Office briefing
Sosote / Rocafuerte / Manabí — Parish board
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · Sosote / Rocafuerte / Manabí / Manabí · other · Parish boardEC-NEW-SOSOTE-J
Read the complete original research briefing
Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The 10 July spending resolution lists 3,944 electors; the 11 August distribution lists 3,938. Both are retained. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Sosote / Rocafuerte / Manabí / Manabí
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-71d4584f214efe562cb4d6bd
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The 10 July spending resolution lists 3,944 electors; the 11 August distribution lists 3,938. Both are retained. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification.
2024-03-17
Special · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA41.2%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA VISIÓN28.2%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA27.0%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR3.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA | 117ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 1,131 | 41.2% | 2 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA VISIÓN | 253ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 776 | 28.2% | 2 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA | 207ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 741 | 27% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR | 231ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 99 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The 10 July spending resolution lists 3,944 electors; the 11 August distribution lists 3,938. Both are retained. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUIZ DELGADO PUBLIO ROQUE | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO NUEVA VISIÓN | principal |
| MACIAS COBEÑA GEMA CECILIA | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO NUEVA VISIÓN | substitute |
| PARRAGA MEJIA DECSY PATRICIA | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO NUEVA VISIÓN | principal |
| VELEZ SOLORZANO DARWIN HUMBERTO | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO NUEVA VISIÓN | substitute |
| ROMAN VALENCIA NEY HERNAN | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA | principal |
| ANDINO MERA KANDY ANAIS | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA | substitute |
| MORENO VALENCIA ELIANA ELIZABETH | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA | principal |
| LOPEZ MENDOZA JULIO CESAR | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA | substitute |
| VELASQUEZ ROMAN FATIMA MARIUXCI | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA | principal |
| VELEZ ROMAN DIEGO ADOLFO | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA | substitute |
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 3,938 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 465,
"cne_parish": 4750,
"cne_province": 13,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electorate_difference": -6,
"electors_august": 3938,
"electors_july": 3944,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-NEW-SOSOTE-J",
"name": "Sosote / Rocafuerte / Manabí",
"office": "Parish board",
"precinct_rows": [
2512,
2515,
2710
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 37,
"register_pdf_row": 41,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
"spending_limit_usd": 4000
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The 10 July spending resolution lists 3,944 electors; the 11 August distribution lists 3,938. Both are retained. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
structural exception · open
New-unit structural history exception: Only one earlier election exists for this new office. Its official party-vote vector and elected-candidate statistics are imported. Two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Source ballot-total discrepancies and dataset-specific code joins remain documented. Predecessor votes are not assigned to this office.
other · open
Official statistical ballot-total discrepancy: Published suffragants 2,991 exceed party votes + blank + null (2,990) by 1. Source values are retained; no missing vote is allocated.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-parroquiales/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2024 parishes2024: official votes SPSS table · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2024 parishes2024: official candidates SPSS table · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-3-10-7-2026: signed list of 825 ordinary parish contests and spending limits · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/cne-aprobo-la-convocatoria-para-las-elecciones-seccionales-y-del-cpccs-2027/ · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Sosote / Rocafuerte / Manabí — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-NEW-SOSOTE-J. Sources: ecuador--url-02dbc0e387d2aff71232cbc7, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-CANDIDATES, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER, ecuador--url-c007dad43972ba7a215bf08c.