Office briefing
LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR / CAÑAR · municipal · MayorEC-M-3-250
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR / CAÑAR
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5f070e727b19f37f4e558a28
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-1730.3%
- PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR28.9%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES15.9%
- TRONCALEÑOS UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO8.3%
- MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID6.1%
- UNIDOS POR CAÑAR5.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK3.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-17 · MIRIAM CASTRO | 1306ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,507 | 30.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · GERMAN ENCALADA CORDOVA | 231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,056 | 28.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · ROMULO ALCIVAR CAMPOVERDE | 99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,988 | 15.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TRONCALEÑOS UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO · ALLAN ARAUJO ARIZAGA | 1123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,603 | 8.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · ALVARO CUADRADO | 222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,900 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR CAÑAR · WILSON PESANTEZ | 1153ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,828 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · CARLA ALEXANDRA IDROVO IDROVO | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,148 | 3.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · VICTOR CHACHA GUAMAN | 34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 327 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES18.8%
- UNIDAD POPULAR18.0%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP11.6%
- MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION11.4%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL10.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO8.0%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL6.2%
- LA TRONCAL EMPRENDE5.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ACCION SOLIDARIA LA TRONCAL2.3%
- UNION ECUATORIANA1.8%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO1.4%
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO1.4%
- MOVIMIENTO REIVINDICACION TRONCALEÑA0.7%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · ROMULO ALCIVAR | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 6,124 | 18.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · GERMAN ENCALADA CORDOVA | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,841 | 18% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · AMADEO PACHECO | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,762 | 11.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · JIMMY ARAUJO CARDENAS | 18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,720 | 11.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · TARCILA BECERRA CUESTA | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 3,535 | 10.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · RENAN LOYOLA | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,589 | 8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · MIGUEL PALACIOS ESPINOZA | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,003 | 6.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LA TRONCAL EMPRENDE · JUAN BURGOS | 696ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,689 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ACCION SOLIDARIA LA TRONCAL · PATRICIA INGA PINOS | 263ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 763 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · MARIUXI FAJARDO PINOS | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 580 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · SANTOS QUINTANA | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 566 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · CARLOS POLIVIO ORTIZ VERDUGO | 3ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 464 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · SAMUEL ISAAC PALECHOR FIGUEROA | 145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 460 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REIVINDICACION TRONCALEÑA · MILTON EMILIANO BERNAL CORREA | 46ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 237 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · FANNY NARVAEZ CALLE | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 190 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO25.9%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS24.9%
- ALIANZA CREO - PSP22.7%
- ALIANZA AVANZA - SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO18.1%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO3.8%
- PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL2.7%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA2.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · PACHECO RIVERA SEGUNDO AMADEO | 1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 7,541 | 25.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · ORELLANA ORELLANA EDISON FERNANDO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 7,243 | 24.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CREO - PSP · ALCIVAR CAMPOVERDE ROMULO ULISES | 3002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 6,624 | 22.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA AVANZA - SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · SERRANO JAIME OSWALDO | 3001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,274 | 18.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · PALECHOR FIGUEROA SAMUEL ISAAC | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,094 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · CRESPO VAZQUES MANUEL PATRICIO | 9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 784 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · AVILA FLORES CESAR OSWALDO | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 586 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI93.870–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.4382753452179742, oldest_gap=1.0224387566046822, previous_gap=0.8701534298803928
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility10.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,3.6610645151002967,15.907133973275505,0,0,80.4318015116242],[7.960520247209667,0,1.7403068597607847,18.829751252959444,0,0,71.46942164007011],[0,0,0,0,2.010567487819941,24.850751389556027,73.13868112262404]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility28.53percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,3.6610645151002967,15.907133973275505,0,0,80.4318015116242],[7.960520247209667,0,1.7403068597607847,18.829751252959444,0,0,71.46942164007011],[0,0,0,0,2.010567487819941,24.850751389556027,73.13868112262404]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility19.71percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,3.6610645151002967,15.907133973275505,0,0,80.4318015116242],[7.960520247209667,0,1.7403068597607847,18.829751252959444,0,0,71.46942164007011],[0,0,0,0,2.010567487819941,24.850751389556027,73.13868112262404]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 43,324 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 250,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 3,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 43324,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-3-250",
"name": "LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
371,
418,
419,
423,
424,
426,
432,
446,
447,
448,
449,
450,
451,
452,
453,
454,
455,
456,
457,
458,
459
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “LA TRONCAL / CAÑAR — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-3-250. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.