Office briefing
PANGUA / COTOPAXI — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · PANGUA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · municipal · MayorEC-M-5-120
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- PANGUA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-50a9ee9431899d230c0d4360
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO24.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK22.9%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA22.3%
- UNIDAD PROGRESO Y BIENESTAR20.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA6.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES1.5%
- UNIDAD SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA1.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · WILSON GEOVANNY CORREA OCAÑA | 32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,677 | 24.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · SAUL DAVID MEJIA PEREZ | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,378 | 22.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · MILTON ALTAMIRANO ORTEGA | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,302 | 22.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD PROGRESO Y BIENESTAR · EDISON GONZALO GAIBOR MORA | 1317ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,062 | 20.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · ARACELY SANDOVAL | 42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 915 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · PATRICIA VACA | 99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 222 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA · JORGE DANIEL BOLAÑOS BOLAÑOS | 1271ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 221 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA UNIDAD POR COTOPAXI34.2%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA24.5%
- ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA PANGUENSE LISTA 17/3510.0%
- ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 69.1%
- MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL9.1%
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO5.9%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.3%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.9%
- ALIANZA UNIDOS POR PANGUA1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA UNIDAD POR COTOPAXI · SAUL MEJIA | 511ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,611 | 34.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · JONATAN ORTIZ PARREÑO | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,305 | 24.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA PANGUENSE LISTA 17/35 · IBAN GAROFALO SALAZAR | 727ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,350 | 10% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6 · WILSON CORREA OCAÑA | 506ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,231 | 9.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL · EDUARDO ESTRELLA CEVALLOS | 172ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,223 | 9.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · JUAN ARELLANO MEJIA | 145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 796 | 5.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · LUIS ALBERTO CUEVA | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 304 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · LEONEL YANCHAPANTA | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 253 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · LUIS DOMINGUEZ | 198ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 250 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDOS POR PANGUA · JOFRE PACHECO | 656ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 160 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS40.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA32.3%
- UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 1817.7%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA5.8%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO4.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · MUÑOZ SOLANO JUAN ESTUARDO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 4,078 | 40% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ORTIZ PARREÑO JONATAN FABRICIO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,294 | 32.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 · BAUTISTA CARRILLO MARIO HERNAN | 5005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,810 | 17.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA · VICHICELA VICHICELA JOSE DAVID | 5004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 589 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · LEON VILLACIS KLEBER EDUARDO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 429 | 4.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI75.560–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.023414766190701, oldest_gap=7.686274509803916, previous_gap=9.686271601275685
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility47.74percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[24.883264532719767,0,22.859849766529067,1.5023347093456048,0,0,50.754550991405566],[0,0,0,2.2546910924868353,24.512348883779573,0,73.2329600237336],[0,32.294117647058826,0,4.205882352941177,0,39.98039215686274,23.519607843137255]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility74.23percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[24.883264532719767,0,22.859849766529067,1.5023347093456048,0,0,50.754550991405566],[0,0,0,2.2546910924868353,24.512348883779573,0,73.2329600237336],[0,32.294117647058826,0,4.205882352941177,0,39.98039215686274,23.519607843137255]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility60.98percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[24.883264532719767,0,22.859849766529067,1.5023347093456048,0,0,50.754550991405566],[0,0,0,2.2546910924868353,24.512348883779573,0,73.2329600237336],[0,32.294117647058826,0,4.205882352941177,0,39.98039215686274,23.519607843137255]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 19,576 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 120,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 5,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 19576,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-5-120",
"name": "PANGUA / COTOPAXI",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
582,
583,
584,
646,
657,
658,
659,
660,
661,
662,
663,
664,
718,
719
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “PANGUA / COTOPAXI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-5-120. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.