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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PUJILÍ / COTOPAXI — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PUJILÍ / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · municipal · MayorEC-M-5-105

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PUJILÍ / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-7b908321dcd8a0ad50f85ea2
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNION CANTONAL POR EL CAMBIO63.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA17.9%
  • UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO15.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES3.1%
Results for event-4f7dab846f9dd489b3417dc9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION CANTONAL POR EL CAMBIO · JOSE ARROYO CABRERA1212ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202330,14963.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · LUIS UGSHA ILAQUICHE42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,45317.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO · JAIME CHALUISA1047ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,24715.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES · GABRIEL RODRIGUEZ208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,4763.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA30.3%
  • ALIANZA PUJILI UNIDOS22.0%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA 4/3521.5%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 611.0%
  • ALIANZA CREO UNION ECUATORIANA4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL4.5%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO3.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL1.7%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.7%
Results for event-47def345f0f2513437c4812e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · LUIS UGSHA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/201912,64230.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA PUJILI UNIDOS · JAIME CHALUISA555ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,17022%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA 4/35 · FERNANDO MATUTE726ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,98821.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6 · ARMANDO TIGSELEMA506ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,57611%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CREO UNION ECUATORIANA · CATALINA PEÑAHERRERA670ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0584.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · GUSTAVO CAÑAR VITERI170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8974.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · DANILO HERRERA145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,4023.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INCLUYENTE, FRENTE POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL · FABRICIO ESTUARDO RUIZ SEGOVIA172ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197301.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · KLEBER GALO GALLARDO158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193100.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS29.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA22.9%
  • UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 1818.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO16.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA13.5%
Results for event-b0c3c93cd8c88771892329e3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · MATUTE RIERA LUIS FERNANDO3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201411,01429%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · UGSHA ILAQUICHE LUIS6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,71922.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 · ILAQUICHE LICTA RAUL CLEMENTE5005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,97918.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · ARROYO RUIZ LUIS MARCELO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,16416.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · CHUGCHILAN CAIZA MANUEL SERAFIN13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,13413.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=45.84469096671949, oldest_gap=6.037884767166535, previous_gap=8.311588825317788

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,30.263567376056304,0,69.7364326239437],[0,22.93870034201526,0,16.216785056564063,13.506971849513286,28.976585109181794,18.360957642725598]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

68.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,30.263567376056304,0,69.7364326239437],[0,22.93870034201526,0,16.216785056564063,13.506971849513286,28.976585109181794,18.360957642725598]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,30.263567376056304,0,69.7364326239437],[0,22.93870034201526,0,16.216785056564063,13.506971849513286,28.976585109181794,18.360957642725598]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1166,363
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 105,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 66363,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-5-105",
  "name": "PUJILÍ / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    579,
    580,
    589,
    610,
    611,
    612,
    613,
    614,
    615,
    616,
    617,
    618,
    619,
    620,
    621,
    622,
    623,
    624,
    625,
    626,
    627,
    628,
    629,
    630,
    643,
    707,
    715,
    716,
    717,
    720,
    721
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PUJILÍ / COTOPAXI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-5-105. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.