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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SIGCHOS / COTOPAXI — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SIGCHOS / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · municipal · MayorEC-M-5-930

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SIGCHOS / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-ce95fcd24907171ba7f3ca3c
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA45.3%
  • FUERZA SIGCHENSE29.7%
  • SIGCHENSES AL TRIUNFO12.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA GANAR8.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA4.5%
Results for event-86b2644f4a242b815d5e9331
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · OSCAR MONGE42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,30145.3%1Recorded
FUERZA SIGCHENSE · JOSE VILLAMARIN NAVARRO1341ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,12829.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SIGCHENSES AL TRIUNFO · AURELIO PASTUÑA SIGCHA1333ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,68712.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PARA GANAR · GABRIEL ANDINO1085ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,1828.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · SANDRA GISSELLA GRANJA VIZUETE207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236224.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA32.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA28.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK18.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL7.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO ORGANIZACION PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA, OPCION6.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES6.1%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.2%
Results for event-b0dfbc638abcbf5efe36525e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · HUGO ARGUELLO37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,22932%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · OSCAR MONGE13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,79128.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · HUGO RENE MENA ATI12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,49218.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · JOSE LUIS GARZON148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199897.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO ORGANIZACION PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA, OPCION · GEOVANY UNAUCHO CHALUISA74ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198866.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JENNY MARICELA CASTRO22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198086.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · JORGE ENRIQUE CALAPIÑA158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019280.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 1859.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS38.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA2.4%
Results for event-3b25d0034671dc057fae597b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 · ANDINO ESCUDERO MARIO EDUARDO5005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,06059%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · VILLAMARIN NAVARRO JOSE3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,63138.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · JACOME BAUTISTA JOSE LUIS13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142832.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

38.060–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.610632183908045, oldest_gap=20.285618840821783, previous_gap=3.3124101943583177

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,18.84595023822128,6.1105649247523255,31.9821523103683,28.66974211600998,14.391590410648114],[0,0,0,0,2.363454150659763,38.67546350425923,58.96108234508101]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,18.84595023822128,6.1105649247523255,31.9821523103683,28.66974211600998,14.391590410648114],[0,0,0,0,2.363454150659763,38.67546350425923,58.96108234508101]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,18.84595023822128,6.1105649247523255,31.9821523103683,28.66974211600998,14.391590410648114],[0,0,0,0,2.363454150659763,38.67546350425923,58.96108234508101]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1118,680
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 930,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 18680,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-5-930",
  "name": "SIGCHOS / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    581,
    588,
    644,
    676,
    677,
    678,
    679,
    680,
    681,
    682,
    722,
    723,
    725,
    726
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SIGCHOS / COTOPAXI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-5-930. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.