Office briefing
SANTA ROSA / EL ORO — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · SANTA ROSA / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · MayorEC-M-7-355
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SANTA ROSA / EL ORO / EL ORO
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-ec385526608630d2b6160e12
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.30.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO23.8%
- JUNTOS POR SANTA ROSA18.4%
- UNO PUEDE10.4%
- JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-777.5%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.8%
- MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE2.0%
- MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.0%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.0%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R. · LARRY VITE CEVALLOS | 147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 14,056 | 30% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · LIGIA NAULA | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 11,148 | 23.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR SANTA ROSA · JORGE CHAVEZ VALAREZO | 1443ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,632 | 18.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNO PUEDE · ANDREI SANCHEZ | 1316ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,877 | 10.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-77 · CECILIA ISABEL ROMAN MACAS | 1250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,490 | 7.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · VICTOR CASTILLO PAREDES | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,313 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONSTRUYE · MAURICIO TINIZARAY VEGA | 18ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 935 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · YELENY COELLO | 208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 930 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · FRANCISCO PIEDRA | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 928 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · NARCISA ERIQUE JARAMILLO | 157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 519 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII26.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.8%
- MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL11.9%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR10.6%
- PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA6.3%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL6.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA4.3%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.2%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO LISTA 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA LISTA 172.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ2.8%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICIO ACCIÓN SANTARROSEÑA2.3%
- MOVIMIENTO SEPUEDE SP1.3%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.7%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.6%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.4%
- UNIDAD POPULAR0.4%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SOMOS IGUALDAD, IMPULSO E INTEGRACIÓN SIII · LARRY VITE CEVALLOS | 197ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 12,071 | 26.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · LUIS ESPINOZA SOTOMAYOR | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,539 | 16.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL · LUIS ALBERTO PORRAS PORRAS | 147ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,328 | 11.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR · JORGE CHAVEZ VALAREZO | 4ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,757 | 10.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · WILSON YOVANNY MERINO SANCHEZ | 25ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,838 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · BYRON ARIAS GRANDA | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,789 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · KLEYNER TOLEDO AGUILAR | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,928 | 4.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · PATRICIO SANCHEZ | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,899 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO LISTA 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA LISTA 17 · ALFONSO DURAN CHUCHUCA | 783ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,258 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · ROCIO VALAREZO ORDOÑEZ | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,249 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICIO ACCIÓN SANTARROSEÑA · THILMER ZAMBRANO | 234ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,031 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SEPUEDE SP · MYRIAN JACQUELINE VENEGAS | 222ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 584 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · JOSE EVIL QUINTEROS CAICEDO | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 570 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · MIGUEL TORRES TORRES | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 310 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · VICTOR XAVIER GARCIA MALDONADO | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 253 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · DARWIN PORRAS OLAYA | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 171 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · CHRISTIAN MIÑAN LARA | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 161 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · CONSUELO ZAPATA ERAS | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 146 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SANTARROSEÑO UNIDO REVOLUCIONARIO43.1%
- PARTIDO AVANZA36.6%
- ALIANZA PAIS-MAR14.0%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO1.0%
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SANTARROSEÑO UNIDO REVOLUCIONARIO · BRAVO RIOFRIO CLEMENTE ESTEBAN | 7002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 18,373 | 43.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ESPINOZA SOTOMAYOR LUIS ALBERTO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 15,605 | 36.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PAIS-MAR · ORELLANA ROMAN FREDY LEONARDO | 7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,982 | 14% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · CASTILLO PAREDES VICTOR HUGO | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,321 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · MACAS FERREL HECTOR MAULME | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 524 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · CEDILLO RIVAS FELIX ALI | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 408 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · BEJARANO UNUZUNGO JAIME RIGOBERTO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 401 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI62.980–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.209959853079354, oldest_gap=6.495517904913882, previous_gap=10.097589233991357
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.61percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[23.806269753139148,0,1.9817203382591613,0,0,0,74.2120099086017],[16.797379795909272,0,0.38099906421282476,4.2310948709950535,0,4.295708747382024,74.29481752150083],[0,36.619420847608765,0,0.9574318299150514,0,0,62.42314732247619]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility36.62percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[23.806269753139148,0,1.9817203382591613,0,0,0,74.2120099086017],[16.797379795909272,0,0.38099906421282476,4.2310948709950535,0,4.295708747382024,74.29481752150083],[0,36.619420847608765,0,0.9574318299150514,0,0,62.42314732247619]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility22.61percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[23.806269753139148,0,1.9817203382591613,0,0,0,74.2120099086017],[16.797379795909272,0,0.38099906421282476,4.2310948709950535,0,4.295708747382024,74.29481752150083],[0,36.619420847608765,0,0.9574318299150514,0,0,62.42314732247619]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 62,204 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 355,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 7,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 62204,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-7-355",
"name": "SANTA ROSA / EL ORO",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
877,
888,
902,
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957,
958,
959,
960,
961,
962,
963,
964,
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966,
967,
968,
969,
970,
971,
972,
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975,
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978,
979,
980,
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1098,
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1104,
1105,
1106
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA ROSA / EL ORO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-7-355. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.