Office briefing
PASAJE / EL ORO — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · PASAJE / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · MayorEC-M-7-365
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- PASAJE / EL ORO / EL ORO
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-253ca770b8bbf4f6443a10de
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.32.8%
- JUNTOS POR PASAJE Y JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS20.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA11.7%
- JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7710.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO7.4%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE7.4%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA5.1%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.2%
- !EL CAMBIO VIENE!1.4%
- SUMATE Y CREE, SOMOS MAYORIA0.8%
- MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R. · JOVANNY CORONEL | 147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 16,026 | 32.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR PASAJE Y JUNTOS POR LAS LAJAS · ANTONIO JARA ABAD | 1483ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,792 | 20% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · PATRICIO JARA | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,700 | 11.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-77 · FERNANDO GUAMAN ANDRADE | 1250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,342 | 10.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ANA COBOS | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,627 | 7.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE · VICTOR GUZMAN ZAMBRANO | 10ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,616 | 7.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · LUIS ORDOÑEZ | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,517 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · DARWIN AGUILERA | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,072 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| !EL CAMBIO VIENE! · JAIME ROMERO LAINES | 1019ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 662 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SUMATE Y CREE, SOMOS MAYORIA · FELIPE JAVIER FARAH | 1273ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 391 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JAVIER PALADINES | 208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 156 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- SIII 88 CREO 2121.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.3%
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO14.5%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL13.9%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE13.7%
- SUR UNIDO6.8%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA5.0%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR3.8%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA2.3%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIII 88 CREO 21 · CESAR GENARO ENCALADA ERRAEZ | 641ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 10,637 | 21.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ERASMO NOBLECILLA ALMEIDA | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,927 | 16.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · LUIS ORDOÑEZ JARAMILLO | 145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,065 | 14.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · FERNANDO GUAMAN ANDRADE | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 6,794 | 13.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE · VICENTE GUZMAN BARBOTO | 87ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 6,673 | 13.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SUR UNIDO · CECILIA MARQUEZ PROAÑO | 775ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,325 | 6.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · ARNALDO LAVERDE AZANZA | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,455 | 5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR · ROCIO BARRIGA | 4ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,855 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · DORIAN FLORES AGUILERA | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,098 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · MIGUEL MALDONADO PRIETO | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 547 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · JAVIER PALADINES PAUTA | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 341 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO28.3%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE25.5%
- PARTIDO AVANZA24.8%
- ALIANZA PAIS-MAR20.0%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ENCALADA ERRAEZ CESAR GENARO | 11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 12,935 | 28.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE PROGRESISTA PASAJE · GUZMAN BARBOTO VICTOR VICENTE | 7004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 11,620 | 25.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · HEREDIA ANDINO LIDIA JOSEFINA | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 11,307 | 24.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PAIS-MAR · NOBLECILLA ROSILLO ANGEL MATEO | 7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 9,111 | 20% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · BALCAZAR VINTIMILLA ARMANDO HELIODORO | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 654 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI51.970–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.748205558168547, oldest_gap=2.8820654437065762, previous_gap=5.562739905987641
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility16.15percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[7.417026236682276,11.656203349624752,2.192184208911883,0,0,0,78.73458620478111],[16.271527392901863,0,0,0,5.039308660221278,2.2538333641234067,76.43533058275345],[28.349442216231616,24.781379446380434,0,0,0,0,46.86917833738795]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility36.86percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[7.417026236682276,11.656203349624752,2.192184208911883,0,0,0,78.73458620478111],[16.271527392901863,0,0,0,5.039308660221278,2.2538333641234067,76.43533058275345],[28.349442216231616,24.781379446380434,0,0,0,0,46.86917833738795]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility26.5percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[7.417026236682276,11.656203349624752,2.192184208911883,0,0,0,78.73458620478111],[16.271527392901863,0,0,0,5.039308660221278,2.2538333641234067,76.43533058275345],[28.349442216231616,24.781379446380434,0,0,0,0,46.86917833738795]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 66,518 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 365,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 7,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 66518,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-7-365",
"name": "PASAJE / EL ORO",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
910,
1009,
1010,
1011,
1012,
1013,
1014,
1015,
1016,
1017,
1018,
1019,
1020,
1021,
1022,
1023,
1024,
1025,
1026,
1027,
1066,
1067,
1068,
1083,
1094,
1095,
1096,
1097,
1103
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “PASAJE / EL ORO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-7-365. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.