Office briefing
MACHALA / EL ORO — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · MACHALA / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · MayorEC-M-7-350
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- MACHALA / EL ORO / EL ORO
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-926488f680dd127fa288d478
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7740.9%
- MOVIMIENTO AMOR, FE Y ESPERANZA, AFE26.0%
- JUNTOS POR MACHALA Y EL ORO15.5%
- TODOS SOMOS UNO5.4%
- SI SE PUEDE3.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO3.2%
- MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES1.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ0.9%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.7%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR0.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.5%
- MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID0.3%
- MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-77 · DARIO MACAS | 1250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 66,418 | 40.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMOR, FE Y ESPERANZA, AFE · CARLOS RODRIGUEZ | 184ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 42,218 | 26% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR MACHALA Y EL ORO · CARLOS FALQUEZ BATALLAS | 1114ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 25,260 | 15.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS SOMOS UNO · ROBERTO CORNEJO BALSECA | 1441ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 8,843 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SI SE PUEDE · ALEX DIAZ GUAMAN | 1456ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,471 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · JOSE ROSADO | 39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,153 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JOFFRE AGUILAR | 208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,981 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · ALEXANDRA SOTO | 157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,430 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · FRANCISCO MINUCHE | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,101 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MARTHA CAMPOVERDE | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,082 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · WILMER CUEVA PALACIOS | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 834 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · GINGER NOBLECILLA MOLINA | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 755 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · FERNANDO JADAN VERIÑAS | 222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 540 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER) · AUGUSTO PELAEZ VELEZ | 186ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 468 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- JUNTOS HAREMOS HISTORIA32.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO22.9%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL12.0%
- CAMBIO POSITIVO SIII CREO10.0%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR9.1%
- MACHALA PARA TODOS7.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.3%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.9%
- FUERZA.EC0.9%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.4%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNTOS HAREMOS HISTORIA · DARIO MACAS | 624ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 51,620 | 32.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · CARLOS FALQUEZ | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 35,917 | 22.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · DIEGO YANEZ | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 18,866 | 12% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAMBIO POSITIVO SIII CREO · FERNANDO QUEZADA | 645ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 15,733 | 10% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR · JOSE ROSADO CEVALLOS | 4ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 14,299 | 9.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MACHALA PARA TODOS · FAVIAN AGUILAR ESPINOZA | 760ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 11,342 | 7.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · VERONICA ARREAGA RAMIREZ | 18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,068 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · ROQUE ORELLANA QUEZADA | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,848 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · RICARDO VEINTEMILLA LOZANO | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,468 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · FELIX VIRGILIO LOPEZ MACHUCA | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,382 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · SAUL DAVID RUBIO ROLDAN | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,159 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · WILMER CUEVA PALACIOS | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 671 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · RONY AGUILAR MURILLO | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 596 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO53.1%
- ALIANZA PAIS-MAR38.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO7.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · FALQUEZ AGUILAR CARLOS ALBERTO | 11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 80,159 | 53.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PAIS-MAR · ZAMBRANO LANDIN CARLOS VICTOR | 7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 57,812 | 38.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ROSADO CEVALLOS JOSE RAMON EULOGIO | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 11,807 | 7.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · PEREIRA MOROCHO CLEIDY NELLY | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,213 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI32.930–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.887360507892762, oldest_gap=14.800219880655142, previous_gap=10.003886117641063
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility22.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.6656249615512384,0,0,0,99.33437503844877],[22.881588084271417,0,0.42747294051691737,0,0,0,76.69093897521168],[53.088594684451394,0,0,0,0,0,46.911405315548606]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility30.21percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.6656249615512384,0,0,0,99.33437503844877],[22.881588084271417,0,0.42747294051691737,0,0,0,76.69093897521168],[53.088594684451394,0,0,0,0,0,46.911405315548606]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility26.54percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0.6656249615512384,0,0,0,99.33437503844877],[22.881588084271417,0,0.42747294051691737,0,0,0,76.69093897521168],[53.088594684451394,0,0,0,0,0,46.911405315548606]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 216,968 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 350,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 7,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 216968,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-7-350",
"name": "MACHALA / EL ORO",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
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],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “MACHALA / EL ORO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-7-350. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.