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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

HUAQUILLAS / EL ORO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · HUAQUILLAS / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · MayorEC-M-7-695

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
HUAQUILLAS / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-bf54b9aebba4ea5eb57876eb
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UN NUEVO HUAQUILLAS SI ES POSIBLE25.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE HUAQUILLAS Y EL ORO23.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE20.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.1%
  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7710.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII4.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES1.2%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.0%
  • IMPULSO HUAQUILLENSE1.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.5%
Results for event-ee2c62ed46b180adfebd3f36
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UN NUEVO HUAQUILLAS SI ES POSIBLE · FLORENCIO FAREZ1090ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,40525.5%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE HUAQUILLAS Y EL ORO · ALBERTO ASTUDILLO1263ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,72423.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE · MAYRA RAMIREZ18ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,77820.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · PETER JAIR ORTEGA CUEVA7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,66611.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-77 · BETTY CORDOVA VARGAS1250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,35010.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII · UFREDO CORONEL170ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,3984.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JIMMY CARDENAS ROMAN208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234091.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · LENIN FIERRO SILVA231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234021.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · PATRICIO INTRIAGO ZAMBRANO157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233381%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IMPULSO HUAQUILLENSE · BRAULIO JAVIER CARRION PERALTA1279ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233211%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · CINTHIA BECERRA RAMIREZ34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231510.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO AHORA, HONRA, ORDEN, RESPETO Y AMOR (AHORA)34.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO23.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DECIDE HUAQUILLENSE-DH12.6%
  • FE-MBRF12.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES8.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOLIDARIDAD, ESPERANZA Y RENOVACIÓN SER3.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA0.9%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR0.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP0.4%
Results for event-00a5138a4a8bbe81a2d3b07e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO AHORA, HONRA, ORDEN, RESPETO Y AMOR (AHORA) · ALBERTO ASTUDILLO CASTRO208ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,13834.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · LUIS FLORENCIO FAREZ REINOSO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,62623.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DECIDE HUAQUILLENSE-DH · DANILO HERRERA FIGUEROA218ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,08312.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FE-MBRF · RONALD WILFRIDO FARFAN BECERRA759ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,00212.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · UFREDO CORONEL CUEVA22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,6388.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOLIDARIDAD, ESPERANZA Y RENOVACIÓN SER · WILLIAM IÑAGUAZO MACAS233ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2383.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL · MIREYA RAMIREZ147ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1913.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · FELIPE SANCHEZ37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192990.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · FRANCO LOPEZ143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191680.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · VICENTE AMABLE AGUILAR OCHOA235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191170.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA RESTAURACION FRONTERIZA50.7%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR28.8%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA15.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.1%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA0.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.2%
Results for event-fd5f379a21ea8fb74d33324b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA RESTAURACION FRONTERIZA · FARFAN BECERRA RONALD WILFRIDO7008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201414,73850.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR · AGUIRRE PIEDRA MANUEL IGNACIO7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,36028.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · HERRERA FIGUEROA DANILO RAUL6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,49715.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · LOAYZA SALVATIERRA LAURITA DEL ROCIO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147262.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · CARDENAS ROMAN GONZALO ALONSO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143151.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · SARANGO JIMENEZ ZENON MARCELINO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142871%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · PRECIADO PINEDA GILBERTO COLON13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014760.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · ZHUNIO MALLA RUBEN EUDOFILIO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014480.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

66.610–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.0672697468277583, oldest_gap=21.957517127414192, previous_gap=10.806153846153848

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.5percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,11.128650355169691,0,0,0,88.87134964483032],[23.464615384615385,0,0,8.116923076923078,0.92,0,67.49846153846154],[2.4993975281440424,15.481805349950081,0,0,0.2616449203015802,0,81.7571522016043]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,11.128650355169691,0,0,0,88.87134964483032],[23.464615384615385,0,0,8.116923076923078,0.92,0,67.49846153846154],[2.4993975281440424,15.481805349950081,0,0,0.2616449203015802,0,81.7571522016043]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.12percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,11.128650355169691,0,0,0,88.87134964483032],[23.464615384615385,0,0,8.116923076923078,0.92,0,67.49846153846154],[2.4993975281440424,15.481805349950081,0,0,0.2616449203015802,0,81.7571522016043]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1141,710
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 695,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 41710,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-7-695",
  "name": "HUAQUILLAS / EL ORO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1037,
    1038,
    1039,
    1040,
    1041,
    1042,
    1043,
    1044,
    1045,
    1046,
    1047,
    1048,
    1049,
    1050
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “HUAQUILLAS / EL ORO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-7-695. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.