Office briefing
MUISNE / ESMERALDAS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · MUISNE / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-8-570
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- MUISNE / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-848701950b3b7926a63398e9
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO26.8%
- MUISNE PRIMERO24.1%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR16.1%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA15.4%
- UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA13.5%
- MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO4.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · YURI COLORADO MARQUEZ | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,863 | 26.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| MUISNE PRIMERO · PAUL VELEZ COLORADO | 1393ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,385 | 24.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · ANGEL PERDOMO BERNAL | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,926 | 16.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · TAIRON QUINTERO | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,793 | 15.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA · ELENA PATIÑO | 1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,451 | 13.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · YINA COLORADO | 124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 752 | 4.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA VUELVE LA ESPERANZA22.1%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA17.7%
- UNIDAD POPULAR17.5%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ9.9%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES9.5%
- MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO4.0%
- ALIANZA PLURINACIONAL MUISNEÑA3.5%
- MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION3.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3.3%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA3.2%
- MOVIMIENTO REACTIVATE1.8%
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO1.7%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.5%
- FUERZA.EC1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA VUELVE LA ESPERANZA · TAIRON QUINTERO | 532ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,419 | 22.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · YURI JESSICA COLORADO MARQUEZ | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,742 | 17.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · ANGEL PERDOMO | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,703 | 17.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · DANILO FABIAN CORELLA GARRIDO | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,536 | 9.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MAIRA SOLORZANO ESCOBAR | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,468 | 9.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · OLIVER ANTONIO MARQUEZ CHILA | 219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 615 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PLURINACIONAL MUISNEÑA · JOSE ESPINOZA MARTINEZ | 530ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 539 | 3.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · LIDER GONGORA FARIAS | 18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 534 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · VILMA GALARZA ROSALES | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 510 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · HECTOR AUXILIO VERA GUERRERO | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 499 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REACTIVATE · LAURA GRACIA | 275ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 285 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · DANIEL ANGEL BERNAL BODNIZA | 145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 261 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · HOMERO ULLOA NAVEDA | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 225 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · SIMON CESAR COLORADO POZO | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 150 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS37.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"19.1%
- PARTIDO AVANZA18.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO8.4%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO5.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.1%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO3.1%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO1.4%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA0.8%
- PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · VERA GUERRERO EDDI WALQUER | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,166 | 37.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · QUINTERO VERA TAIRON IVAN | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,631 | 19.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · VELEZ COLORADO CARLOS PAUL | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,551 | 18.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · LOOR MARZANA BRAULIO WUILTON | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,159 | 8.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · MARQUEZ CHILA OLIVER ANTONIO | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 793 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · AÑAPA PIANCHICHE CALIXTO ANTONIO | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 700 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · BURBANO GRACIA MANUEL ADALBERTO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 425 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · REYNA VASQUEZ SONIA MERCEDES | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 196 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · BERNAL BODNIZA DANIEL ANGEL | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 116 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · RODRIGUEZ ARROBA RIGOBERTO ISAAC | 9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 32 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI76.340–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.630709961474956, oldest_gap=18.410923088096446, previous_gap=4.371690559214773
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility30.41percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[26.763896532746283,0,0,0,0,0,73.23610346725371],[0,0,0,9.479529897972363,3.222265271858453,17.706315381635026,69.59188944853418],[0,18.527126152952285,5.083884087442806,1.4234875444839858,0.8424722202048079,37.51906456532791,36.60396542958821]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility43.42percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[26.763896532746283,0,0,0,0,0,73.23610346725371],[0,0,0,9.479529897972363,3.222265271858453,17.706315381635026,69.59188944853418],[0,18.527126152952285,5.083884087442806,1.4234875444839858,0.8424722202048079,37.51906456532791,36.60396542958821]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility36.92percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[26.763896532746283,0,0,0,0,0,73.23610346725371],[0,0,0,9.479529897972363,3.222265271858453,17.706315381635026,69.59188944853418],[0,18.527126152952285,5.083884087442806,1.4234875444839858,0.8424722202048079,37.51906456532791,36.60396542958821]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 26,815 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 570,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 8,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 26815,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-8-570",
"name": "MUISNE / ESMERALDAS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
1147,
1158,
1163,
1164,
1165,
1188,
1195,
1196,
1197,
1198,
1199,
1200,
1227,
1234,
1235,
1237,
1248,
1249,
1250,
1251,
1252,
1329
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “MUISNE / ESMERALDAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-8-570. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.