Office briefing

MANABÍ — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MANABÍ / MANABÍ · regional · PrefectEC-P-13

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-d6553110e967843de8a76d3d
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7242.9%
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA32.8%
MANABITAMENTE7.7%
1-333.2%
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.6%
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.5%
MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)2.5%
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN2.2%
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.1%
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR1.6%

Results for event-4e4f34a26092d1042c8bf3ab
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72 · LEONARDO ORLANDO	1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	343,173	42.9%	1	Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA · AGUSTIN CASANOVA	1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	261,924	32.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MANABITAMENTE · JORGE ZAMBRANO	1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	61,726	7.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
1-33 · GONZALO RODRIGUEZ GUILLEN	1387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	25,264	3.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MARIA JOSE BRAVO	208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	20,524	2.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · JORGE LOOR ZAMBRANO	117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	20,143	2.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER) · JORGE ARTEAGA	186ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	19,776	2.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · JACINTO SIGIFREDO MOREIRA	270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	17,613	2.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · RODDY ALBERTO ZAMBRANO OLMEDO	157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	16,702	2.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · ISAAC AVELLAN CEDEÑO	231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	12,888	1.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL28.5%
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 7225.7%
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6520.6%
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 178.1%
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA3.1%
FUERZA.EC2.6%
ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANABI - MOVIMIENTO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12 - MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL LISTA 11 - MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA DE HOMBRE Y MUJERES POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD MACHETE LISTAS 612.3%
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION1.6%
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.5%
UNION ECUATORIANA1.3%
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.0%
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.0%
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO1.0%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.9%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.6%

Results for event-772a495ea38ed444e3f16efc
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · JOSE LEONARDO ORLANDO ARTEAGA	148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	210,687	28.5%	1	Recorded
ALIANZA CREO LISTA 21 - SI PODEMOS LISTA 72 · JAIME EDULFO ESTRADA BONILLA	673ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	190,288	25.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 · CLEMENTE VASQUEZ GONZALEZ	711ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	152,554	20.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17 · JOSE RICARDO ZAMBRANO ARTEAGA	732ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	60,082	8.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · TITO NILTON MENDOZA ORDOÑEZ	37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	22,922	3.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
FUERZA.EC · GONZALO RODRIGUEZ GUILLEN	146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	19,034	2.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA POR EL DESARROLLO DE MANABI - MOVIMIENTO AVANZA LISTAS 8 - PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA LISTAS 12 - MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL LISTA 11 - MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA DE HOMBRE Y MUJERES POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD MACHETE LISTAS 61 · ABEL GOMEZ	803ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	17,340	2.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION · JESUS LOOR	264ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	12,169	1.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · KATHERIN PONCE	158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	10,882	1.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · LADY JULIETA ALVAREZ VERA	51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	9,512	1.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · GLORIA SABANDO	235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	7,673	1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · JORGE ARTEAGA SANTANA	18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	7,547	1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · FERNANDO RIVADENEIRA	219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	7,326	1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · NOE INTRIAGO	12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	6,440	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · GUSTAVO ANDRADE	3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,582	0.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6555.9%
PARTIDO AVANZA18.1%
MOVIMIENTO SUMA14.5%
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO5.5%
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.1%
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD1.3%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.2%
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.8%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.6%

Results for event-49845d136a882367f4af0028
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · ZAMBRANO SEGOVIA MARIANO NICANOR	13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	414,870	55.9%	1	Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · PEREZ VELEZ JORGE LUIS	6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	134,594	18.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · CEDEÑO ZAMBRANO JAIME EDUARDO	13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	107,335	14.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · CEDEÑO LOPEZ JORGE ENRIQUE	10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	40,835	5.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · AVELLAN CEDEÑO BERNARDO ISAAC	2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	15,778	2.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD · ALCIVAR BRIONES HAROLD DAVID	13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	9,474	1.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · BRAVO MACIAS FRANCISCO LORENZO	5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	8,816	1.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · REYES AVELLAN ALEJANDRO ENRIQUE	1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	5,959	0.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · LASSO SANTIBAÑEZ ADRIAN IGNACIO	4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	4,472	0.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

46.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.159515738377685, oldest_gap=37.7662763952014, previous_gap=2.7602098944844506

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0.871403094292851,0,3.101599647108809,0,96.02699725859836],[0,18.13610228894282,1.1879272313722742,0,14.463040991304792,0,66.21292948838011]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.81percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0.871403094292851,0,3.101599647108809,0,96.02699725859836],[0,18.13610228894282,1.1879272313722742,0,14.463040991304792,0,66.21292948838011]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0.871403094292851,0,3.101599647108809,0,96.02699725859836],[0,18.13610228894282,1.1879272313722742,0,14.463040991304792,0,66.21292948838011]]

Source-reported control: Leonardo Orlando Arteaga; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

1,321,496

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

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  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
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  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-13",
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6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MANABÍ — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-13. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.