Office briefing

LOJA — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LOJA / LOJA · regional · PrefectEC-P-11

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: LOJA / LOJA
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-dc6c2df2eb7fc9ab42a44a51
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

JUNTOS POR LOJA25.3%
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO14.4%
EL RETO ES LOJA13.7%
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA11.0%
SOMOS EL CAMBIO9.6%
POR LOJA9.3%
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE4.3%
PARTIDO AVANZA4.2%
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES3.9%
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.7%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO1.0%
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID0.8%

Results for event-25f37cb0f375883c89635b93
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
JUNTOS POR LOJA · MARIO MANCINO	1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	67,380	25.3%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · KELVIN EDUARDO SIGCHO AZANZA	124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	38,480	14.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
EL RETO ES LOJA · DARIO LOJA REYES	1074ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	36,516	13.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · MAX IÑIGUEZ	207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	29,221	11%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
SOMOS EL CAMBIO · JORGE GUEVARA	1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	25,567	9.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
POR LOJA · NILO HUMBERTO CORDOVA LOPEZ	1244ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	24,690	9.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD, ARE · CESAR RODRIGUEZ	33ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	11,427	4.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · JOSE LUCERO	101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	11,167	4.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · RUBEN BUSTAMANTE	208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	10,374	3.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · MARIA SANCHEZ	117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	7,069	2.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · JESSICA PINARGOTE	34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	2,582	1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · VLADIMIR ERAS SAMANIEGO	222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	2,202	0.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA34.1%
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA19.2%
ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO14.9%
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL10.3%
ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES8.0%
ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS5.4%
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA5.1%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3.0%

Results for event-dc81d4e563bff955c2037a06
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA · RAFAEL DAVILA	652ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	86,180	34.1%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · LORENA COSTA	13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	48,625	19.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO · NILO CORDOVA LOPEZ	635ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	37,584	14.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · MAX IÑIGUEZ	148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	26,073	10.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA POR UNA LOJA DE OPORTUNIDADES · JUAN CARLOS RIOS	762ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	20,294	8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA LOJA PARA TODOS · MIRYAM GONZALEZ SERRANO	596ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	13,697	5.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA · PEPE APONTE	23ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	12,929	5.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · EDGAR SALVADOR RIVAS JARAMILLO	3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	7,529	3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO40.3%
LA REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA - AVANZA32.7%
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA13.1%
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PUEBLO CAMBIO Y DESARROLLO9.7%
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS4.3%

Results for event-df9fb4956b36101a74a5011b
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO · DAVILA EGUEZ RAFAEL ANTONIO	11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	101,942	40.3%	1	Recorded
LA REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA - AVANZA · MONTAÑO ARMIJOS JAIRO ROSALINO	11018ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	82,629	32.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA · VIVAR BERMEO RODRIGO EDUARDO	11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	33,035	13.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PUEBLO CAMBIO Y DESARROLLO · ROMAN CALERO OSWALDO VICENTE	11004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	24,518	9.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR LOJA SUMAMOS · BRAVO BRAVO FREDY GONZALO	11017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	10,881	4.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

41.40–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.837161338708164, oldest_gap=7.633445979328471, previous_gap=14.849097113213741

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,4.1874941408080995,0,0,0,0,95.81250585919192],[0,0,0,0,0,19.22613093143438,80.77386906856563],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,4.1874941408080995,0,0,0,0,95.81250585919192],[0,0,0,0,0,19.22613093143438,80.77386906856563],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,4.1874941408080995,0,0,0,0,95.81250585919192],[0,0,0,0,0,19.22613093143438,80.77386906856563],null]

Source-reported control: Mario José Mancino; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

403,153

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 11,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 403153,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-11",
  "name": "LOJA",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
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  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LOJA — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-11. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.