Office briefing
ZARUMA / EL ORO — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · MayorEC-M-7-360
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- ZARUMA / EL ORO / EL ORO
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-63152f8e227111c3b8958223
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.34.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO26.3%
- JUNTOS POR ZARUMA14.3%
- JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7711.0%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR10.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R. · CARLOS AGUILAR PEÑALOZA | 147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,745 | 34.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · PABLO LOPEZ FLORES | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,357 | 26.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR ZARUMA · DIEGO ORDOÑEZ | 1347ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,363 | 14.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-77 · GONZALO AGUILAR CARRION | 1250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,828 | 11% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · CARLOS HILTER TITUANA | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,808 | 10.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · JAVIER ALVAREZ GUZMAN | 157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 474 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA26.4%
- FE MAR22.1%
- UNIDAD POPULAR15.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO14.0%
- ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-3510.9%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS6.1%
- MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL3.8%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · JHANSY LOPEZ JUMBO | 25ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,366 | 26.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| FE MAR · NORMAN ASTUDILLO ORDOÑEZ | 769ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,659 | 22.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · CARLOS HILTER TITUANA | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,502 | 15.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ROXANA ESPINOZA | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,317 | 14% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRACIA SI Y ALIANZA PAIS LISTA 17-20-35 · FABIAN ROMERO REYES | 708ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,800 | 10.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · JOSE ZHIGUE TITUANA | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,012 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL · JOSE SANCHEZ OJEDA | 147ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 631 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · BOLIVAR ROMERO GALARZA | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 271 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO AVANZA35.8%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO24.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO14.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO14.3%
- ALIANZA PAIS-MAR9.7%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO AVANZA · LOPEZ JUMBO JHANSY MANUEL | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,652 | 35.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · ASTUDILLO ORDOÑEZ NORMAN CLOTARIO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,802 | 24.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ROMERO REYES FABIAN GEOVANNY | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,264 | 14.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · FIGUEROA ORDOÑEZ VICENTE RODRIGO | 11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,251 | 14.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PAIS-MAR · MORA ASTUDILLO DANILO VINICIO | 7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,536 | 9.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · TOLEDO MALDONADO FABRICIO LEONARDO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 261 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI62.610–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.374057315233784, oldest_gap=11.734111378916658, previous_gap=4.269839352578813
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.29percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[26.28657616892911,0,0,0,0,0,73.7134238310709],[13.993235898055321,0,0,0,0,0,86.00676410194467],[14.277559304833185,35.84929595331727,0,1.655461118863377,0,0,48.21768362298617]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility37.79percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[26.28657616892911,0,0,0,0,0,73.7134238310709],[13.993235898055321,0,0,0,0,0,86.00676410194467],[14.277559304833185,35.84929595331727,0,1.655461118863377,0,0,48.21768362298617]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility25.04percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[26.28657616892911,0,0,0,0,0,73.7134238310709],[13.993235898055321,0,0,0,0,0,86.00676410194467],[14.277559304833185,35.84929595331727,0,1.655461118863377,0,0,48.21768362298617]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 22,248 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 360,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 7,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 22248,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-7-360",
"name": "ZARUMA / EL ORO",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
908,
909,
913,
1004,
1005,
1006,
1007,
1008,
1107,
1108,
1109,
1110,
1111,
1112,
1113
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “ZARUMA / EL ORO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-7-360. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.