Office briefing
CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-9-890
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-eab621f79267c9993cc320c1
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO58.8%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA29.3%
- 1-335.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO4.0%
- ALIANZA POR MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA1.7%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO · PEDRO ORELLANA | 1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,974 | 58.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · HECTOR BARRENO | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,476 | 29.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| 1-33 · STALIN RAMOS LUNA | 1440ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 454 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · ANGEL FLORES | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 341 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA · JUAN PAZMIÑO BOLAÑOS | 1448ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 143 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JORGE ESPINOZA | 99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 69 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO34.2%
- ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - ECUATORIANO UNIDO Y PAIS25.8%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS20.0%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES6.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO4.9%
- UNION ECUATORIANA2.4%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.3%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.0%
- UNIDAD POPULAR1.0%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.0%
- MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO0.9%
- FUERZA.EC0.8%
- MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · PEDRO ORELLANA | 534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,732 | 34.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - ECUATORIANO UNIDO Y PAIS · ROXANA VELIZ APOLINARIO | 689ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,063 | 25.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · HECTOR BARRENO COBA | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,599 | 20% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · SARA YUNGASACA MALDONADO | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 496 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · GILBERTO JOVANNY VELEZ CORDOVA | 8ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 394 | 4.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · JIMMY CORDOVA MONTALVO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 195 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · KLEBER GUAMAN CEPEDA | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 104 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · LUIS GENARO ZUÑIGA PAREDES | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 82 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · CESAR PADILLA ANDRADE | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 81 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · RUTH NOEMI OYOLA HERRERA | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 80 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO · JANETH ZURITA PALACIOS | 24ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 68 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · ANGEL PADILLA AREVALO | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 63 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · SERGIO HOLGUIN MUÑOZ | 18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 36 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO33.9%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA26.6%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK14.8%
- PARTIDO AVANZA11.8%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"2.7%
- PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL1.9%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO1.9%
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO1.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.0%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · HERRERA ZUMBA NELSON MARCELO | 9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,697 | 33.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · ORELLANA ORTIZ PEDRO ANTONIO | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,117 | 26.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ZUÑIGA SANCHEZ FIDEL JUNIOR | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,179 | 14.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · FREIRE BAJAÑA JUSTA LUCIA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 941 | 11.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · MALDONADO AYOVI HENRY BYRON | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 295 | 3.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · SALAZAR BRITO VICTOR HUGO | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 216 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · CORDOVA MONTALVO JYMMY ALFREDO | 9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 150 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · REINOSO ORTIZ XAVIER ERNESTO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 150 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · PLAZA PALOMINO ELINA YESSENIA | 9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 110 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · JIMENEZ WILLIAMS MANUEL JOSE | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 82 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · KUHN CORDOVA JUAN PABLO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 30 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.537661109140355, oldest_gap=7.280030124262584, previous_gap=8.369823595646192
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility5.39percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.8158921603405463,0,0,99.18410783965945],[0,0,0,6.205429751032153,0,0,93.79457024896784],[0,11.811221287812225,14.798543993975148,1.8827664114472198,26.572109953558428,0,44.93535835320697]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility53.18percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.8158921603405463,0,0,99.18410783965945],[0,0,0,6.205429751032153,0,0,93.79457024896784],[0,11.811221287812225,14.798543993975148,1.8827664114472198,26.572109953558428,0,44.93535835320697]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility29.29percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.8158921603405463,0,0,99.18410783965945],[0,0,0,6.205429751032153,0,0,93.79457024896784],[0,11.811221287812225,14.798543993975148,1.8827664114472198,26.572109953558428,0,44.93535835320697]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 11,036 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 890,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 9,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 11036,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-9-890",
"name": "CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1463,
1464,
1577
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “CORONEL MARCELINO MARIDUEÑA / GUAYAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-9-890. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.