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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ZAMORA CHINCHIPE — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ZAMORA CHINCHIPE / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE · regional · PrefectEC-P-19

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ZAMORA CHINCHIPE / ZAMORA CHINCHIPE
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-4bbb60997e5fa825d1890379
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • FRENTE DE UNIDAD POR LA EQUIDAD Y LA RENOVACIÓN56.1%
  • COMPROMISO Y PROGRESO36.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA5.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA2.4%
Results for event-69e43705a1d311054820f442
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE DE UNIDAD POR LA EQUIDAD Y LA RENOVACIÓN · KARLA REATEGUI1468ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202338,83156.1%1Recorded
COMPROMISO Y PROGRESO · BLADIMIR ARMIJOS VIVANCO1081ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202324,95136.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · EDGAR PAUL ORTEGA ENCALADA101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,7575.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · PATRICIO QUEZADA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6292.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS47.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK45.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL4.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.0%
  • FUERZA.EC1.0%
Results for event-7bc1359aa590b660c2e59b98
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA JUNTOS PODEMOS · CLEVER JIMENEZ618ecuador/Sed7b513864/201930,55747.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · KARLA REATEGUI12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201929,22145.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · WILFRIDO OCHOA170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,8834.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · SHENY TATIANA MEZA OCHOA235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196371%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · EDDIE CASTILLO SALAZAR146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196161%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL DE LAS IZQUIERDAS PACHAKUTIK-MPD50.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCIÓN Y SERVICIO26.3%
  • ZAMORA CHINCHIPE RENACE22.8%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.6%
Results for event-c589e1a119e89da6b71acc47
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL DE LAS IZQUIERDAS PACHAKUTIK-MPD · QUISHPE LOZANO SALVADOR19005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201429,15850.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCIÓN Y SERVICIO · DELGADO TELLO FRANKLIN NAPOLEON19001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201415,21226.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ZAMORA CHINCHIPE RENACE · CALVAS JORGE EDUARDO19007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201413,17622.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · PADILLA REGALADO FRANKLIN ATAHUALPA1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143700.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

24.620–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.067083044182276, oldest_gap=24.079701636853375, previous_gap=2.090308852520579

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,5.4317025213971775,0,0,0,0,94.56829747860283],[0,0,45.71924773914948,0,0,0,54.28075226085052],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,5.4317025213971775,0,0,0,0,94.56829747860283],[0,0,45.71924773914948,0,0,0,54.28075226085052],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,5.4317025213971775,0,0,0,0,94.56829747860283],[0,0,45.71924773914948,0,0,0,54.28075226085052],null]

Source-reported control: Karla Reátegui Encarnación; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1195,264
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 19,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 95264,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-19",
  "name": "ZAMORA CHINCHIPE",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3841,
    3842,
    3843,
    3844,
    3845,
    3846,
    3847,
    3848,
    3849,
    3850,
    3851,
    3852,
    3853,
    3854,
    3855,
    3856,
    3857,
    3858,
    3859,
    3860,
    3861,
    3862,
    3863,
    3864,
    3865,
    3866,
    3867,
    3868,
    3869,
    3870,
    3871,
    3872,
    3873,
    3874,
    3875,
    3876,
    3877,
    3878,
    3879,
    3880,
    3881,
    3882,
    3883,
    3884,
    3885,
    3886,
    3887,
    3888,
    3889,
    3890,
    3891,
    3892,
    3893,
    3894,
    3895,
    3896,
    3897,
    3898,
    3899,
    3900,
    3901,
    3902,
    3903,
    3904,
    3905,
    3906,
    3907,
    3908,
    3909,
    3910,
    3911,
    3912,
    3913,
    3914,
    3915,
    3916,
    3917,
    3918,
    3919,
    3920,
    3921,
    3922,
    3923,
    3924,
    3925,
    3926,
    3927,
    3928,
    3929,
    3930,
    3931,
    3932,
    3933,
    3934,
    3935,
    3936,
    3937,
    3938,
    3939,
    3940,
    3941,
    3942,
    3943,
    3944,
    3945,
    3946,
    3947,
    3948,
    3949,
    3950,
    3951,
    3952
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ZAMORA CHINCHIPE — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-19. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.