Office briefing
SAQUISILÍ / COTOPAXI — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · SAQUISILÍ / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · municipal · MayorEC-M-5-115
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SAQUISILÍ / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-c9a5b33a7cb9cfa0115489ac
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- SIGAMOS ADELANTE31.2%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK25.5%
- MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES24.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA14.5%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA4.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIGAMOS ADELANTE · JAVIER VELASQUEZ | 1286ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,207 | 31.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · JOSE CARLOS VARGAS SALAZAR | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,247 | 25.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · HECTOR CAILLAGUA | 208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,062 | 24.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · ARTURO ASHCA | 42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,426 | 14.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · STALIN DARIO QUISHPE DEFAZ | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 733 | 4.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA39.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK31.2%
- ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA 4/3513.0%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES6.7%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL3.0%
- MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL2.7%
- ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 62.4%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.0%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · JAVIER VELASQUEZ | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 6,346 | 39.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · JUAN ALOMOTO | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,970 | 31.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA 4/35 · MANUEL CHANGO | 726ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,068 | 13% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · EULALIA FREIRE | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,059 | 6.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · OMAR VENEGAS | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 474 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL · MARIO SANDOVAL ALVAREZ | 172ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 425 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6 · RODRIGO BUSTILLOS CUSTODE | 506ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 389 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · ANGEL OÑATE | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 157 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · LUIS ANCHATUÑA CHANGO | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 36 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK39.5%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS24.8%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA16.0%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO12.3%
- PARTIDO AVANZA3.7%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO3.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ALOMOTO TOTASIG JOSE JUAN | 5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,549 | 39.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · CHANGO TOAPANTA MANUEL MESIAS | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,481 | 24.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · ASHCA SALAZAR LUIS ARTURO | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,246 | 16% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · BUSTILLOS LOPEZ ROCO STALIN | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,722 | 12.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · FREIRE CANDO EULALIA CONCEPCION | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 521 | 3.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · MENA VILLAMARIN WELLINGTON EDUARDO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 513 | 3.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI62.40–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.757121439280358, oldest_gap=14.737742303306725, previous_gap=8.641044963576995
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,25.469265367316343,0,0,0,74.53073463268366],[0,0,31.21075106757096,6.650339110776187,39.851796031147956,0,22.2871137905049],[0,3.7129418472063853,39.54532497149373,3.6559293044469783,16.006271379703534,24.807582668187003,12.271949828962372]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility36.86percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,25.469265367316343,0,0,0,74.53073463268366],[0,0,31.21075106757096,6.650339110776187,39.851796031147956,0,22.2871137905049],[0,3.7129418472063853,39.54532497149373,3.6559293044469783,16.006271379703534,24.807582668187003,12.271949828962372]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility44.55percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,25.469265367316343,0,0,0,74.53073463268366],[0,0,31.21075106757096,6.650339110776187,39.851796031147956,0,22.2871137905049],[0,3.7129418472063853,39.54532497149373,3.6559293044469783,16.006271379703534,24.807582668187003,12.271949828962372]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 22,323 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 115,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 5,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 22323,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-5-115",
"name": "SAQUISILÍ / COTOPAXI",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
654,
655,
656,
709,
710,
711,
712,
713,
714,
724
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SAQUISILÍ / COTOPAXI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-5-115. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.