Office briefing
LOMAS DE SARGENTILLO / GUAYAS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · LOMAS DE SARGENTILLO / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-9-920
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- LOMAS DE SARGENTILLO / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-fabbef362da91eb567c6c7f0
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES28.9%
- PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO28.5%
- ALIANZA DEL FUTURO15.6%
- ALIANZA POR LOMAS DE SARGENTILLO11.3%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA7.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA5.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO2.3%
- JUVENTUD FEMENINA0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · ISIDRO MORAN ESPINOZA | 99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,586 | 28.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO · ELVIS ESPINOZA | 1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,538 | 28.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA DEL FUTURO · ROXANA ELIZABETH MORAN | 1350ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,940 | 15.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR LOMAS DE SARGENTILLO · MARCOS ZAMBRANO | 1399ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,406 | 11.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · MARCIA ORTIZ CHIPRE | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 906 | 7.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · DAVID ORTIZ MORAN | 42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 694 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · KARIM BRIONES NAVARRETE | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 291 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUVENTUD FEMENINA · NAIDELIN PEÑAFIEL VARGAS | 1336ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 48 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO26.8%
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO21.6%
- UNIDAD POPULAR12.4%
- FUERZA.EC10.8%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES9.6%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL8.4%
- MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO4.1%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.7%
- MOVIMIENTO PATRIA ALTIVA Y SOBERANA - MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO2.5%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.5%
- UNION ECUATORIANA0.4%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · ELVIS ESPINOZA ESPINOZA | 534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,077 | 26.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · ISIDRO MORAN ESPINOZA | 145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,478 | 21.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · MARCOS JESUS ZAMBRANO | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,420 | 12.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · JUAN FRANCISCO RONQUILLO SALAS | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,235 | 10.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MAGALY ESPINOZA ROMERO | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,105 | 9.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · MARTHA DECKER MORA | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 967 | 8.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO · LUPE MORAN | 24ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 476 | 4.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · DAVID MORAN | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 314 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO PATRIA ALTIVA Y SOBERANA - MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · CHRISTIAN GOMEZ LOZANO | 671ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 286 | 2.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · JOSE LUIS MURILLO | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 54 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · SONIA CASTRO FRANCO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 45 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · EROL MONCADA | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 31 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO33.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO22.4%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO15.6%
- PARTIDO AVANZA13.2%
- ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3, PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y EL MOVIMIENTO MADERA DE GUERRERO LISTA 759.0%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO4.0%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · NAVARRETE BUENO SEGUNDO ARTURO | 9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,787 | 33.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ESPINOZA ORTIZ VOLTAIRE | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,884 | 22.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · ESPINOZA ROMERO MAGALY BARTOLA | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,313 | 15.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · MORAN ESPINOZA ISIDRO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,111 | 13.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA LISTA 3, PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTA 6 Y EL MOVIMIENTO MADERA DE GUERRERO LISTA 75 · HUNGRIA GONZALEZ ANDRES | 9018ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 755 | 9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · PEÑAFIEL PEÑAFIEL GABRIEL OMAR | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 336 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · GONZALEZ VELASCO MARIA BREINYS | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 217 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI85.650–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.3868160206301887, oldest_gap=10.746162084969654, previous_gap=5.214136490250695
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility19.28percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,28.89838020791361,0,0,71.1016197920864],[0,0,0,9.618732590529248,0,0,90.38126740947075],[0,13.221468523146495,0,15.625371890991312,0,0,71.1531595858622]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility19.23percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,28.89838020791361,0,0,71.1016197920864],[0,0,0,9.618732590529248,0,0,90.38126740947075],[0,13.221468523146495,0,15.625371890991312,0,0,71.1531595858622]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility19.25percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,28.89838020791361,0,0,71.1016197920864],[0,0,0,9.618732590529248,0,0,90.38126740947075],[0,13.221468523146495,0,15.625371890991312,0,0,71.1531595858622]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 17,137 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 920,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 9,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 17137,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-9-920",
"name": "LOMAS DE SARGENTILLO / GUAYAS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1465,
1466,
1864
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “LOMAS DE SARGENTILLO / GUAYAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-9-920. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.