 8-2315.8%
- UNIDAD PROVINCIAL TSÁCHILA9.9%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO9.2%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.5%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO3.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · BENITEZ CALVA EDGAR GEOVANNY | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 136,714 | 58.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| SUMA Y AVANZA 8-23 · DELGADO TELLO JORGE WASHINGTON | 23008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 36,818 | 15.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD PROVINCIAL TSÁCHILA · MIÑACA LOPEZ ARTURO GERARDO | 23007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 23,059 | 9.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · VIVANCO TINOCO ANA ROSA | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 21,384 | 9.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · CAMPOVERDE BALCAZAR LUIS BOLIVAR | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 8,257 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · ZAMBRANO ZAMBRANO PEDRO ANTONIO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 7,272 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI18.660–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.37928960794584, oldest_gap=42.78127997807319, previous_gap=15.210808689941057
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility9.53percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[6.495955304661584,0,3.0328425381675688,0,0,0,90.47120215717085],[0,0,0,0,1.6035619546396678,0,98.39643804536033],[0,0,0,9.157873098533644,0,58.54888995477594,32.29323694669042]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility67.71percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[6.495955304661584,0,3.0328425381675688,0,0,0,90.47120215717085],[0,0,0,0,1.6035619546396678,0,98.39643804536033],[0,0,0,9.157873098533644,0,58.54888995477594,32.29323694669042]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility38.62percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[6.495955304661584,0,3.0328425381675688,0,0,0,90.47120215717085],[0,0,0,0,1.6035619546396678,0,98.39643804536033],[0,0,0,9.157873098533644,0,58.54888995477594,32.29323694669042]]
Source-reported control: Johana Núñez García; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 397,449 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": null,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 23,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 397449,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-23",
"name": "STO. DGO. DE LOS TSÁCHILAS",
"office": "Prefect",
"precinct_rows": [
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"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “STO. DGO. DE LOS TSÁCHILAS — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-23. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.