Office briefing
Juan Montalvo / Cayambe / Pichincha — Parish board
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · Juan Montalvo / Cayambe / Pichincha / Pichincha · other · Parish boardEC-NEW-JUAN-MONTALVO-J
Read the complete original research briefing
Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Juan Montalvo / Cayambe / Pichincha / Pichincha
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-239074dd716ab7cff18159ff
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification.
2024-03-17
Special · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE41.6%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA25.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO20.7%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR12.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE | 18ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 1,368 | 41.6% | 2 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA | 207ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 833 | 25.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO | 39ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 679 | 20.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR | 231ecuador/SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES/2024 | 407 | 12.4% | 1 | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALVAREZ QUISHPE MARCO VINICIO | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR | principal |
| CASTRO GALARZA JAQUELINE ALEXANDRA | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR | substitute |
| MALDONADO FERNANDEZ LUIS FELIPE | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE | principal |
| SEVILLA SANTILLAN MARCIA GEOCONDA | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE | substitute |
| CHICAIZA LECHON LUZ AMPARO | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE | principal |
| GUALAVISI ESCOBAR ANGEL REMIGIO | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE | substitute |
| CACHIGUANGO MOSQUERA MILTON GUSTAVO | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO | principal |
| FARINANGO NAVAS MARIA GLORIA | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO | substitute |
| AGUAS LUGMAÑA FRANKLIN DAVID | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA | principal |
| PUJOTA MALDONADO NANCY VERONICA | Parish board | 2024-03-17 | MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA | substitute |
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 6,996 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 65,
"cne_parish": 4765,
"cne_province": 17,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electorate_difference": 0,
"electors_august": 6996,
"electors_july": 6996,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-NEW-JUAN-MONTALVO-J",
"name": "Juan Montalvo / Cayambe / Pichincha",
"office": "Parish board",
"precinct_rows": [
3310,
3311
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 40,
"register_pdf_row": 36,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION",
"spending_limit_usd": 4197.6
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Only one earlier election exists for this new office; two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Official post-election party votes and elected statistics are now imported. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The first-election statistical return and elected roster are imported. Its ballot-total and dataset-code notes remain visible. Later replacements and current control still require dated verification. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
structural exception · open
New-unit structural history exception: Only one earlier election exists for this new office. Its official party-vote vector and elected-candidate statistics are imported. Two older cycles are structurally inapplicable. Source ballot-total discrepancies and dataset-specific code joins remain documented. Predecessor votes are not assigned to this office.
other · open
Official statistical ballot-total discrepancy: Published suffragants 3,795 exceed party votes + blank + null (3,794) by 1. Source values are retained; no missing vote is allocated.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-parroquiales/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2024 parishes2024: official votes SPSS table · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2024 parishes2024: official candidates SPSS table · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-3-10-7-2026: signed list of 825 ordinary parish contests and spending limits · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/cne-aprobo-la-convocatoria-para-las-elecciones-seccionales-y-del-cpccs-2027/ · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Juan Montalvo / Cayambe / Pichincha — Parish board.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-NEW-JUAN-MONTALVO-J. Sources: ecuador--url-02dbc0e387d2aff71232cbc7, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-VOTES, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-CANDIDATES, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL, ecuador--SA40-EC-PARISH-REGISTER, ecuador--url-c007dad43972ba7a215bf08c.