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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ATACAMES / ESMERALDAS — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ATACAMES / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-8-785

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ATACAMES / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-e1098f7369c68023e477bb68
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO37.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA21.8%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS15.4%
  • SOMOS ATACAMES LISTAS 1 - 3312.6%
  • UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA12.4%
Results for event-9127dfd9145206a89e03ed54
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · WILLIANS MENDOZA VIDAL32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202310,27137.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · EDISON MANJARRES42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,93621.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PODEMOS · ELICENIA VELEZ1028ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,20615.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS ATACAMES LISTAS 1 - 33 · JAVIER VIVAR1493ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,44312.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA · ALFONSO APARICIO1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,37312.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA UNIDOS PODEMOS37.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO20.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ11.8%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESISTA POR UN NUEVO ATACAMES6.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA5.9%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA5.5%
  • ALIANZA POR UN ATACAMES MEJOR4.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA3.6%
  • FUERZA.EC2.2%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES0.8%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA0.4%
Results for event-98fff36aabed25c4f2d5bcf1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA UNIDOS PODEMOS · FREDY SALDARRIAGA CORRAL529ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,00837.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · WILLIANS MENDOZA1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,93420.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · NEMECIO MOSQUERA SOSA198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,83411.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESISTA POR UN NUEVO ATACAMES · MARIBEL VERA563ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6136.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · VERONICA ROBINZON13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4145.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · BYRON APARICIO CHIRIBOGA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3275.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR UN ATACAMES MEJOR · ANGELA CASTILLO BAILON533ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199824.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · HUMBERTO DE LA CRUZ37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198543.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · GABRIELA BEDOYA CORTEZ146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195332.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · RICHARD ANDRES ESTRELLA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192411%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · LAURA FLOR22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191920.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · MARIANA QUIÑONEZ51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019940.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS40.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO31.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA16.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA GENERANDO UNION Y ALTERNATIVAS6.0%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.2%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA1.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO1.8%
Results for event-1c8377f97090012312b2d003
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · APARICIO CHIRIBOGA BYRON3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,06340.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · SALDARRIAGA CORRAL FREDY GONZALO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,33631.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · DE LA CRUZ PICO HUMBERTO JULIO13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,29116.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA GENERANDO UNION Y ALTERNATIVAS · NOLE PAREDES CARLOS MANUEL8002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2126%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · PRECIADO LARA LEONEL2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144462.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · SANCHEZ CASTRO RICHARD MIGUEL6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143701.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · VELASCO OLAYA GINA CECILIA8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143691.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

22.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.9205259098755, oldest_gap=8.59760043809429, previous_gap=16.956630317156417

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[37.72081236916523,0,0,0,0,0,62.27918763083477],[20.536085906934154,0,0,0.7991342712061933,3.5544826438025474,5.885290934820611,69.2250062432365],[0,1.841987355005725,0,1.8370090108030068,16.383730771145515,40.14038930651665,39.796883556529096]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[37.72081236916523,0,0,0,0,0,62.27918763083477],[20.536085906934154,0,0,0.7991342712061933,3.5544826438025474,5.885290934820611,69.2250062432365],[0,1.841987355005725,0,1.8370090108030068,16.383730771145515,40.14038930651665,39.796883556529096]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[37.72081236916523,0,0,0,0,0,62.27918763083477],[20.536085906934154,0,0,0.7991342712061933,3.5544826438025474,5.885290934820611,69.2250062432365],[0,1.841987355005725,0,1.8370090108030068,16.383730771145515,40.14038930651665,39.796883556529096]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1139,076
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 785,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 8,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 39076,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-8-785",
  "name": "ATACAMES / ESMERALDAS",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1149,
    1150,
    1177,
    1189,
    1190,
    1191,
    1192,
    1193,
    1273,
    1274,
    1275,
    1276,
    1277,
    1282,
    1283,
    1284,
    1285,
    1286,
    1287,
    1294,
    1335
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ATACAMES / ESMERALDAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-8-785. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.