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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

ALAUSÍ / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ALAUSÍ / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · municipal · MayorEC-M-6-215

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ALAUSÍ / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-980a39fbdb41baf15c8b0fb6
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO27.4%
  • CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO20.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES19.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK19.1%
  • SER12.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.1%
Results for event-99b099297298c374167b7713
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · SEGUNDO REMIGIO ROLDAN CUZCO123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,35927.4%1Recorded
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO · JULIAN YUNGA1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,72920.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · RODRIGO REA99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,52019.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MANUEL VARGAS7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,43919.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SER · SEGUNDO CRIOLLO1371ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,90812.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · MARCELO PAUCAR LEMA39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232551.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD28.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)26.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA23.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO6.9%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA3.7%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.9%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESISTA DE CHIMBORAZO 2-12-330.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES0.6%
Results for event-e6c162afae4e718370908415
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD · RODRIGO REA577ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,71328.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA) · MANUEL VARGAS206ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,26626.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · JULIAN YUNGA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,52023.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · FRANCISCO BUÑAY144ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6426.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · JOSE BUÑAY145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,1644.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · ABRAHAN AZOGUE13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198883.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · JORGE ELEODORO MORA HEREDIA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197483.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · VICTOR MANUEL MIÑO198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194511.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESISTA DE CHIMBORAZO 2-12-33 · CESAR UZHCA SAYAGO725ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191570.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES · GLADYS YOLANDA MEDINA NIAMA247ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191490.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO42.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO18.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY18.4%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA15.2%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR ALAUSI2.1%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.9%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.7%
Results for event-a5bfc510b40833ff866d9cc9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO · VARGAS VILLA MANUEL SEGUNDO6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,54542.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · PALACIOS MOLINA WILLIAN ALFREDO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,21118.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY · TADAY LEMA JOSE CLEMENTE6002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,09818.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · YUNGA NAULA SEGUNDO JULIAN6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,37715.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR ALAUSI · AGUILA VICTOR MANUEL6008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144662.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · UZHCA SAYAGO JUAN CESAR2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144261.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · MEDINA NIAMA GLADYS YOLANDA1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141560.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.130–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.022834984920294, oldest_gap=23.941828627855827, previous_gap=1.8862351253270333

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,19.12537699267557,19.47436449806118,0,0,61.400258509263246],[0,0,0,0,23.29310490336737,3.7471516583677946,72.95974343826482],[0,15.15777189281386,0,0,0,0,84.84222810718614]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,19.12537699267557,19.47436449806118,0,0,61.400258509263246],[0,0,0,0,23.29310490336737,3.7471516583677946,72.95974343826482],[0,15.15777189281386,0,0,0,0,84.84222810718614]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,19.12537699267557,19.47436449806118,0,0,61.400258509263246],[0,0,0,0,23.29310490336737,3.7471516583677946,72.95974343826482],[0,15.15777189281386,0,0,0,0,84.84222810718614]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1134,286
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 215,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 6,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 34286,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-6-215",
  "name": "ALAUSÍ / CHIMBORAZO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    785,
    787,
    788,
    789,
    790,
    791,
    792,
    793,
    794,
    795,
    796,
    797,
    798,
    838,
    841,
    851,
    873,
    874,
    875
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ALAUSÍ / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-6-215. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.