Office briefing
NAPO — Prefect
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · NAPO / NAPO · regional · PrefectEC-P-15
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- NAPO / NAPO
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-bd2c65e566c2ad35e0ab7c94
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK45.4%
- ALIANZA 3-8-21-6129.0%
- SOMOS AGUA13.1%
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO5.8%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA3.5%
- MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID3.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · JOSE TOAPANTA | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 34,447 | 45.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA 3-8-21-61 · GILMAR GUTIERREZ | 1255ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 22,040 | 29% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SOMOS AGUA · RAMIRO MONTOYA CHAPUNGAL | 1034ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,979 | 13.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · SILVERIO MAMALLACTA CHIMBO | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,420 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · PAUL AGUIRRE | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,639 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · LUIS ENRIQUE CERDA | 222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,401 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK33.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO26.0%
- ALIANZA ANTISUYO23.8%
- ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO - CREO14.8%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · EDISON CHAVEZ | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 23,227 | 33.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · GILMAR GUTIERREZ | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 17,986 | 26% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA ANTISUYO · WASHINGTON VARELA SALAZAR | 597ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 16,461 | 23.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO - CREO · JOSE TOAPANTA | 610ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 10,254 | 14.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · SHARIMIAT SHIGUANGO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,306 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS46.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"44.2%
- PARTIDO AVANZA7.4%
- P.S.C.LISTA 6 Y MAC 632.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · CHACON PADILLA SERGIO ENRIQUE | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 25,980 | 46% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · GUTIERREZ BORBUA MARY SUSANA | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 24,998 | 44.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · CRUZ RAMIREZ GUILLERMINA ENRIQUETA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 4,170 | 7.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| P.S.C.LISTA 6 Y MAC 63 · COLUMBO CACHAGO JOSE LUIS | 15007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,380 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI38.750–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.340910886916205, oldest_gap=1.7371921879422558, previous_gap=7.569980067596845
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility11.82percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,45.36917524958512,0,0,0,54.63082475041488],[0,0,33.54854551232054,0,0,0,66.45145448767947],[0,7.376875176903481,0,0,0,45.95952448344183,46.663600339654685]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility53.34percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,45.36917524958512,0,0,0,54.63082475041488],[0,0,33.54854551232054,0,0,0,66.45145448767947],[0,7.376875176903481,0,0,0,45.95952448344183,46.663600339654685]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility32.58percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,45.36917524958512,0,0,0,54.63082475041488],[0,0,33.54854551232054,0,0,0,66.45145448767947],[0,7.376875176903481,0,0,0,45.95952448344183,46.663600339654685]]
Source-reported control: José Toapanta Bastidas; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 104,050 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": null,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 15,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 104050,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-15",
"name": "NAPO",
"office": "Prefect",
"precinct_rows": [
3018,
3019,
3020,
3021,
3022,
3023,
3024,
3025,
3026,
3027,
3028,
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3040,
3041,
3042,
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3046,
3047,
3048,
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3052,
3053,
3054,
3055,
3056,
3057,
3058,
3059,
3060,
3061,
3062,
3063,
3064,
3065,
3066,
3067,
3068,
3069,
3070,
3071,
3072,
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3075,
3076,
3077,
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3080,
3081,
3082,
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3085,
3086,
3087,
3088,
3089,
3090,
3091,
3092,
3093,
3094,
3095,
3096,
3097,
3098,
3099,
3100,
3101,
3102,
3103,
3104,
3105,
3106,
3107,
3108,
3109,
3110,
3111,
3112,
3113
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “NAPO — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-15. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.