Office briefing
DAULE / GUAYAS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · DAULE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-9-400
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- DAULE / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-df6209da4492bfbc1d1523c1
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO42.9%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA21.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO15.9%
- VAMOS DAULE 21 - 339.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO5.3%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.6%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR1.6%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN1.2%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO · WILSON CAÑIZARES | 1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 41,021 | 42.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · VICTOR MEDINA | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 20,251 | 21.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · GINA SALAZAR | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 15,204 | 15.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS DAULE 21 - 33 · MIGUEL ANCHUNDIA TELLO | 1234ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,824 | 9.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · BYRON DUQUE | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,045 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ELVIS RIVAS | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,578 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · MIGUEL ANGEL VALDEZ | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,561 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN · XIOMARA VELEZ AVEIGA | 246ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,144 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · PEDRO PAZMIÑO | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 619 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · MICHELLE TORRES | 39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 454 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO35.3%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS13.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA9.0%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL7.4%
- FUERZA.EC6.1%
- CREO - MST6.0%
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO4.8%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA3.8%
- MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO3.0%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.9%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL2.3%
- UNIDAD POPULAR1.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.7%
- IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.7%
- UNION ECUATORIANA0.6%
- MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META)0.6%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.4%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · WILSON CAÑIZARES | 534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 28,472 | 35.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · MIGUEL ANCHUNDIA TELLO | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 10,686 | 13.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · JORGE BRIONES HERRERA | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,253 | 9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · JESSEKA ALEXANDRA VASQUEZ RUIZ | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 6,000 | 7.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · ALFREDO PAREDES CATUTE | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,881 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO - MST · MANUEL BRIONES | 591ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,847 | 6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · TATIANA ROHA | 145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,880 | 4.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · RUBEN UZCA | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,105 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · EDUARDO RUIZ | 219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,447 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · JOHANNA CEDEÑO | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,337 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · TYRONE BAJAÑA CHIRIGUAYA | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,895 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · MIGUEL OCTAVIO HIDALGO | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,390 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · OLIVER DELGADO | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,373 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · PABLO EDUARDO LEON SALAZAR | 152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 598 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · TITO RENE RUIZ VEGA | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 490 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META) · CARLOS GUERRERO MENENDEZ | 50ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 444 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · FELIX MARCIAL RIVAS CEREZO | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 324 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · WILLIAMS SILVA | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 255 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO45.0%
- ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO41.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"3.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.5%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO2.4%
- PARTIDO AVANZA1.8%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.4%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.8%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA0.6%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · SALAZAR BARZOLA PEDRO OTTON | 9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 31,470 | 45% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · CAÑIZARES VILLAMAR WILSON FIDEL | 9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 28,809 | 41.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · MINA QUINTERO JOSE CESAR | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,731 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · NAVAS ZAMBRANO ABEL EUFRACIO | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,760 | 2.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · RIVAS BARAHONA MISAEL GERMAN | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,697 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · VARGAS CAICEDO GALO VICENTE | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,291 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · VALDEZ MIGUEL ANGEL | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,008 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · BRIONES MACIAS GILBERTO JACINTO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 572 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · VILLEGAS MEDINA JOSE MANUEL | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 413 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · BANCHON RAMIREZ FRANCISCO PACELLI FABRIZIO | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 186 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.703012507706294, oldest_gap=3.80485293907374, previous_gap=22.045936264362826
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.6488855915821152,0,0,0,98.35111440841787],[0,0,0.31607521350570794,0,3.8486805409224436,8.990170680615293,86.84507356495655],[0,1.8459470666456954,0.2659536439938802,2.4264695368688964,0.5905314783304975,0,94.87109827416103]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.3percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.6488855915821152,0,0,0,98.35111440841787],[0,0,0.31607521350570794,0,3.8486805409224436,8.990170680615293,86.84507356495655],[0,1.8459470666456954,0.2659536439938802,2.4264695368688964,0.5905314783304975,0,94.87109827416103]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.57percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,1.6488855915821152,0,0,0,98.35111440841787],[0,0,0.31607521350570794,0,3.8486805409224436,8.990170680615293,86.84507356495655],[0,1.8459470666456954,0.2659536439938802,2.4264695368688964,0.5905314783304975,0,94.87109827416103]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 149,277 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 400,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 9,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 149277,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-9-400",
"name": "DAULE / GUAYAS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1368,
1509,
1510,
1511,
1512,
1513,
1514,
1534,
1535,
1536,
1633,
1634,
1635,
1636,
1921,
1922,
1923,
1924,
1925,
1926,
1927,
1928
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “DAULE / GUAYAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-9-400. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.