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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PIÑAS / EL ORO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PIÑAS / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · MayorEC-M-7-370

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PIÑAS / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-9205e572682e8540025f6b61
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII26.2%
  • POR PIÑAS Y EL ORO PRIMERO23.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO22.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE13.1%
  • ALIANZA PIÑAS POR EL CAMBIO 5-77-1059.4%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.3%
  • SUMATE Y CREE, SOMOS MAYORIA0.3%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.1%
Results for event-f2594633f04f18d9dd81386c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII · TERESA FEIJOO170ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,78326.2%1Recorded
POR PIÑAS Y EL ORO PRIMERO · WALTER LOAYZA PONTON1075ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,35423.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · JOSE LUIS SANGURIMA32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,19022.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE · JORGE OLMEDO18ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,40213.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PIÑAS POR EL CAMBIO 5-77-105 · SANTIAGO CAMPOVERDE LOAIZA1253ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,7239.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · ANGEL DAVID JARAMILLO DAVILA231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236853.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · SILKA SAGBAY7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023580.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SUMATE Y CREE, SOMOS MAYORIA · MELISSA DAYANA YAGUANA1273ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023500.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ANDRES ORTEGA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023260.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO PROGRESO PARA PIÑAS21.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS17.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO16.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL15.0%
  • SIII 88 CREO 2110.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA10.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO3.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO2.6%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR1.9%
Results for event-a738a47e1ab4d7752f1cd299
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO PROGRESO PARA PIÑAS · JAIME WILSON GRANDA ROMERO102ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,95621.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · JORGE EVELIO OLMEDO LOAIZA142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,13517.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · JUANA TERESA FEIJOO JARAMILLO219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,01316.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL · DIANA CAMINO RAMIREZ147ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,75415%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SIII 88 CREO 21 · FABRICIO CUENCA VELASCO641ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,98210.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · DIEGO ABARCA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,97410.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · DOLORES LETICIA AÑAZCO ROMERO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196533.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · MARLON SANCHEZ CELI3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194852.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · CRISTHIAN HUIRACOCHA GALLARDO143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193541.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA SOCIALISMO Y PROGRESO PARA PIÑAS49.1%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR38.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO12.3%
Results for event-2a6b52f5ab400b081ea18b26
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA SOCIALISMO Y PROGRESO PARA PIÑAS · GRANDA ROMERO JAIME WILSON7009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,62249.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR · CUEVA GONZALEZ JOSEPH WILTON7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,78538.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · SANCHEZ CELI MARLON DARWIN8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,16712.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

810–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.3479831426851305, oldest_gap=10.452941845908732, previous_gap=4.484868349175134

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.68percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[22.932516008975973,0,0.3174429423676865,0,0,0,76.75004104865634],[3.567136457991915,0,0,0,0,10.78334972140282,85.64951382060526],[0,0,0,12.33071583020371,0,0,87.6692841697963]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[22.932516008975973,0,0.3174429423676865,0,0,0,76.75004104865634],[3.567136457991915,0,0,0,0,10.78334972140282,85.64951382060526],[0,0,0,12.33071583020371,0,0,87.6692841697963]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.02percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[22.932516008975973,0,0.3174429423676865,0,0,0,76.75004104865634],[3.567136457991915,0,0,0,0,10.78334972140282,85.64951382060526],[0,0,0,12.33071583020371,0,0,87.6692841697963]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1124,322
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 370,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 24322,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-7-370",
  "name": "PIÑAS / EL ORO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    891,
    901,
    906,
    911,
    912,
    985,
    1002,
    1028,
    1069,
    1070,
    1071,
    1072,
    1073,
    1074,
    1075,
    1076,
    1077,
    1078,
    1079,
    1080,
    1081,
    1090,
    1093
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PIÑAS / EL ORO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-7-370. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.