Office briefing
COLIMES / GUAYAS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · COLIMES / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-9-125
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- COLIMES / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-949653324fa6e4260f147a9d
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO26.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO26.4%
- UNIDOS POR COLIMES22.1%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA10.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO4.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO2.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.8%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN1.8%
- ALIANZA POR COLIMES1.6%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO · ALEX QUINTO | 1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,849 | 26.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · WASHINGTON MENDOZA | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,845 | 26.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR COLIMES · PABLO ALVARADO | 1381ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,218 | 22.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JUAN TRIVIÑO BURGOS | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,482 | 10.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · CLEOFE JUANAZO VILLAVICENCIO | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 680 | 4.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · LUIS TRIVIÑO MENDIETA | 39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 422 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · MICHELL BURGOS SANTISTEVAN | 157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 410 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN · JHONSON JIMENEZ MOTA | 246ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 262 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR COLIMES · LUIS LEON BURGOS | 1439ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 238 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · DIANA FABIOLA BURGOS | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 168 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO35.7%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA28.9%
- ADELANTE COLIMEÑO ADELANTE15.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO7.9%
- CREO - MST7.1%
- FUERZA.EC2.3%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL1.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
- UNIDAD POPULAR0.4%
- IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · NORMA ORDOÑEZ MURILLO | 534ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,225 | 35.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · ARTURO ZAMBRANO PARRALES | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,226 | 28.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ADELANTE COLIMEÑO ADELANTE · VICENTE GUERRERO BARZOLA | 654ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,319 | 15.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · MARIUXI PINARGOTE | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,150 | 7.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO - MST · DAURIN PEREZ OCHOA | 590ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,035 | 7.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · JAVIER RENDON VELASCO | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 331 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · UFREDO GOYA | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 165 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · ELIEZER RIVERA ANCHUNDIA | 8ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 66 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · VICENTE SUAREZ CALLE | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 63 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ISIDRO SELLAN HOLGUIN | 152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 56 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS34.1%
- PARTIDO AVANZA26.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"26.6%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO3.3%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.9%
- 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO2.8%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA2.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · ZAMBRANO PARRALES ARTURO MAURICIO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 4,232 | 34.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ORDOÑEZ MURILLO NORMA JACKELINE | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,325 | 26.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · QUIJIJE TRIVIÑO WALTER ENRIQUE | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,294 | 26.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · PEREZ OCHOA DAURIN AURISTEL | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 413 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · GUEVARA ZAMORA JUAN CARLOS | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 357 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · VALENCIA CABRERA WILSON EDILBERTO | 9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 349 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · ROMERO BURGOS LAURIEL ALEJANDRO | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 264 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · RIVERA ANCHUNDIA ELIEZER GABRIEL | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 171 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI86.020–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.02744613695622533, oldest_gap=7.31156791616284, previous_gap=6.825635419513528
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,28.874009292156327,71.12599070784367],[0,26.803708182184604,0,3.329302700523982,2.128174123337364,34.115276098347444,33.62353889560661]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility37.5percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,28.874009292156327,71.12599070784367],[0,26.803708182184604,0,3.329302700523982,2.128174123337364,34.115276098347444,33.62353889560661]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,28.874009292156327,71.12599070784367],[0,26.803708182184604,0,3.329302700523982,2.128174123337364,34.115276098347444,33.62353889560661]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 21,378 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 125,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 9,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 21378,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-9-125",
"name": "COLIMES / GUAYAS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1469,
1628,
1643,
1652,
1653,
1912
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “COLIMES / GUAYAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-9-125. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.