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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GUAMOTE / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · GUAMOTE / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · municipal · MayorEC-M-6-210

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GUAMOTE / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ea27fd7abb3b4da4066112f5
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 5-1626.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO20.0%
  • VIDA15.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK11.8%
  • SER10.4%
  • CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO8.1%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO4.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO4.0%
Results for event-48abb4be5631c3d117680767
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 5-16 · MIGUEL MARCATOMA1315ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,69626.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · MARIO NAULA123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,10220%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIDA · JUAN DE DIOS ROLDAN ARELLANO1147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,87815.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ALBERTO MISHQUE7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,00511.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SER · ALFREDO CHUCURI1371ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,64410.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO · FRANKLIN CHIMBOLEMA1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,0548.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AMPLIO · PACIFICO CUJI CUJI1068ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,1064.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · DARIO CHUTO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,0274%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK24.1%
  • ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO18.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO14.7%
  • ALIANZA 102 - 35 GUAMOTE9.1%
  • ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD8.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO7.9%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA5.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)5.0%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR4.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS1.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.8%
Results for event-2099e3cac9255d5977e1ccb9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · DELFIN QUISHPE12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,22324.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO · CARLOS GUARACA LEMA710ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,83218.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · HILARIO NAULA YANGOL144ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,80114.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA 102 - 35 GUAMOTE · LUIS ANGEL CHUQUIMARCA CORO604ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3579.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD · GERONIMO YANTALEMA577ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0668%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · ANGEL ILIGUAN8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0447.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · MIGUEL MARCATOMA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,5275.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA) · MANUEL GAVIN206ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3035%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · DELFIN BUELVA FILA143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0454%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · JUAN PORFIRIO SISLEMA GUASHPA142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194391.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · ANGEL APUGLLON TENESACA170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191970.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO44.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY35.6%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE UNIDOS POR GUAMOTE19.6%
Results for event-b0b7f0b959f353ff086041b8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO · CHUQUIMARCA CORO LUIS ANGEL6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201410,54344.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY · ROLDAN ARELLANO JUAN DE DIOS6002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,36235.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA FRENTE UNIDOS POR GUAMOTE · YANTALEMA CAIN GERONIMO CASIMIRO6007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,60919.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

68.540–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.248040137974286, oldest_gap=9.27532533809645, previous_gap=5.384377177363167

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,11.778770774537472,0,0,0,88.22122922546252],[0,0,24.088410621661378,0,0,0,75.91158937833863],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,11.778770774537472,0,0,0,88.22122922546252],[0,0,24.088410621661378,0,0,0,75.91158937833863],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,11.778770774537472,0,0,0,88.22122922546252],[0,0,24.088410621661378,0,0,0,75.91158937833863],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1136,828
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 210,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 6,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 36828,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-6-210",
  "name": "GUAMOTE / CHIMBORAZO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    783,
    828,
    830,
    831,
    836,
    848,
    852,
    864,
    865,
    866,
    867,
    868,
    869,
    870,
    871,
    872
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GUAMOTE / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-6-210. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.