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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PENIPE / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PENIPE / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · municipal · MayorEC-M-6-225

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PENIPE / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-b4b15486c8616edd3f1e695b
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK36.9%
  • ALIANZA CANTONAL CREO 21-CAMBIO 6230.9%
  • CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO25.9%
  • VECINOS EN ACCIÓN2.6%
  • ALIANZA 5-161.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.6%
  • SER0.2%
  • VIDA0.1%
Results for event-375ba5b0f629e00fece1ce18
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · FABIAN ALDAZ7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,40136.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA CANTONAL CREO 21-CAMBIO 62 · LOURDES MANCERO FRAY1457ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,00930.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO · JAIME CHUNATA1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,68825.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VECINOS EN ACCIÓN · ALEJANDRO RIOS1291ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231722.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA 5-16 · ROSA VELASTEGUI1315ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231091.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · GILBERTO VELOZ AVENDAÑO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231071.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SER · ELOISA FRANCISCA INCA CHUNATA1371ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023110.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIDA · LILIA BALSECA1147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202390.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO35.9%
  • ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO 18-20-3526.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)17.1%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR15.5%
  • ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO2.4%
  • ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD1.9%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.1%
Results for event-9680492752fbf4580ee13b29
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · LOURDES MANCERO144ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,25035.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO 18-20-35 · FABIAN ALDAZ720ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,64126.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA) · SOFOCLES HARO206ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,06917.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · HITLER GONZALO MIRANDA MARIÑO143ecuador/Sed7b513864/201997015.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO · NIXON VELASTEGUI SALAS710ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191482.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD · EFRAIN TAMAYO577ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191181.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ISAAC PATRICIO VALLEJO MIRANDA152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019721.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO53.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA28.4%
  • ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"18.7%
Results for event-15511717d0660023a3f632df
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO · VELASTEGUI SALAS ROBIN HUMBERTO6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,93053%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · CHUNATA INCA FAUSTO MIGUEL6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,56928.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO" · GUANGA ONCE LUIS NICANOR6005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,03218.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

55.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.0252075007685235, oldest_gap=24.606761887542937, previous_gap=9.716017868538607

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,36.904395942207195,0,0,0,63.095604057792805],null,[0,28.367383836557586,0,0,0,0,71.6326161634424]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,36.904395942207195,0,0,0,63.095604057792805],null,[0,28.367383836557586,0,0,0,0,71.6326161634424]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,36.904395942207195,0,0,0,63.095604057792805],null,[0,28.367383836557586,0,0,0,0,71.6326161634424]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-118,317
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 225,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 6,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 8317,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-6-225",
  "name": "PENIPE / CHIMBORAZO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    805,
    806,
    807,
    808,
    809,
    810,
    829,
    832
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PENIPE / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-6-225. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.