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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHUNCHI / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CHUNCHI / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · municipal · MayorEC-M-6-220

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHUNCHI / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-4a780063a2e292149c8a36c4
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO48.9%
  • ALIANZA 5-1628.4%
  • VIDA7.9%
  • VECINOS EN ACCIÓN6.5%
  • CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO6.1%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK0.9%
  • SER0.3%
Results for event-1eb23786ce1ff7c624299ca3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · FRANTZ WILMER JOSEPH NARVAEZ123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,00948.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA 5-16 · DAVID MOLINA1315ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,74928.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIDA · HERNAN TAMAYO1147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234877.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VECINOS EN ACCIÓN · JENNY ELIZABETH CUESTA1291ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234006.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO · ALEXANDRA DIAZ1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233756.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AMPLIO · SONIA QUEZADA1068ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023611%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MERY MARTINEZ7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023530.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SER · MARGORY TRUJILLO1371ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023170.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)38.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO34.7%
  • ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD26.5%
Results for event-7590a4b63759fd125fbf1a45
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA) · WALTER NARVAEZ206ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,83938.7%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · FRANTZ JOSEPH144ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,54834.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD · DIEGO BENJAMIN BERMEO577ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,94726.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO AVANZA43.6%
  • ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO32.5%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR CHUNCHI12.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN11.3%
Results for event-f066b695ecfd84f119977655
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA · AGUIRRE ARELLANO CARLOS EDUARDO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,08243.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO · NARVAEZ MANCERO WALTER VICENTE6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,29632.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR CHUNCHI · QUEZADA PARAMO SERGIO GUSTAVO6006ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201489312.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN · IDROVO MURILLO JORGE LUIS6004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201479511.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

27.030–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.484474069257033, oldest_gap=11.123690914237187, previous_gap=3.967821107172078

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.8616485124370021,0,0,0,99.13835148756299],null,[0,43.61732238890461,0,0,0,0,56.38267761109539]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.8616485124370021,0,0,0,99.13835148756299],null,[0,43.61732238890461,0,0,0,0,56.38267761109539]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0.8616485124370021,0,0,0,99.13835148756299],null,[0,43.61732238890461,0,0,0,0,56.38267761109539]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-119,682
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 220,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 6,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 9682,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-6-220",
  "name": "CHUNCHI / CHIMBORAZO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    782,
    799,
    800,
    801,
    802,
    803,
    804
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CHUNCHI / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-6-220. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.