Office briefing
SALITRE / GUAYAS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · SALITRE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-9-430
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SALITRE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-b9fcc01d3a6f9961cde806fd
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO34.0%
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO18.3%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA13.3%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA11.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA8.7%
- ALIANZA POPULAR SALITREÑA7.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES3.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO1.6%
- UNIDOS POR SALITRE1.4%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO · MILTON MORENO | 1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 12,494 | 34% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · PETTER RUDY CRUZ JIMENEZ | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,722 | 18.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · CARLOS VARGAS | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,903 | 13.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · EDIS RIVAS | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,151 | 11.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · WINSGTON MARTINEZ | 42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,205 | 8.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POPULAR SALITREÑA · JULIO OLMEDO ALFARO MIELES | 1035ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,631 | 7.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MILTON VERA | 99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,449 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · ERWIN GUILLEN | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 583 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR SALITRE · CAROL CEDEÑO | 1392ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 521 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN · MARIANA JIMENEZ BRIONES | 246ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 123 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA POPULAR SALITREÑA22.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO22.5%
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO22.0%
- ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA SALITRE16.7%
- CREO - SUMA5.6%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL3.4%
- FUERZA.EC2.4%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.5%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL1.3%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.6%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.6%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA POPULAR SALITREÑA · JULIO OLMEDO ALFARO MIELES | 559ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 8,164 | 22.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · MILTON MORENO PEREZ | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 8,007 | 22.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · GIOVANNY ALMEIDA | 534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,840 | 22% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA SALITRE · PETTER RUDY CRUZ JIMENEZ | 740ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,931 | 16.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO - SUMA · MERIDA JIMENEZ JIMENEZ | 638ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,990 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · GLENDA ZAVALA | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,221 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · CAROL CEDEÑO | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 851 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · GLENDA JIMENEZ AVILES | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 527 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · PATRICIO COELLO BAJAÑA | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 453 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · ERWIN MORENO CASTRO | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 231 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · JORGE LOPEZ | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 199 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · JEFFERSON SILVA | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 189 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO42.8%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA REVOLUCIONARIA SALITREÑA34.4%
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO15.8%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO2.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.8%
- PARTIDO AVANZA1.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.8%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · LEON FLORES FRANCISCO JAVIER | 9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 14,264 | 42.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA REVOLUCIONARIA SALITREÑA · ALFARO MIELES JULIO OLMEDO | 9009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 11,486 | 34.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · ALMEIDA OCHOA PEDRO GIOVANNY | 9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,261 | 15.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · RUIZ FREIRE NURY LUCRECIA | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 934 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · RONQUILLO PAREDES FELIPE VIDAL | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 614 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · MORENO DOYLET RAUL ANTONIO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 323 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · CALDERON MORENO JOSE ARMANDO | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 261 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · RIVAS CARPIO JUANA ROSA | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 208 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI48.10–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.692458267630908, oldest_gap=8.32958531978052, previous_gap=0.4409740752183815
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,3.9394268935892556,0,0,96.06057310641073],null,[0,0.9684867020479146,0,2.8005157266648677,0,0,96.23099757128722]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,3.9394268935892556,0,0,96.06057310641073],null,[0,0.9684867020479146,0,2.8005157266648677,0,0,96.23099757128722]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,3.9394268935892556,0,0,96.06057310641073],null,[0,0.9684867020479146,0,2.8005157266648677,0,0,96.23099757128722]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 53,458 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 430,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 9,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 53458,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-9-430",
"name": "SALITRE / GUAYAS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1399,
1400,
1401,
1402,
1403,
1404,
1405,
1406,
1407,
1408,
1409,
1807
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SALITRE / GUAYAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-9-430. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.