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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Borbón / Esmeraldas — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · Borbón / Esmeraldas / Esmeraldas · municipal · Municipal councilEC-NEW-BORBON-C

Read the complete original research briefing

First election: no earlier elections of this office exist. Zero historical cycles is a structural exception. Approved calendar; publication of call due 16 November 2026. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Borbón / Esmeraldas / Esmeraldas
Next election
2027-03-21
Linked upcoming event
next-39f2b8c249e1d48db78d5a45
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-03-21 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

First election: no earlier elections of this office exist. Zero historical cycles is a structural exception. Approved calendar; publication of call due 16 November 2026. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office.

No selected historical cycles are supplied.

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · First election: no earlier elections of this office exist. Zero historical cycles is a structural exception. Approved calendar; publication of call due 16 November 2026. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

First election: no earlier elections of this office exist. Zero historical cycles is a structural exception. Approved calendar; publication of call due 16 November 2026. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

  • structural exception · open

    New-unit structural history exception: First election: no earlier elections of this office exist. Zero historical cycles is a structural exception. Approved calendar; publication of call due 16 November 2026. Predecessor parish/canton votes are not assigned to the new office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Borbón / Esmeraldas — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-NEW-BORBON-C. Sources: ecuador--url-5d35d90903029a48a88753fc.