Office briefing
ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-8-560
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-b766ed40ff10c17caadb6130
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA29.6%
- ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO26.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO14.5%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR8.1%
- SOMOS ESMERALDAS LISTAS 1 - 237.9%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA6.5%
- MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID2.3%
- VAMOS ESMERALDAS2.2%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO1.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA · VICKO VILLACIS | 1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 31,553 | 29.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO · FRICKSON ERAZO | 1178ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 27,893 | 26.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ANA DEL ROCIO AVILA COX | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 15,521 | 14.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · LUCIA SOSA | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,674 | 8.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SOMOS ESMERALDAS LISTAS 1 - 23 · MIGUEL RUIZ | 1284ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,388 | 7.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ERNESTO ESTUPIÑAN QUINTERO | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,960 | 6.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · FELIX ROLANDO AVELLAN MINA | 222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,441 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS ESMERALDAS · WILMER COROZO VALENCIA | 1337ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,394 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · RUBEN KLINGER MURILLO | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,419 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · KIKY JHON CORONADO | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,016 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ALLISON MOSQUERA MERA | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 470 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- UNIDAD POPULAR45.0%
- ALIANZA PROGRESISTA33.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO10.1%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ3.4%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL2.0%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES1.2%
- PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA1.1%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.8%
- FUERZA.EC0.8%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.7%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS0.6%
- UNION ECUATORIANA0.5%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIDAD POPULAR · LUCIA SOSA | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 49,097 | 45% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PROGRESISTA · LENIN LARA RIVADENEIRA | 655ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 36,671 | 33.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · TERESA YEPEZ | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 11,054 | 10.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · JORGE CEVALLOS | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,754 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · XAVIER TORO | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,194 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · EDUARDO RIVAS | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,297 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · EMILIO VALENCIA | 25ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,231 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · JOAQUIN PALMA ORDOÑEZ | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 900 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · JUAN CARLOS PONGUILLO | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 875 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · FERNANDO GUTIERREZ BEDOYA | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 794 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · LEONARDO RODRIGUEZ | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 654 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · MIGUEL CASTILLO ARTIEDA | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 495 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · EDUARDO MALDONADO OYARVIDE | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 179 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS46.2%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO24.2%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO10.7%
- PARTIDO AVANZA9.4%
- ALIANZA UNIDOS POR ESMERALDAS6.3%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO1.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO0.9%
- MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO0.6%
- PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · LARA RIVADENEIRA LENIN JOSE | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 46,943 | 46.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · ZAMBRANO ORTIZ MARIA ROBERTA | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 24,593 | 24.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · AVILA PORTOCARRERO ABEL PATRICIO | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 10,863 | 10.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · GALVAN GRACIA NUBIA SIMONA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 9,521 | 9.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDOS POR ESMERALDAS · DUQUE REBOLLEDO ABRAHAM ULPIANO | 8004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 6,386 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · QUINTERO ZUÑIGA EDER | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,432 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · MICOLTA CUERO JULIO ENRIQUE | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 879 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO · ORTIZ MALDONADO FERNANDO | 8001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 611 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · TELLO BATIOJA LUIS EDUARDO | 9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 324 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI61.640–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.429246034348676, oldest_gap=22.00842917913975, previous_gap=11.37964192499657
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility6.19percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[14.542439262056236,0.4403676601486007,1.3295355526614134,0,0,0,83.68765752513374],[10.123174138009983,0,0,1.1877833234122441,0.1639269197307569,0,88.525115618847],[0,9.375492358594611,0,1.4101150149677013,0,46.22557901370726,42.98881361273042]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility55.82percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[14.542439262056236,0.4403676601486007,1.3295355526614134,0,0,0,83.68765752513374],[10.123174138009983,0,0,1.1877833234122441,0.1639269197307569,0,88.525115618847],[0,9.375492358594611,0,1.4101150149677013,0,46.22557901370726,42.98881361273042]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility31.01percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[14.542439262056236,0.4403676601486007,1.3295355526614134,0,0,0,83.68765752513374],[10.123174138009983,0,0,1.1877833234122441,0.1639269197307569,0,88.525115618847],[0,9.375492358594611,0,1.4101150149677013,0,46.22557901370726,42.98881361273042]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 166,558 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 560,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 8,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 166558,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-8-560",
"name": "ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
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],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-8-560. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.