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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MORONA SANTIAGO — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO · regional · PrefectEC-P-14

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MORONA SANTIAGO / MORONA SANTIAGO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-9d00b6277cb9412cfb834796
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK46.6%
  • SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO36.7%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA8.1%
  • HAGAMOS HISTORIA POR MORONA SANTIAGO7.2%
  • SOMOS AGUA1.4%
Results for event-5f0674f82bab852ffdb1fa51
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · TIYUA UYUNKAR7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202344,47646.6%1Recorded
SOMOS UNIDAD POR MORONA SANTIAGO · CELESTINO WISUM1243ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202334,98836.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · GUILLERMO ESTRELLA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,7608.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
HAGAMOS HISTORIA POR MORONA SANTIAGO · WASHINTON VALLEJO1252ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,8677.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS AGUA · BRODWIN BRITO TORRES1403ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,3351.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK36.6%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PROVINCIAL POR EL CAMBIO PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y MOVIMIENTO SUMA LISTA 2325.5%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 3523.3%
  • ALIANZA TODOS SOMOS MORONA SANTIAGO11.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO2.9%
Results for event-8e27d13882d22bf564585b6d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · RAFAEL ANTUNI12ecuador/Sed7b513864/201933,24936.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PROVINCIAL POR EL CAMBIO PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y MOVIMIENTO SUMA LISTA 23 · CELESTINO WISUM682ecuador/Sed7b513864/201923,16525.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESA MORONA SANTIAGO FUERZA AMAZÓNICA LISTA 62 Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 35 · ROBERTO VILLARREAL514ecuador/Sed7b513864/201921,19223.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS SOMOS MORONA SANTIAGO · SAUL CARDENAS RIERA751ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,70911.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · PATRICIO DELGADO BRITO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,6282.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK48.2%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO26.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS25.5%
Results for event-55c3b44e82dae41e6fb59913
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · CHUMPI JIMPIKIT FELIPE MARCELINO5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201438,43848.2%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MORONA SANTIAGO · MEJIA REINOSO JAIME EDMUNDO14004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201420,90526.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · MONCAYO CARVAJAL DALIA PIEDAD3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201420,35525.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

42.540–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.942782889359293, oldest_gap=21.99929734748676, previous_gap=11.088264077499094

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.05percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,46.60784272630101,0,0,0,53.392157273698984],[0,0,36.56026302189284,0,0,0,63.43973697810716],[0,0,48.22956661396773,0,0,25.540164119551306,26.230269266480967]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,46.60784272630101,0,0,0,53.392157273698984],[0,0,36.56026302189284,0,0,0,63.43973697810716],[0,0,48.22956661396773,0,0,25.540164119551306,26.230269266480967]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,46.60784272630101,0,0,0,53.392157273698984],[0,0,36.56026302189284,0,0,0,63.43973697810716],[0,0,48.22956661396773,0,0,25.540164119551306,26.230269266480967]]

Source-reported control: Tiyua Uyunkar Kaniras; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11143,136
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 14,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 143136,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-14",
  "name": "MORONA SANTIAGO",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
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  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MORONA SANTIAGO — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-14. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.