Office briefing

PASTAZA — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PASTAZA / PASTAZA · regional · PrefectEC-P-16

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: PASTAZA / PASTAZA
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-b3bb11c002dc5ecd51b46d94
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

¡ÁNIMO PASTAZA!29.5%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK19.3%
UNIDOS POR PASTAZA16.7%
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACIÓN, PROGRESO Y CAMBIO MIPC14.7%
PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS12.2%
HAGAMOSLO JUNTOS5.6%
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA2.0%

Results for event-bda20227c9b1d017493c1318
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
¡ÁNIMO PASTAZA! · ANDRE GRANDA	1009ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	17,426	29.5%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · WILFRIDO ARAGON	7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	11,400	19.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNIDOS POR PASTAZA · POLO LASCANO	1398ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	9,829	16.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACIÓN, PROGRESO Y CAMBIO MIPC · RAUL TELLO	151ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	8,668	14.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS · GERMAN LEDESMA	1247ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	7,188	12.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
HAGAMOSLO JUNTOS · PAOLO ESPIN	1304ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	3,305	5.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · DENISE MARIA COKA BASTIDAS	207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	1,165	2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 639.9%
PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS34.7%
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA15.8%
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACIÓN, PROGRESO Y CAMBIO MIPC8.5%
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.1%

Results for event-3fc4fccfec78ef82cb1df774
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA LISTA 61-PSC LISTA 6 · JAIME GUEVARA	554ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	21,898	39.9%	1	Recorded
PASTAZA SOMOS TODOS · MARIA EUGENIA CALERO	612ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	19,046	34.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · ANTONIO KUBES	37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	8,689	15.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACIÓN, PROGRESO Y CAMBIO MIPC · FRANKLIN SANMARTIN	176ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,688	8.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · OLDEMAR VARGAS	158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	628	1.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO SUMA37.4%
JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA27.8%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK17.9%
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA9.1%
ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3 - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTA 217.7%

Results for event-6e056a204753f9cc5fbccd98
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · KUBES ROBALINO GUILLERMO ANTONIO	13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	17,164	37.4%	1	Recorded
JUNTOS POR LA DIGNIDAD DE PASTAZA · LEDESMA ZAMORA DARWIN GERMAN	16007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	12,751	27.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · SANCHO SANCHO RAFAEL NEPTALI	5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	8,224	17.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO UNIDOS POR PASTAZA · JIMENEZ ESPARZA ANA CECILIA	16002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	4,185	9.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3 - MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTA 21 · TELLO BENALCAZAR RAUL ESTUPIÑAN	16005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	3,541	7.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

56.750–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.216849493904814, oldest_gap=9.621715905374472, previous_gap=5.1902673388050715

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,19.328258252657637,0,0,0,80.67174174734237],[0,0,0,0,15.81284463775501,0,84.187155362245],[0,0,17.93088411642865,0,37.4228714706203,0,44.64624441295105]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.54percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,19.328258252657637,0,0,0,80.67174174734237],[0,0,0,0,15.81284463775501,0,84.187155362245],[0,0,17.93088411642865,0,37.4228714706203,0,44.64624441295105]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.43percentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,19.328258252657637,0,0,0,80.67174174734237],[0,0,0,0,15.81284463775501,0,84.187155362245],[0,0,17.93088411642865,0,37.4228714706203,0,44.64624441295105]]

Source-reported control: André Granda Garrido; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

84,693

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 16,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 84693,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-16",
  "name": "PASTAZA",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
    3114,
    3115,
    3116,
    3117,
    3118,
    3119,
    3120,
    3121,
    3122,
    3123,
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    3141,
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    3200,
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  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PASTAZA — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-16. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.