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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · municipal · MayorEC-M-5-100

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-de304c3a9d091d1ca4560bb9
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNIDOS POR LA SEGURIDAD Y LA VIDA26.1%
  • TODO 3-2325.4%
  • LATACUNGUEÑOS AL TRIUNFO13.9%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA11.2%
  • RETO ES LA OPCION11.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA7.5%
  • CIUDAD DE LEON4.9%
Results for event-fb9eb1b97faae0ac48cd9c03
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS POR LA SEGURIDAD Y LA VIDA · FABRICIO TINAJERO1072ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202331,09726.1%1Recorded
TODO 3-23 · RODRIGO ESPIN1033ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202330,18525.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LATACUNGUEÑOS AL TRIUNFO · JORGE GONZALO GUAMAN CORONEL1447ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202316,48913.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · JOSE ANIBAL CULQUI TERAN117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202313,34811.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RETO ES LA OPCION · JOSE ITURRALDE1014ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202313,02511%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JOSE RIVADENEIRA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,9287.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CIUDAD DE LEON · ROSA ADRIANA GORDILLO1402ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,8474.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • LATACUNGA ALIANZA DEL TRIUNFO24.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS15.5%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 614.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA9.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO FE S FUERZA, ESPERANZA, SERVICIO8.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES6.5%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA COTOPAXENSE5.9%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO3.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP2.2%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO ORGANIZACION PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA, OPCION1.5%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO1.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.0%
Results for event-d60a5b7ae073b14c21ffe752
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LATACUNGA ALIANZA DEL TRIUNFO · BYRON CARDENAS512ecuador/Sed7b513864/201927,87824.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · RODRIGO ESPIN142ecuador/Sed7b513864/201917,48715.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6 · PATRICIO BOLIVAR SANCHEZ YANEZ506ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,78714%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · OSCAR CULQUI37ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,0939.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO FE S FUERZA, ESPERANZA, SERVICIO · RAUL LLANGO255ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,6688.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · OSWALDO CORONEL PAEZ22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,3226.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD CIUDADANA COTOPAXENSE · CARLOS POVEDA MORENO730ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,6945.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD PARA EL CAMBIO · ANGEL ROCHA771ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,2483.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · LUIS LAGLA148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,5533.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · MELIDA MOLINA235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,5102.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · WASHINGTON OCAÑA GARCIA158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,9181.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO ORGANIZACION PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA, OPCION · OSCAR VALLE74ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7131.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · JORGE FREIRE145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6711.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · MIGUEL ANGEL ZAMBRANO18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0951%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO AVANZA58.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS24.5%
  • UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 189.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO3.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA3.1%
Results for event-135590f2ea33ab8016c8c15c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA · SANCHEZ YANEZ PATRICIO BOLIVAR6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201462,09558.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · ESPIN VILLAMARIN RODRIGO CRISTOBAL3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201425,87724.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD DE LA IZQUIERDA - COTOPAXI MPD LISTA 15 - PACHAKUTIK LISTA 18 · YANEZ AVILA HERNAN RAFAEL5005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201410,3419.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · CARRILLO PUNINA ALVARO PATRICIO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,0053.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA · GUANOLUISA ZAPATA ORLANDO ANTONIO5004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,2443.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

66.710–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.7669085680168877, oldest_gap=34.30969477652944, previous_gap=9.225210188481583

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,6.500528245603133,9.848451219403925,0,83.65102053499292],[0,58.82325079100434,0,3.7939788939201606,0,24.513556014474904,12.869214300600595]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

83.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,6.500528245603133,9.848451219403925,0,83.65102053499292],[0,58.82325079100434,0,3.7939788939201606,0,24.513556014474904,12.869214300600595]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,6.500528245603133,9.848451219403925,0,83.65102053499292],[0,58.82325079100434,0,3.7939788939201606,0,24.513556014474904,12.869214300600595]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11167,527
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 100,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 167527,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-5-100",
  "name": "LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    570,
    571,
    572,
    573,
    574,
    575,
    576,
    577,
    578,
    587,
    590,
    591,
    592,
    593,
    594,
    595,
    596,
    597,
    598,
    599,
    600,
    601,
    602,
    603,
    604,
    605,
    606,
    607,
    608,
    609,
    683,
    684,
    685,
    686,
    687,
    688,
    689,
    690,
    691,
    692,
    693,
    694,
    695,
    696,
    697,
    698,
    699,
    700,
    701
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LATACUNGA / COTOPAXI — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-5-100. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.